
Tacoma
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Posts posted by Tacoma
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the blowing snow flurries around Asheville last night and today has been nice to see.
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GSP talking about a low that forms off the Texas coast next Tuesday and they'll be watching that carefully with the low staying south and east of the mountains with the cold temps will have to keep an eye on that next Tuesday and Wednesday time frame, the weather channel showing heavy snow for Asheville next Tuesday night time frame. Still a glimmer of hope.
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weather channel showing heavy snow for Asheville next Tuesday March 21st with high of 36, I wish. GSP saying next Tuesday a low pressure will form off the Texas coast and swing south and east of the area next Tuesday night, that with the cold temps they'll have to keep an eye on next Tuesday Wednesday time frame.
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2 hours ago, Moonhowl said:
March and April nowadays are about the only months of the year that can produce persistently below normal temperatures. However, the normal high for March 13 is 58 F; so you really can't expect February style warmth in March
Happy 30th anniversary to the Blizzard of 93
Yes, I will never forget that storm. That winter was like this one we had no snow and were wearing shorts to work as a mailman then a couple of days later the storm of the century.
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15 hours ago, GaWx said:
The 18Z GFS along with recent runs has near record cold over the N Plains 3/17-18. It may be overdone due to snowcover assumptions, but regardless this shows the potential for a very potent cold airmass to come out of Canada then. I'm mentioning this only because most models then have this airmass plunge into the SE shortly after (3/18-20). Some runs, including this one for 3/19-20, have been showing the coldest of this airmass to be colder than the prior one for the SE.
Isn't there a storm signal about this time frame also
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4 hours ago, Hvward said:
Are we gonna get dopped again by the models? I feel like Charlie Brown..
That's what I'm talking about, everytime the models show a little snow the next day the snow is gone but whats new?
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GSP honking the horn about colder and snow next weekend for the NC Mtns. Possibly a Miller A, maybe a Miller B, not sure at this point, to early. Things are starting to look very interesting according to GSP.
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27 minutes ago, GaWx said:
The 12Z Euro has 850 temps down to -10 to -11 C in my area at 12Z on March 12th! Although it is likely overdone, that could very well be the coldest 850 so late in the season. I mean that's very cold for midwinter, much less March 12th.
Where is a storm or two with that cold, seems its cold and rain or cold enough for snow and sunny. We can't win.
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3 hours ago, franklin NCwx said:
Yeah...it's been a great winter for the rockies and the upper Midwest
Hell I would like to get a couple of inches, unreal all the snow out there.
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Well maybe all this warmth is telling us something, I remember the week before the blizzard of 93 wearing shorts that whole week and could not believe the snow and cold from that storm. Maybe there's something to getting this warm this time of year and a nice snow storm. I'm not giving up just yet. Maybe come April I will let it go but not till then.
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48 minutes ago, eyewall said:
If you want snow head to Mauna Loa in Hawaii:
Snow showers, mainly after noon. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 33. Very windy, with an east southeast wind 29 to 34 mph decreasing to 23 to 28 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 43 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.TonightSnow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 29. Strong and damaging winds, with a southeast wind 26 to 36 mph increasing to 37 to 47 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.FridaySnow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 33. Strong and damaging winds, with a southeast wind 37 to 47 mph decreasing to 25 to 35 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 13 to 19 inches possible.Friday NightSnow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 29. Windy, with a southeast wind 23 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 13 to 19 inches possible.SaturdaySnow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 35. Windy, with a southeast wind 18 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.Saturday NightSnow showers. Low around 29. Breezy, with an east southeast wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possibleBoy the weather is so crazy, snowing in Hawaii and us around Asheville and surrounding areas in the low country can't get an inch.
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Yes very big dissapointment. Even Asheville went from a possible 6-11 inches to not one snow flake. I would have been happy with seeing some flakes at the least,
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I don't believe we're closed yet, as we know especially in the mountains even around Asheville we've had storms produce a foot of snow in April. Just one four inch snow and I'll be ready for spring.
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8 minutes ago, WxKnurd said:
Was trying to find this data yesterday and couldn’t but Ski Southeast posted numbers that show how terrible this winter has been snow wise for everyone in the Apps from WV southward. So even those of us with elevation are hurting this year. Don’t know the worst year in terms of snowfall in the last 20 years but I feel like year to date this has to be up there. Let this hybrid La Niña die a fast, painful death not to return for a few years.
How about never returning. I was hoping this would be a good snow for everyone. I don't look for another chance this winter the way its going. Boy Thursday night models were looking good then Friday went down hill. I was hoping for at least four inches then I would say come on spring. I haven't seen a flake of snow out of this and probably won't. I'm sure we'll turn cold in a couple of weeks and won't be able to find a low anywhere close.
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1 hour ago, BooneWX said:
That backside is going to hammer the higher elevations in a few hours.
I hope it gets the low elevations a little.
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It was 48 here in West Asheville about an hour ago now its 38 here.
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1 minute ago, eyewall said:
The issuances are really for 3500ft and up.
That's what I was thinking as well but when it list the cities it has Asheville , Candler and everyone around close to Asheville,
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You know whats crazy is Asheville is in the Winter Weather Advisory and also the Winter Storm Warning and you go look at the hourly its all rain. I'm confused on all this. Guess they're not really sure what it's going to do
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This thing could over perform just as easily as not in Asheville also. If that upper low jogs just a little bit east and south is all we need.
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7 minutes ago, cold air aloft said:
I believe the mountains are in pretty good shape actually. Having lived here as long as I have, I can't count how many times we've seen models struggle in the 24-36 hour time frame before an event only to swing back to where they were previously. The dynamics are still in place IMO. Heavy precipitation should force just enough cooling for most of us at 2,000 feet elevation and up. We all know any event can go sideways, but I still think many here will be please on Sunday.
My thoughts exactly, For those of us that have lived here a while we've seen this before.
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I meant the snow storm not the precipitation, how many times have we seen this from the models for the storm to come right back.
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We have seen the models lose the precipitation about this time before just to bring it back tonight or tomorrow.
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
in Southeastern States
Posted
Well there was no good for our winter season.