Tacoma

I hope Buncombe County will see some flakes flying tomorrow.  Just a crappy winter. 

I'll take a March surprise but otherwise come on warm and dry.  

It's a bad winter when I get excited about snow flurries.  

Snow showers in Candler just west of Asheville, 32 degrees.  Never thought I would get excited about snow showers but I am.  

Man what a terrible winter if you love snow.  We were all built up for above average snow due to El Nino and damn we've had only a trace which is worst than last year.  I mean what the hell.  If it isn't going to snow I want warm and dry.  I can't believe we haven't had one storm that produced a nice winter storm.  Frustrating!!!

28 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Let the Euro finish the run... here's the total


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why doesn't a run like this ever pan out for us, it shows then it taketh away

what happened to the cold air that was supposed to be around the 18th and on timeframe.  I kept hearing the second half of February was going to rock, my goodness we can't get a break, this is ridiculous.  

55 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The 6z GFS just shows rain with temps way to warm. The CMC and Euro look suppressed and the Euro Control shows a Mountain and Foothills Snowstom.

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You know what's new, everyday I wake up thinking okay this storm will be the one and it just doesn't work out, this was suppose to be one great winter for a lot of the southeast, just frustrating.  Just about to give up, been so disappointed this season.  

Winter is far from over Asheville North and West

The groundhog will see his shadow tomorrow, so maybe we will finally see some winter weather.  

GSP doesn't mention snow showers or anything for the Buncombe County area.  Thought we may get at least a dusting to an inch.  Boy even us in the lower mountains can't score.  Threading a needle isn't the word for it.  

1 hour ago, GaWx said:

12Z GFS still has only 6 mild to warm afternoons in NC: Jan 24-28 and Feb 2 out of 16 days. Also, 4 afternoons are actually cold. And this is well before the modeled/supposed good stuff starts after Feb 10, which hopefully would start showing up near the end of the 15-16 day ensemble runs by this weekend. That’s been the timeframe for that for many days. I’ve been posting about this extended model based potential for ~10 days. No slippage yet.

 I enjoy reading your thoughts my friend, keep up the good work.  Very interesting stuff every time I read your thoughts and research.  Come on snow.  

3 hours ago, Hvward said:

Looks like we have around 3” in Alexander, not going out there right now to measure ha. One of the best northwest flows I can remember.

Had about 2 inches in Candler, definitely over performed,  Snowed here about all night.  

First time I've seen the ground covered for a couple of years.  Snowed really hard earlier ,  looked like a blizzard.  I think we've had about 1/2 inch in Candler.  Flakes still falling.

8 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
335 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2024

NCZ033-048>052-058-182000-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0004.240119T0000Z-240120T1200Z/
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust,
Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck,
Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick,
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser,
Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville,
and Stecoah
335 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
  1 to 4 inches, with the higher amounts near the Tennessee
  border. The higher ridge tops could see 4 to 6 inches of snow
  by early Saturday. Ice accumulations will be mostly a few
  hundredths of an inch, except around one tenth of an inch along
  the higher ridges. Northwest winds of 25 to 35 mph may gust to
  40 to 50 mph Friday into Friday night. Wind chill values may
  fall to 5 to 15 degrees below zero Friday night.

* WHERE...The Tennessee border counties of the North Carolina
  mountains.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday. Most of the
  ice accumulation will occur tonight, while most of the snow
  accumulation will occur Friday into Friday night.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty
  winds could bring down tree branches. The cold wind chills as
  low as 15 below zero could result in hypothermia if
  precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet, or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving.

Please report snow and ice accumulations by calling the National
Weather Service toll free at...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. Leave a
message with your observation and the specific location where it
occurred. You can also post your report to National Weather
Service Greenville Spartanburg Facebook or tweet your report
using hashtag nwsgsp.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can be found at www.weather.gov/gsp. The latest state road
conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

---

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
335 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2024

GAZ010-NCZ053-059-062>065-501-503-505-182000-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0004.240119T0000Z-240119T1200Z/
Rabun-Buncombe-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-
Transylvania-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
McDowell Mountains-
Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City,
Asheville, Black Mountain, Candler, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva,
Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain,
Cashiers, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, Hendersonville,
Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, Etowah, Jonas Ridge,
Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort
335 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations
  from a trace to one inch, with the higher amounts along the
  highest ridge tops. Ice accumulations of a trace to a few
  hundredths of an inch, except up to one to two tenths of an inch
  along the higher ridges of the extreme southern North Carolina
  mountains.

* WHERE...Rabun County in northeast Georgia and the North Carolina
  mountains along and east of the Blue Ridge Mountains.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

I would never have thought I would get so excited for an inch of snow but I am.  

Just now, Sw NC weather said:

We may just have to move up the mountain and be buckethead’s neighbor. 

You might be right.  I grew up here and we always that I can remember had great winters with snow.  Has the weather around here changed that much?  1960 school was closed the whole month of February, we had 3 snowstorms one after the other before one could clear up the next storm brought heavy snow and then another.  Us kids loved it.  Best sledding down the road it was so packed down and would freeze at night.  

1 minute ago, Sw NC weather said:

I know what you mean. Had a rain snow mix all evening while the mountain in front of the house was dumped on with a few inches.

Man what do we have to do to get a true Miller A in here?  We get the moisture and it's to warm now we're going to get the cold with no moisture.  I'm holding on for February.  Not giving up yet.  

Just now, WxKnurd said:

Waynesville proper just had mostly rain last I heard from my buddy there at like 5.  

That is just crazy.

Hard to believe I live 15 minutes from Haywood County where it's snowing like crazy with around 3 inches.  I'm in Buncombe County but 15 minutes from there and I'm getting rain.  Just crazy.  

surprise surprise, 

Maybe the short range models come around today.  

Thought Buncombe would be a winter weather advisory with what the latest Euro is showing.

41 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said:

Strange forecast out of GSP this morning for some of the mountains (Graham, Swain,Jacckson,Haywood)..Rain and Snow mix for alot of the event although those counties seem to be in bullseye for most snow.

The way this is trending Buncombe, Madison, and areas north could be in a nice snow band plus with the temps I would guess all snow and no rain.  I guess GSP is playing it safe for now.

Liking the trends for WNC, maybe at least a couple of inches for Asheville

Why can't we get this kind of moisture with the cold air in place next week, GOOD GRACIOUS!