Tacoma

you know I was just checking next weeks weather with all the cold air around , man no moisture anywhere around us, whats with that?  The storms just stop when we finally get cold enough for snow, what in the world do we have to do?  Just really pisses you off.  

Cutters,,,,Mercy,,,,

38 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

These strong storm systems are carving out a path for huge chunk of the coldest air since a year ago December to enter our Region. There is a one two punch arriving Monday and next Tuesday. That storm on Monday hasn't resolved in model world and this batch of cold has staying power in my opinion. 

It never fails we finally get the cold and there's no moisture.  

You know this gets old with every storm we have is a cutter and last week we finally got a good track and it was to warm or the warm nose ruined that storm as well,  could we finally get a storm just to our south with the cold air in place, I've been holding off on saying anything but this is getting old.  Each time there is a storm it's a cutter.  I thought the El Nino meant we would get more storms from the southwest moving just to our south that would give a good winter storm.  

17 here in Candler, may be a nice surprise tonight and tomorrow for some.  Colder temps than predicted.

47 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

GSP says I get a 33 deg rain 

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 230 PM Thursday: An active pattern for the short term as
surface high pressure is nudged offshore and a series of shortwaves
swing through the region. Starting off friday night, a closed upper
low over the Central Plains lifts toward the northeast leaving
behind a shortwave trough approaching the Appalachians. An
approaching upper jet will assist with height falls ahead of the
shortwaves along with a strong low level jet advecting moisture into
the region Friday night. This will set the stage for precipitation
to ramp up over the Carolinas. One of the key features during this
time is the influence of the warm layer brought in from the LLJ and
creating a deep warm nose. As moisture aloft moves in, wetbulb temps
will cool the column of air and translate a saturated profile toward
the surface by late Friday night. Meanwhile, the remnant high
pressure to the east sets up an in-situ wedge of colder air ahead of
the precip. How much cold air remains in place at the onset of
precip is not entirely certain, but should be enough to allow for
near freezing temps well before daybreak.

The biggest concern for this storm system is the amount and location
for where snow, rain, and freezing rain will take place. At the
current time given the latest guidance, ice accretions of 0.05-0.24
are likely along the near the Blue Ridge Escarpment and NC
Foothills. Ice accumulations have increased in the
Henderson/Transylvania counties that could be locally higher than
0.25 inches. A Winter Storm Watch was issued for the Henderson
through Caldwell/Alexander counties and expanded to include all of
Transylvania, Polk and Rutherford. In SC, light ice up to 0.10 of an
inch could occur along and north of I-85 from Spartanburg to
Cherokee county, and into NC with 0.01-0.09 toward the south. Noting
the anticipated deep warm nose, snow is less of a concern, but the
NC mountains could see a trace up to 2 inches. Outside of the
mountains, a cold rain is most likely precip type. Now, the
challenges to this forecast come in the way of warm temperatures and
the amount of moisture that can return to the area. At this time,
temperatures from the NBM and CONSRaw show a swath of at or below
freezing temps along the Escarpment. Given the in-situ wedge in
place prior to precip arrival, temps are likely to reach these
values. Freezing rain chances would decrease if surface temps are a
degree or two warmer than current model guidance, increasing the
chance for rain to become the dominate p-type. However, current
guidance keeps temps at or just below freezing along the I-85
corridor and north. Confidence is increasing from moderate to high
that some amount of FZRA will occur in this region, before
transitioning over the rain after daybreak. With the current totals
being near or at warning criteria, the current watch would most
likely be upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning at a later forecast
issuance and a likely Winter Weather Advisory issued for additional
counties. Freezing rain should transition to rain around noon on
Saturday, with rain moving out of the area from west to east by
Saturday night. After this wave passes, a brief stint of NW flow
snow is possible if any shallow moisture can remain in place along
the TN/NC border, with a trace at best is expected.

Go figure, its always 33 or 34 and rain.

I like our chances for the NC mountains and SC mountains plus N Georgia for the 7 th storm.  Looking like there is a high chance from what I see.  

Right, we get a classic Miller A , a strong low out of the Gulf and there isn't any cold up north to drag down into the storm, maybe if this was a couple of weeks from now we would be in business.  

Boy the silence on this board speaks a thousand words, 

1 minute ago, Snow dog said:

Sweet!  Ready to get my boat out on the water!  Gotta find the good in every season!

Well there was no good for our winter season.

the blowing snow flurries around Asheville last night and today has been nice to see.

GSP talking about a low that forms off the Texas coast next Tuesday and they'll  be watching that carefully with the low staying south and east of the mountains with the cold temps will have to keep an eye on that next Tuesday and Wednesday time frame, the weather channel showing heavy snow for Asheville next Tuesday night time frame.  Still a glimmer of hope.  

weather channel showing heavy snow for Asheville next Tuesday March 21st with high of 36, I wish.  GSP saying next Tuesday a low pressure will form off the Texas coast and swing south and east of the area next Tuesday night, that with the cold temps they'll have to keep an eye on next Tuesday Wednesday time frame.  

2 hours ago, Moonhowl said:

March and April nowadays are about the only months of the year that can produce persistently below normal temperatures.  However, the normal high for March 13 is 58 F; so you really can't expect February style warmth in March  Happy 30th anniversary to the Blizzard of 93

Yes, I will never forget that storm.  That winter was like this one we had no snow and were wearing shorts to work as a mailman then a couple of days later the storm of the century.  

15 hours ago, GaWx said:

 The 18Z GFS along with recent runs has near record cold over the N Plains 3/17-18. It may be overdone due to snowcover assumptions, but regardless this shows the potential for a very potent cold airmass to come out of Canada then. I'm mentioning this only because most models then have this airmass plunge into the SE shortly after (3/18-20). Some runs, including this one for 3/19-20, have been showing the coldest of this airmass to be colder than the prior one for the SE.

Isn't there a storm signal about this time frame also

4 hours ago, Hvward said:

Are we gonna get dopped again by the models?  I feel like Charlie Brown..

That's what I'm talking about, everytime the models show a little snow the next day the snow is gone but whats new? 

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Euro says not so fast about the 10th. Storm in the midwest. 

GSP is just honking the horn about the POTENTIAL.  The signal is there.  Not a sure thing.

GSP honking the horn about colder and snow next weekend for the NC Mtns.  Possibly a Miller A, maybe a Miller B, not sure at this point, to early.  Things are starting to look very interesting according to GSP.

27 minutes ago, GaWx said:

The 12Z Euro has 850 temps down to -10 to -11 C in my area at 12Z on March 12th! Although it is likely overdone, that could very well be the coldest 850 so late in the season. I mean that's very cold for midwinter, much less March 12th.

Where is a storm or two with that cold, seems its cold and rain or cold enough for snow and sunny.  We can't win.

3 hours ago, franklin NCwx said:

Yeah...it's been a great winter for the rockies and the upper Midwest 

Hell I would like to get a couple of inches, unreal all the snow out there.

Well maybe all this warmth is telling us something, I remember the week before the blizzard of 93 wearing shorts that whole week and could not believe the snow and cold from that storm.  Maybe there's something to getting this warm this time of year and a nice snow storm.  I'm not giving up just yet.  Maybe come April I will let it go but not till then.  

48 minutes ago, eyewall said:

If you want snow head to Mauna Loa in Hawaii:

Snow showers, mainly after noon. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 33. Very windy, with an east southeast wind 29 to 34 mph decreasing to 23 to 28 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 43 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

Tonight

Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 29. Strong and damaging winds, with a southeast wind 26 to 36 mph increasing to 37 to 47 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.

Friday

Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 33. Strong and damaging winds, with a southeast wind 37 to 47 mph decreasing to 25 to 35 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 13 to 19 inches possible.

Friday Night

Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 29. Windy, with a southeast wind 23 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 13 to 19 inches possible.

Saturday

Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 35. Windy, with a southeast wind 18 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.

Saturday Night

Snow showers. Low around 29. Breezy, with an east southeast wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible

Boy the weather is so crazy, snowing in Hawaii and us around Asheville  and surrounding areas in the low country can't get an inch.  

Yes very big dissapointment.  Even Asheville went from a possible 6-11 inches to not one snow flake.  I would have been happy with seeing some flakes at the least,

I don't believe we're closed yet, as we know especially in the mountains even around Asheville we've had storms produce a foot of snow in April.  Just one four inch snow and I'll be ready for spring.

8 minutes ago, WxKnurd said:

Was trying to find this data yesterday and couldn’t but Ski Southeast posted numbers that show how terrible this winter has been snow wise for everyone in the Apps from WV southward. So even those of us with elevation are hurting this year.  Don’t know the worst year in terms of snowfall in the last 20 years but I feel like year to date this has to be up there.  Let this hybrid La Niña die a fast, painful death not to return for a few years.

https://www.skisoutheast.com/the-snow-drought-continues/

How about never returning.  I was hoping this would be a good snow for everyone.  I don't look for another chance this winter the way its going.  Boy Thursday night models were looking good then Friday went down hill.  I was hoping for at least four inches then I would say come on spring.  I haven't seen a flake of snow out of this and probably won't.  I'm sure we'll turn cold in a couple of weeks and won't be able to find a low anywhere close.