ChescoWx

1.5" here in East Nantmeal as of 6am - looks like a heavier band working northbound on radar

As of 4am here in East Nantmeal Twp 0.8" of snow and continuing to snow

Some light snow here in East Nantmeal Twp with the temp at 36.9

5 minutes ago, RedSky said:

NAM is never right when it puts up big numbers like this with no support. Hate to say it but ECM is most likely right.

 

 

Correct! Cut it in half...especially 18z runs.....it will come back in line with the 0z runs....

4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

This may end up as one of the best surprise events in a long time

I would cut those NAM amounts in half - I think the NWS has this perfectly - 1" to 3" but would not be surprised at a 4" total in a couple spots.

WWA just issued by the NWS

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
310 PM EST Sat Feb 12 2022

NJZ012-015-PAZ070-071-101-102-104-106-131100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0011.220213T0600Z-220213T1800Z/
Middlesex-Mercer-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-
Eastern Chester-Eastern Montgomery-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of New Brunswick, Trenton, Media,
Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square,
Norristown, Lansdale, Morrisville, and Doylestown
310 PM EST Sat Feb 12 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow is expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3
  inches.

* WHERE...Parts of central New Jersey and parts of southeastern
  Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 1:00 AM until 1:00 PM Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Expect slippery conditions on untreated roads and
  walkways.

Suspect quite a bit of what you see south and east will be white rain....where qpf looks to be lighter N and W of fall line and with some elevation expect quick stickage...even after temps in the low 50's early today

4 hours ago, Heisy said:

And the 6ers have James Harden!

Yawn...how many days till a potential Phillies season??? after the strike delay!!

57.8 our warmest since the 58.5 on Jan 2nd - little different at the shore with the icy Atlantic water temps....and the PM Sea Breeze already kicking in

2 hours ago, Albedoman said:

this wildfire condition is only going to get worse as the month goes on.  The snow hole and drought conditions continue. Last weeks heavy rain only served to temporarily wet the litter floor and flood the local streams with very little ground/soil  water recharge since the soils were tightly frozen.  The base flows in the creek will start to rapidly fall in the next few weeks as water usage continues to rise.  However, the soil horizon is starting to thaw out in the last few days as soil temps finally rise.  We really need a stationary front over us for a week with lows riding up the front to put a dent in this drought condition . I just do see that chance with this progressive pattern that is for sure. 

 

.

 

 

 

No such drought worries here in Chester County with above normal January and February precipitation so far this year! Ground is sopping wet where not frozen

YTD w.e. = 5.23" normal thru yesterday 4.65"

Certainly a tick east on the 12z Euro.....

7 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Hoochie mama comes knocking unexpected lol

I hate this winter

 

I don't get the hate winter views...we did have a top 35 cold January along with above normal snowfall....but I assume because to the North - South - East and West they have all received more snowfall that folks who love snow are not enthralled with Winter Season 2021-22!!

What happens in January the winter remembers...it really has been an east focused winter weather season. It is a rare season like this....but certainly happy for our east based friends!!

Also seeing increased heights in Greenland which is moving the Labrador low into somewhat better position to my amateur eyes....

22 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

How so? 6z only goes to 72 hrs? If anything, the euro still wants absolutely nothing to do with this event. Less NS dig, timing way off with vorticity interaction. Guess we are seeing it differently or is one of us looking at the wrong maps?

End or run shortwave is further SW and on the EPS the relative likelihood of 1" has increased....but of course still more to south and east

3 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

We should never let facts in in the way of a good story....but the spirit is a lot of snow got lost without elevation to the dreaded white rain!!

https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/spring-marks-anniversary-of-50-inch-snowstorm-in-pennsylvania/2010478/

6z Euro moving toward GFS....for what it's worth with the potential SB/Valentines event....

12 hours ago, KamuSnow said:

Well to be accurate, Philly did get 11.4" of "white rain" in that storm!

We should never let facts in in the way of a good story....but the spirit is a lot of snow got lost without elevation to the dreaded white rain!!

25 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Pipe dream.

May as well go to the mountains where you have a better chance at a late season snow...

35F/Breezy at times

It's like Morgantown (6 miles up the road from here) 1958 all over again - 50" in 1 day while Philly gets white rain....stay tuned - LOL!!!

Beautiful day across the now snow less hills of Chester County....getting ready for the record elevation driven March wet snow event that will get my area to normal snow totals for the season. It will no doubt happen the week of March 12th when I head down to Florida for Phillies (or not) Spring Training.

Looks like a brief break between bands moving from south to north....snow so far 0.3" here in East Nantmeal Twp.

Over to snow now here in East Nantmeal