anthonyweather

NWS in their video update said they are using the HREF and do not believe the sleet line will advance north of 22 .

Sleet is way south (yellow line) .

HRRR and rap showing an additional 12-15” in the LV. we could make a run at 20” .

Yes west, out in the avenues , that’s broad and 7th I believe in the pic .

Yes west, out in the avenues , that’s broad and 7th I believe in the pic .

Gonna be a long dayy .

It’s not sleet. .

I don’t remember that being Penndot, I used to plow for Penndot out of Golden key .

.

If you like global models at this range, cmc much snowier. Near 20” in northern Lehigh County. Was 10-12” at 12z. Every 00z model and weather app is screen shotted for comparison [emoji23] I leave you with mine. Up at 3am for all day plowing in Bethlehem. .

6-8” Lehigh

Yikes .

Here’s the real problem on the RRFS .

Yep they have been unbeatable. Hate to see the NAM go .

You think there is some evidence to this? Looks like a window of about 4pm-10pm Sunday those 2 models are spinning up gusts close to 40 in the LV .

Gonna have hard pack all week.... this will be one of the worst cleanups in my memory. salt is virtually ineffective under 23F

NAM & GFS still showing blizzard warning criteria Sunday late afternoon and evening for the Lehigh Valley. "Criteria for Winter Storm Watches and Warnings Blizzard: 1. Sustained wind or frequent gusts to 35 mph or greater; and 2. Considerable falling and/or blowing snow reducing visibility frequently to less than 1/4 mile for 3 or more hours."

Really what's the difference? is that extra inch or two going to change his lifestyle?

Wind gusts 1AM Monday on gfs close to 40mph in eastern pa . Evidence this could persist 6+ hours which again, puts us in definition of blizzard warning criteria. Blizzard Warning A Blizzard Warning means that the following conditions are occurring or expected within the next 12 to 18 hours. 1) Snow and/or blowing snow reducing visibility to 1/4 mile or less for 3 hours or longer AND 2) Sustained winds of 35 mph or greater or frequent gusts to 35 mph or greater. There is no temperature requirement that must be met to achieve blizzard conditions

its defined as sustained of 35 mph or more OR frequent gusts over 35

nam euro and gfs have quite a few hours of 35mph gusts Sunday evening which meets criteria , of course its only Thursday but something to keep an eye on

I'm starting to become curious if this thing accounts for mixing or if its heavily based on the GFS

Sunday evening/night holds blizzard warning criteria. Something to keep an eye on.

mixing line really creeping on euro too

ill take the next 20-30" storm GFS advertises next weekend too!