CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I will say it looked like it was about to slow down and probably linger snows around.
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A bit more tamer 18z euro run. Definitely feeling effects with how the model handles the s/w.
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BUFKIT is interesting. PYM sort of struggles a bit and then blows up late Sunday morning and aftn.
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Yep. I was talking about that yesterday too. Some signs especially from about BOS to FIT on north of initial light snow over the cold air from ESE winds aloft.
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That thing nukes quick too.
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Pretty cold too. rates ftw.
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It deserves 30 seconds of analyzing and that's it from me.
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Need some decent rates and it will work. ICON looks a little SE and weaker at 18z.
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GFS pretty cold at 950 even here. near -1C.
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Yep. Last year we were lucky for -1 at 925.
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Separates the men from the boys in forecasting.
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I was just thinking.....when have they ever had this so far in advance?
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BOX heavily weighing marine influence there. Although not sure Cape Ann beaches are getting more than Brockton.
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These are the things I ponder in my mind lol. The plus factors are a cold 925-850. Good lift at times into DGZ. Negative are SSTs around 43ish. It makes it hard because the beaches could struggle for an inch, 3 miles away is plastered, and 8 miles away is 9" of paste. I've seen it many times. If one variable is off, it changes drastically. Logan is a bitch to call.
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Pretty stout erly flow. I do think you are in a better spot, but could be a lot of 33F snow which isn't the most efficient accumulator. But, if we can pound with -3C at 925..maybe wetbulb to 32 or so. Beware the 10:1 maps here that's all. Once the Cf comes through Sunday morning, it's fluff again. But go to Foxboro at 200' and they'll have no issue as of now.
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10-50mb PV crying for mama. That's good to see.
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Not sure I would go that high yet.
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Wow, lots still hanging on the west side. Thanks fellas.
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How does it look at hr 102? Spread wise.
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I know it. EPS is stubborn.
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That tightened up quicker than Kevin's pants during bear week at P-Town.
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Must be some weenie members of the EPS because from hr 96-102 that's a good shift WNW.
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Euro loves the inside runners.
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Looks like a big WAA thump from 850 LLJ that envelops us. And then yeah, kind of turns into a weenie band after 12z Sunday morning. I was just playing around at the different levels. Not quite the classic thermal packing and H7 back bent WF sig until Sunday morning or so. But, there is good speed convergence.
