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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. That blocking needs to build westerly to both suppress that track a bit, but also help slide some cold underneath it into SE Canada. So that is what to look for. What you don't want is the PV where it is and have the blocking just start to come in.
  2. It does for the time being overall. Talk to me on the 13th.
  3. Lets get that a bit more south next weekend. Definitely a better trend with the blocking like Will said on the GEFS.
  4. That can happen as well. Although this time, it's slightly cooler aloft here I think. But yeah south side of town can definitely have more. I saw that in March 2018 in that second event that brought the heavy wet snow.
  5. I wonder of that was more from a coastal front? I was thinking more like in those borderline situations. My Grandparents lived in Hyde Park on a hill and that extra 200' or so elevation and being on the southwest side of the city helped in those borderline situations. Best example was on 3/31/97. Pounding snow there while Logan was a mix for a few hours.
  6. Well wait a minute....depends where in Boston. You could have 2-3" at the Seaport and more than double in Hyde Park/West Roxbury.
  7. I think last year I did ok. I usually am conservative when it's borderline for this area. In other years I was actually on the lower side and we got more lol. For you and I, I think it's probably good to be conservative and stress the difference several miles could make. There is actually a hint of latitude being involved too.
  8. It comes down to rates and track. If we get 2-3hr thump and then showery crap after we won't get much. If that front end can last and maybe limit warming a bit until the CF passes, could be 6+ for sure. And then there is distance from ocean. Sometimes that is the difference between like 34-35 where it won't accumulate much to like 32-33 where it won't stack efficient, but still accumulates. All this shit to weigh in.
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