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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Yeah I’m not thrilled with the euro.
  2. I think as long as that ridge doesn't retro west past the dateline, we would be ok. If it did move west, it would be ugly. No real blocking, so at the mercy of the PAC. Of course they could be totally wrong too. It's not my forecast, just stating what they show.
  3. Weeklies look warm. Maybe not week 3, but week 4 looks warm.
  4. Water temps like 52 vs 49 or so will always be problematic. In general, you need a decent antecedent airmass or having winds stay more nrly.
  5. Yeah, S/W really dives SE. Hopefully this has legs.
  6. Yeah not bad. Some members showing this. Maybe something to watch.
  7. I explained why a bit further back yesterday morning. I think maybe some of that ridging was a bit of voodoo in the PNA area, but anyways, I think it gets better after that.
  8. It's poop until after first week of December.
  9. The GEFs and EPS I thought looked decent. They try for a little ridge bridging and keep the PV on our side. That’s a good thing. If anything the dateline ridge signal has gotten stronger. Again look beyond first week of December. That week is gone.
  10. It looked like there was a lowering of CC that was just NW of rotation, but followed it. It didn’t look quite close enough to the rotation, but that also was looking at my phone. Maybe someone else with GR can look.
  11. I don’t know why, but I can’t stop laughing at an image of Ginxy in my head just gyrating and swinging is booty to that song. Just picture him with a broom swinging around the bucket and pretending the broom is a stripper pole.
  12. LOL. In case you all didn’t know, myself, NHdryslot (red tag him) and Wx2fish all worked together. We’re all good friends and big weenies. And good at giving each other crap. NHdryslot loves it when I rain, so he and @40/70 Benchmark will have fun pig pilling on me.
  13. We have a new weenie, I mean met. @NHDrySlot might be a little bashful, but one of the top mets I know. Welcome to the jungle. We’ve got fun and games.
  14. That might be the closest to fruition lol. We’ve been rocked by decent storms in October. tober
  15. Yep. Canes in the summer, blizzards in winter. All at day 15+.
  16. Yeah I mean I look ahead, but 10 years ago I was all into what the indices mean, mtn torque, GLAAM.....all that voodoo.
  17. Or I could be totally wrong lol. I don’t really get into the long range voodoo much anymore. Just care more about the here and now.
  18. Looked like fun. Hopefully will make the next one.
  19. Here is an example. This is current day 10 prog vs day 15 valid for December 1. It’s not totally far off, but look how potent the trough is near AK and into GOAK. It’s a bit further east too. Yeah day 10 looks chilly, but that’s about to be booted out of here right after day 10. To me the current prog looks more realistic for that timeframe. I do think it changes after first week.
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