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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Yeah true...I'm thinking more in the sense of the good airmass prior to it and the typical transition of snow-->sleet or snow-->sleet-->rain depending on where you are.
  2. Ukie is quite the thump. If you are risking a warmer solution, a nice thump can help offset that.
  3. The mid levels drive the placement of surface features. This has a s/w ripping into NY state which typically means you will slowly see surface features adjust. But yes, there is a reason why the high is in a good placement as currently modeled. It will help the surface temps anyways.
  4. It doesn't matter what it shows 5+ days out. It's from here on out. GFS and Euro fairly similar as I said earlier.
  5. It's like 4" for you. A move north for sure. I looked at it in my phone earlier.
  6. It will be a nice event north of the pike even if not all snow. A mess south of the pike. That’s my first guess lol.
  7. That’s not how these work. The sleet/dry slots etc rush in before you know it. Those snow maps will certainly be overdone in most spots. If this ticked south maybe those amounts happen. It’s early so what you and I think doesn’t mean much. I guess my point is not to be too aggressive with snow.
  8. I’m not sure a foot happens except maybe in a narrow area across VT and NH? It’s been awhile since we’ve had one so time to dust off the climo with these.
  9. It’s definitely not all snow for him. I noticed we seem to be missing some vertical levels on these sites. It’s probably not showing the sneaky warm layer.
  10. I don’t know, the gfs and euro are fairly similar. If anything I’d almost prefer the euro as the 6z gfs is pretty far north. The gfs yesterday was south, but 5 days out means nothing really in model world. From here on out we’ll see what the guidance does.
  11. I don’t think so, not after the reload in early March. We’ll probably have a cutter near the 5th and then a reload. That’s an insane EPO ridge in AK. Before then I’d still watch that second storm potential.
  12. Some are soothing on their gfs op binkies from yesterday.
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