CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Part of me is like eff it, and sort of go with a lean on one low. Maybe not those exotic NAM and Euro solutions, but I feel like the models went too wild with that. You would think synoptics would rule. One caveat, this is faster now...maybe owing to that late capture.
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Man if that can shake the low to the ENE that’s a huge WCB slamming into SNE.
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RAP actually does look pretty good at hr 21. So 15z tomorrow.
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It then combined them into an orgy ENE of the Cape. That is so weird, I have never seen that.
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The NCAR modeling folks are extremely bright, but have no idea how to effing forecast.
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It is a real issue to resolve.
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Recon won't help with the dual low issue. That is from mesoscale convective processes.
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It's all about that stupid dual low. If guidance is off (whether weaker or barely any semblance of it) that will change the whole evolution.
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Ukie a little tamed down, but still looks good.
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Then again, you see H5 and all this convection and wonder if we slam some WCB into this column and have a hell of a late morning and aftn.
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Can I change mine?
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Reggie doing the same. Looks just east of BM.
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Man H5 looks great. I dunno....I feel like the low should concentrate near the vort max or at least the other low should have a shorter life span.
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Yeah that is a change form 6z.
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NAM has some pretty heavy snows SW CT into NYC near dawn.
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Holliston 35". I feel like Will in great spot.
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Torch next week. Not good.
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HRRR still doing the dual low.
