CoastalWx

I have yet to be in the winter well since 2022. It's been perpetual Autumn.

8 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I would take another month of today's. Gorgeous out.

I know it's not that warm, but sun feels great and winds subsided a bit.

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I agree but no frost with high wind 

Well 32 is 32 so if you are below it, doesn't matter if it is a frost or freeze.

Huge difference from Euro to GFS on Wednesday. NAM sort of in the middle.

37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Does CAA and wind freeze things? 

Pretty sure you will be below 32.

34 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Avoided frost this morning. Had an impressive temperature jump around midnight as some warmer air over my head managed to mix down. Went from around 32° to 38° in only about 15-20 minutes. Never quite made it below freezing this morning as a result. Check out the graph.

Yep. Just radiational nonsense.

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

34.7 AWT

You will freeze Thursday morning.

36.8 here we’ve escaped Winter now for two years

2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Have a little bit at the woodyard. Red maples in the swamps are beginning. Of course the invasives are ahead of everything. Burning bush and multiflora rose are flourishing.

Yep. Norways are right there. But I noticed a few different oak species getting those swelled buds. 

Yeah species dependent. Put Norways there and you’d be in the shade already.

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Most trees are starting to leaf out here at 600’ 

Maybe dog poop is slowing leafout in Moosup?

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And this is NNE 

He’s in CT near Mansfield I think.

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol flowering bushes ain't trees. Scooter lives in the tropics Kevin lives in a fantasy world. Only leaves I see are in the valley but carry on.

I didn’t know you live at 2k. 

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Everything is blooming in the hills . Everything 

Not in the eastern CT Sierra I guess.

48 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Work in the valley   is a stark contrast from my oh look a forsythia.  Stick season still 

 Norways are blooming even in NH. 

Thursday could be chilly though. Meh. Back to 60 Friday. 

19 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Do they help prevent Frost? 

"

 strong radiational cooling. The NBM running way too warm for this setup, so went with the 10th percentile of guidance for lows. Should
see temps ranging from the mid 20s to the mid 30s. Should see fairly widespread frost. Frost/freeze headlines will likely be needed in
future updates."

Fake cold though 

Low of 37. We grow.

Massive downpour with fropa earlier. Can’t ask for more then a few dry hours lol.

23 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Is it my mistake ( Tam'  ?  )  or isn't it early for even Norways?   Obviously they're the most eager every spring but I think they are also more variable of all big stem species and can be triggered by a season's 'climate personality.'  

My sister was telling me that Norways are actually invasive to N/A.      Either way, their florets give off a subtle sweet aroma that for me sparks a lot of nostalgia for some reason - ... I just can't remember her name   or if she ever existed.  LOL.  

Personally it doesn’t seem too early. Last year I think was even ahead of this year. 

48 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Norway maples exploding open all over town. It actually first started two days ago… Mark on the calendar, April 18.

I noticed that last few days. Oak buds swelling too. 

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Every time I read these drive by statements about an AN month, during a month that clearly "feels" cool I wonder about CC acclimation skewing perceptions. 

Not being above that myself, this month simply feels like a cold p.o.s. to me - which based on what I just said, may and probably is not entirely fair.  LOL.  

I think I have a personal bullshit bias I'm stuck with that we're supposed to be getting these Mar/Apr crazy warm episodes now, based in no small part on the fact that 7 out of the last 10 years have hosted early bud pushin' orchard killin' false expectation inducin' warm bursts.

Perhaps this year we are getting to the same AN result, just doing so along a more aggregated, yet tamer SD dailies ? 

Some of those years that had the weird 80 days really early, also put down a cold week with heavy snow later on, too.  More spiky perhaps...

Yeah, April still is a crappy month temp wise. And we really haven’t had those real warm April days yet. But with April being such a crappy temp month, I’ll take a little AN.

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

IOW a 50/50 chance this time of year. lol

45 for you 80 here?

The only way that look works out to be cooler is if we are wedged somehow. It’s possible, but verbatim that is a warm look. 

6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

April 29th  is the warmest day on the EPS through the 4th and its not a torch by any means 

It’s muted on an ensemble mean. That’s pretty warm if it already has that. H5 is a warm look.