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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    I would just like to see the PV more towards Hudson Bay to spread the cold a little bit further east. I think there might be a better chance for more eastern Canada cold after the 5th like you said.
  2. CoastalWx
    Yeah, that far out ensembles can be wrong, but I think that applies especially getting details like low pressure locations, etc. versus a 500 MB pattern. However, I don’t think there’s anything wrong with accepting that it could be mild next week. This is your classic EPO dump that always goes out west and in the plains first, and that implies a ridge over the east. So you also have Climo on your side along with the ensemble prediction. I don’t think that is unreasonable.
  3. CoastalWx
    What a breathe of fresh air.
  4. CoastalWx
    That’s awesome. Happy for you guys.
  5. CoastalWx
    When I say way different, getting a 500 MB pattern correct versus getting a solution like a low passing just south of you to give you snow, is way different. It is much easier to show a ridge over the East Coast 11 days out on an Ensemble versus getting specific details on an area of low pressure. It’s really apples to oranges. That’s why I mean way different.
  6. CoastalWx
    Yep agree
  7. CoastalWx
    The good stuff doesn’t happen until well after Thanksgiving. Thanksgiving week is your classic preload with the cold dump into the west and Plains and pumps up the ridge out east. No one saying 75 to 80, but it’s not gonna be cold or anything like that at all. Will average above normal.
  8. CoastalWx
    Dismiss this
  9. CoastalWx
    Way different
  10. CoastalWx
    Just need to hold for 300hours. We can do it.
  11. CoastalWx
    That's a mild to warm look on the EPS. Only thing that might argue against it's surface wedging which you can't predict this far out. But the mid levels there are a warm look.
  12. CoastalWx
    1/Kevin
  13. CoastalWx
    AI has learned enough that it doesn’t snow here anymore so not sure Steve can make it snow here.
  14. CoastalWx
    lol. Cap tip to the Ambassador of AI.
  15. CoastalWx
    Meh. Cold is going to plains first. Need the PV further SE. Needs work.
  16. CoastalWx
    I mean it’s a warmer spot, but I’ve been commenting about that station for over a year. There’s no reason why it should be the warmest spot in all of SNE in this setup.
  17. CoastalWx
    KHVN 40 when everyone else there is well mixed and 36-37. We toss KHVN. @BrianW
  18. CoastalWx
    Wind has kicked up in this dying shower of stuff.
  19. CoastalWx
    Bills looked good this aftn.
  20. CoastalWx
    Didn’t say it wasn’t, just that we wait for confirmation.
  21. CoastalWx
    See following post
  22. CoastalWx
    High was 53 here. 48 now but falling quicker.
  23. CoastalWx
    I think we had 3 days of some sort of frozen. Deep.
  24. CoastalWx
    You know what I mean. I’m not being negative, but 0z could have the ridge back again. Let’s just get multiple runs to show this. I still don’t expect anything until late or after the first week of December. We will have shots of cold after T day.
  25. CoastalWx
    Talk to me when multiple runs show it.
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