Cold retreats and anything active cuts. That’s the issue. Later in the month gradient shifts north. If I was lakes region north I’d be more interested.
If we had blocking or better west coast ridging I’d be a lot more intrigued. It’s just this zonal meh look. You’d really have to time something so perfectly.
You can discuss, but I’m trying to use meteorological reasoning as to why it looks done vs just saying we don’t know because there is a 2% chance that something could happen. I’m not talking about an inch or slop either.
I said the overall pattern looks crappy for snow. I’m not going to wait all month and bank on some random fluke in a sea of crap patterns. Good luck if you are. Next week was our best shot and it went to crap. I’m sure some bear den will pull 4” in early April. Wheee.
Next week was the real shot and that shit the bed. I know the 0ZGFS was trying to hint at something a little later, but I don’t see any model agreement showing that.
I can look ahead and see the pattern and know it. I’m not talking about a random fluke either. I’m not counting on that. The overall pattern looks done. And I’m not counting a sloppy inch or two that’s gone an hour later either.
That’s funny because I’m surprised how quickly I lost this pack. And it had some moisture in it too. But 2015 in my opinion was the most resilient, that thing wouldn’t budge for whatever reason.
Just went for a walk in the woods in a conservation area. Down in Norwell beautiful spot. Still packed with snow so it felt funny with the warmth wafting on the nape and walking on many inches of snow in some areas.