CoastalWx

NAM giving it away like Matt Stafford with 2:30 left.

NAM is leaving SNH powerless

NAM back to a no show for SNE

So I did see a different map posted that showed like specific amounts not those ridiculous ranges. I’m not sure what happened there.

There will be one of those

I think you’ll really enjoy that area in the summer. I’ve actually never been to that town specifically, but anywhere along buzzards Bay there is nice.

This is kind of where I like the nam when it starts getting into its range it can kind of show that stuff.

Lower confidence there. I tend to agree. Can always hoist early tomorrow.

One thing in previous years that we kinda didn’t have around here to flip to snow, was insane rates. I suppose this one in theory could have that, so I guess that’s the only thing to hope for.

I think with the thermal fields aee closer to reality on euro, but the problem is you have to understand what it’s trying to show you in our area. In my professional opinion, it’s just a little too warm for a majority of this to fall as snow. Especially south and east of 95. I think we could flip at the end and that’s kind of what I’m hoping for. It also may briefly start as snow too.

Brett, your area and especially up through Foxboro, Sharon, etc. has the best chance of getting closer to those clown amounts. But even that is gonna be high. You really will need to rip a hole through the atmosphere I think to get something that would wetbulb to 32 and get you those amounts. After three years of seeing -1 to -2 at 925 and nothing but cat paws to show for it. I feel like I’m on repeat here especially early in the season. We’ll see. i’m not being pessimistic trust me there’s no one who wants things to break right more than me, I just hate when people get all disappointed because they thought they were gonna get more than actuality because they bought some of those clown amounts. So yeah south and east of 95 I definitely would not believe those amounts.

A great meme for it and also one of my favorite Metallica songs.

I think the typical GFS euro compromise has worked. GFS bumped quite a bit south over the last 18 hours.

It’s not when temps are barely 0C at 925 and warm above 0C below that. At least for you and I. Maybe if it rips it will turn to a 33 Fahrenheit snow, but it’s not gonna accumulate anywhere close to 10 to one. That’s what I’m trying to say.

Guys look at the thermal fields and not the 10:1 stuff.

You gotta look past the 10 to one nonsense. Also that vendor is absolute clown shows when it comes to those maps.

So tossed

Considering he just told me we live in a shitty snow spot probably not. Poor kid is exactly like how I was in the 80s or early 90s hearing the stories from my parents.

He’s already pissed off.

I will say on the gfs the H7 track is along south coast. I would look at that when 925-850 is 0 to near 1C like it is for Kevin because you’ll need big time VV to help get your isothermal bomb. That puts near Kev to BOS or so in that zone, although BOS is probably too warm lower 1500’.

You can with beer

Close to MLK meltdown

Borderline even for you

I mean the overall track, etc. It has a potential to be a decent coastal, but I don’t think it was that wound up winds were kind of meh with that.

It will