Mr. Windcredible!
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Posts posted by Mr. Windcredible!
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Really was hopeful we were going to avoid mixing concerns down here. So much for that. Is it too early in the day to start drinking?
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6 minutes ago, dryslot said:
18z GFS may finally get a clue.
...or not
might be it's worst run yet
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Just now, CT Rain said:
There's actually no time limit anymore on the watches... just 50% confidence of reaching the criteria.
didn't realize that. Upton referenced 48 hours in their earlier discussion, so I just assumed.
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For most of BOX's CWA start time is still a bit beyond 48 hours, hence no watches yet
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looking forward to seeing watches get hoisted soon. It feels like it's been forever since I've been under a watch and had relatively high confidence in it actually verifying.
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Should we really be using the extended progs though?
No, I only mentioned it since I felt like it supported most other guidance. If it were on its own I wouldn’t have mentioned it.-
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HRRR looks good
6z had the solid 1-3” across the state...12z cut back to like C-0.5”. I mean it’s the HRRR, if other 12z guidance disagrees then it’s tossed -
Skeptical about tomorrow, especially near the coast. 12z HRRR was pretty meager...had things mostly drying up as it enters SNE. I know it’s a crap model especially this far out, but seems in line with most other guidance. NAM is the outlier for tomorrow.
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While I’m linking where we sit here in S CT right now, hard not to be anxious after getting burned many times the past couple years.
If there’s one thing that’s a lock at this point...it’s that the NAM should deliver us some amazing weather porn today.-
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Few miles inland here...have slowly transitioned to some nice big fat flakes. Came into this with zero expectations, so nice to see. Let’s see if we can whiten the ground a bit.
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95 supposedly closed in Branford with trees in the highway
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Branford must’ve gotten nailed...10,000 outages there per Eversource...just over 30k statewide
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Probably one of the best storms thunder/lightning wise I’ve seen around here. Couple strikes right on the street. I’m okay missing out on the damage.
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North Haven damage
Damn. Gusty here...but no damage. Expecting some reports along the shoreline just to the west. -
Clinton Outlets gone?!
Looks like it goes west of here...probably more Madison/Guilford. Just on the edge here...sky is angry...lots of thunder/lightning -
Sun has come out here in the past 40 minutes. DP up to 67 and rising.
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That unexpected storm that came through early this morning really did it's dirty work. Screenshot from my PWS. Living the dream...
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I think we might have been the last town to clear out the low clouds today, even LI beat us. sun finally starting to peak through now.
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Some flakes flying here...34 deg
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Not sure what you saw but this is a massive pattern change to warm
I was talking about the next 8-9 days...prior to the 15th. Yes, hopefully some improvement finally after that...but ugly look until then.-
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56 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:
it won't extended warmth...unless you count 60s and 70s as warm
I'd consider that a heat wave at this point. If Euro is right we don't sniff anything better than the mid-50's until the 15th at the earliest. Hell, many may struggle to even break 50 most days.
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Another MOS bust here...up to 71. Actually a degree warmer than yesterday's high. Might have to enjoy lunch outside before temps drop this afternoon.
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pretty good lightning with this down in SW CT
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Round 2 of hail...along with a rumble of thunder. Nothing exciting wrt to size though...maybe some pea sized with this 2nd round.
Active mid December with multiple event potential
in New England
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A couple more crap winters down this way and I might be ready to start trolling the board like you