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Everything posted by Scraff
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I’m so mad I was out earlier for hard rock / metal talk. Let’s go! Huge fan of things metal. Iron Maiden / Judas Priest / Black Sabbath is how it starts, but man way too many more to list. Crue?? Hell yes! Winger though?? LOL. Fine. I have the first 2 Wingers albums. SOAD-not my jam. Love Disturbed though. I saw mention of Tool. They were my last concert pre-Covid. I love music as much as weather and beer. Not sure the order though. Family first though. Always. And damn it better snow next week! This fridge can’t drink itself!! Someone come over and I’ll share my last Coke Zero.
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thanks PSU. -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Finally a real model doing real model things! -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Congrats Norfolk. Lol eta: right where we want it? -
Need a Bernie Sanders meme sitting in the middle of that picture.
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Why just one? You’re allowed to ask for both the appetizer and the main course. -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’ll take my 2” of....never mind -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Consistency! That’s what we have been lacking, but we now have it. At some point, the GFS will catch on...probably around Monday. -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro going to starting caving next!? -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Seems like we have a good starting time too. Won’t have to worry about that sun angle for a few hours. -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
JI will hate it. It’s pink. Not blue. -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Whoa! High ratio fluff? -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Bring it home! -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
We abscond... -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Scraff replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
ICON QPF is a juicy 1-1.75 for 1/26. Too bad it’s not frozen. -
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Scraff replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
We need to bring it home! BTW—My fridge has been stocked up and ready since 2016. Eta: Meh-who we kidding. It’s always full of deliciousness. -
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Scraff replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Come on blue on blue! I know one person will that will like it...or find a reason to hate it. -
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Scraff replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’m a big fan of Larry Cosgrove. If this...or @psuhoffman doesn’t have you fired up for the next few weeks.... “I realize that there is a huge disparity between what some of the longer term modeling is showing for temperatures, and my analog projections. If you believe the CFS and ECMWF panels, none of the codler regimes showing up in late January will stick around in February. But realize: the model guidance has been useless since Labor Day. The impressive southern branch and flow splitting has created a thermal projection that looks like a typical El Nino, instead of what La Nina climatology (which the equations are using heavily) would suggest. And with the steady -ENSO signal projected to weaken, some of the blocking elements shown on the February 500MB comparison chart will come into play. Realize that the potential storm for January 24 - 28 is a very big deal in the outline for February! The event would set a template of sorts, with continued blocking around Baffin Island, helping to set up a recurrent chance for Nor'easter type cyclones (both Middle A and B variety. Cold drainage would be made easy by ridging that sets up along the West Coast and nearer to the North Pole. Curiously, the analog platform has the eastern two-thirds of North America about as cold as what Europe has been recently. An upper low centered roughly over Lake Superior and into central/southern Ontario would create happiness to snow and cold enthusiasts, quite possible through March as well. Note that a) hemisphere snow cover has expanded greatly, and b) the splitting of the 10MB circumpolar vortex has continued with ridging in far northern Canada. If you project on past modeling of stratospheric temperature, the potential is there for occasional cross-polar flow. So whereas Siberia is the coldest source region now, drainage may help to reform the cAk "motherlode" into Nunavut AR and the Northwest Territories. I think it is safe to say that snow and ice potential will be higher east of the Rocky Mountains, and that colder days are upon us. Just so you know, however, that the analog system projects a very warm April and May, and a searing hot summer with multiple East Coast hurricane threats. So enjoy the chill and the chance for whote powder, because "Redux 2020 Hurricane Season" is high on the probability charts. Sleep well tonight” -
Ravens game has been a total disaster (winter 2019/2020). **** it. At least it’s hockey season. Let’s beat the shit outta Pitt tomorrow. Hi @yoda
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Scraff replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’m sorry, but do you have cliff notes available? -
I’m torn on Charra. I HOPE it works out? Last time we had a fossil on D (Orpik), we won the Cup. Morning After from Hysteria was just canned like 20 mins ago. My favorite batch yet. Gotta love coffee though. It’s pretty much an iced 7% ABV coffee with soft cocoa and vanilla throughout. Types that as I sip the new Piney The Panda DIPA. Holy! 8.5%. West / East Coast hybrid. Can I get some PNA love one day day soon to help us with our snow dreams in the East!? LOLz
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Day drinking and getting ready for Caps hockey...the best!
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I might be able to save an 09 and 10 for a weather friends bottle/can share when we get back to “normal”. I have 2 of those each so would love to do that. I want to share with people who would truly appreciate them.
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What years are you cracking? I have some BCS bottles from 09/10/12/13/14/15. I mistakenly broke my chain of the vertical by drinking the 11. It was a drunken moment of stupidity during one our previous years snow storms. Let me know how the tasting goes. Love to hear about it. Cheers! Weather related - it’s cold and damn rainy. Too bad it wasn’t 10 degrees colder.
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Mid-Atlantic winter 2020-21 snowfall contest
Scraff replied to AnEndlessMaze's topic in Mid Atlantic
BWI: 17 DCA: 12 IAD: 19 RIC: 11 SBY: 9
