Syrmax

I have a pool and rely on warm/sunny weather to make/keep it warm. So once the snow stops i'm pretty much rooting for a blast furnace most days (with afternoon T Storms for the garden and lawn).

There's always June.

We had ~2" of overnight snow near Albany, Clifton Park, on May 18 2001. Could have been May 2002. So once every 2 decades or so for upstate lowlands based on very limited sample size. If this continues after dark we could easily see a few inches. Although melting between 6 hour measurements, esp in daylight will really knock totals down. I suspect we may see some inflated numbers with people over measuring. Actually, not sure what the cirrext protocol is when its melting between squalls.

Backyard in 1st round.

1" on elevated surface with the last slug of snow. Melting quickly. New round incoming

You know, I was going to expand and clarify but why bother. you are quite unlikable. Seek help.

Fair enough. I havent seen a lot on antibody testing on the Covid Tracking Project but I could've missed something. There's way too much information flow out there the last 3 months, overall.

Problem is we don't kknow if they're actually shitty tests or just Dems seizing on concerns about the rapidity by which FDA approved them. It will be figured out if they are shitty tests in due course but sitting around navel gazing and jerking off in peer reviews doesn't seem like the best approach while Rome burns.

This is part of why we are in trouble as a nation. https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/495772-alarm-bells-ring-over-controversial-covid-testing So this is now evolving as the latest anti-Trump political ploy to oppose the release of covid-19 antibody testing. First, in Jan the MSM and Dems line was, "this is all overblown". Then, when Trump shifted gears to denial and trivialize space, they swapped 180 to oppose that. This fit hand in glove with "not enough testing," ... bad Trump. And correct. Now we're getting more testing and its but but but, it's not good testing. GMAFB. When the Democrats (correctly) pointed out that the Admin was fumbling the testing rollout during Jan-Mar timeframe, and fingered the FDA as being an obstacle in the process, it made the Trump admin look bad. Ok, fair enough. Now, when they begin rolling out a lot of antibody tests, and have improved covid-19 test availability (somewhat), its: oh no no no, those tests didnt get rigorous enough scrutiny by FDA. And lest one feebly state "oh so you're ok with bad tests," read this: "But in the rush to get tests to the public quickly, there are worries that the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has allowed companies to market tests with little to no oversight, raising the potential for a surge in inaccurate results." There are worries. Really? By whom? C'mon, this is horsesh!t and clearly an attempt to keep the nation paralyzed for as long as possible to drive dissatisfaction and maximize economic destruction...which plays against Trump ostensibly in the election. These people better be very careful as people's patience with both sides is drawing thin. Unhinge enough people and frankly it'll be great entertainment watching these people all get what they've probably got coming.

Agree on that. In the end, I suspect that "excess mortality" might be a reasonable way to figure out a real number of covid-19 deaths. Not exact as seasonal flu lethality varies but we know statistically how many people die over the course of a year so any deltas ought to stand out.

We still have limited testing, whether it's due to a continuing lack of test kits or other procedural reasons, not sure. I'm not sure if there's an under or over count going on. There's been no shortage of claims both ways. Until proven otherwise, likely after the fact, I look at this issue as similar to bad refereeing...it washes out in the end...usually.

I dont know how granular they will, or can, get. Many counties have very low infection totals and it seems way overboard to be walking around in masks and all the other limitations on businesses. Problem is, if it gets relaxed in low infection upstate counties, its impossible to limit travel out of higher infection counties. So you rancid, infected mongrels in Rochester and Buffalo would have to stay home for it to fully work!

I've stumbled across interesting articles on health, weight control, etc with a focus on having the "right" gastrointestinal microbes and such. Not sure how real any of it is and a lot of nutritional stuff seems to border on junk science but some of it makes sense. If nothing else, if the Placebo effect works, roll with it.

NYC may stay in lockdown until 2022 or 2023. They'll never get a low enough caseload to convince themselves to come out. And that's fine, they can do what they want, or need to. Upstate we have a chance to loosen up in June but the first time trends even think about changing, Cuomo and local Committee's will reinstitute stricter controls. By Oct/Nov I'd expect we will plunge back into lockdown, so at best we have a 3-4 month reprieve. Without so called "herd immunity" the only real hope is that the virus mutates in our favor. Vaccines seem impossible in the next year or more and treatments incremental over time.

Gotta say, if I see one more Boeheim article in the Syracuse Post Standard I may go postal. Boeheim family, Boeheim wife, Boeheim's kids, Boeheim's fave salad dressing, Boeheim grilling gluten free dog turds, Boeheim's long lost relatives in outer Baluchistan, Boeheim's bowel movements...just stop.

https://www.syracuse.com/coronavirus/2020/05/as-he-struggled-to-breathe-cny-nursing-home-wouldnt-test-for-coronavirus-family-says-a-national-problem.html This seems almost criminally negligent. Even if it wouldn't have made a difference in outcome for this poor man, wouldnt a Nursing Home want to know if they have covid-19 circulating in the facility? Especially a Nursing Home... And to provide no explanations? Just wow. I can't imagine how furious the family must be. And no props to the County offices who seemed to have been completely ineffective here. Exactly what is it that they do again?

Normally we would blow this off as it's out there in time, but its like... next weekend. Not all that far off. No way this verifies.

Yeah it was when we had ours built...if you have the time to DIY, much less $ but know the regulations first!

This would have been an approach that people could get behind. Granted the MSM will always seek to slay Trump but normal people would have respected that approach. Instead, we got denial, downplaying, blamecasting and then in mid March, begrudging action. (To be fair, the MSM and Dems did downplay the threat in early Jan and when Trump restricted China travel late in January, as a Pavlovian reaction to him). Blustering aside, the biggest fumble was with CDC testing and the Trump Admin not fixing that pronto. There is where we lost a lot of time. Noone, in either party, was going to shutdown the country in February, with very few known cases. Even if CDC hadn't been incompetent, the virus was probably just starting to exponentially spread in late Feb into early March. But we were flying blind.

Going to be real hard to restart sports...because of this type stuff... After three positive tests, three people at 1. FC Köln are now in quarantine. The group training can continue. http://fc.de/en/fc-info/news/detailpage/details/results-from-covid-19-tests/

Yes, I actually need to get busy putting in new 4x4 wood fence posts for a friend of mine as their fence halfway blew down this winter due to being poorly installed a long time ago. Ground is soft and easy post hole digging...

That's gonna be a real problem this May. Have a feeling that anything frost sensitive can't be planted till def after Memorial day. Maybe early June. Other issue is getting garden tilled in with all the rain. I actually was out about an hour before it started yesterday to get another round done as I'm almost starting from scratch this year and want to get Broccoli and lettuce, onion sets out.

I did state "serious" pandemic. Perhaps I should have clarified so as to say, the last one, H1N1 Swine flu, which didn't need, or result in this sort of clusterf*ck.

$1.85 locally at BJs yesterday. My son sent me a gas station photo from near Charleston SC. $1.34/gal. They were around $2/gal when I was there in January as a reference.

I had a response posted but it was deleted somehow. "Expert" input should of course be considered and implemented where reasonable. I wasn't suggesting otherwise, as you seem to imply. But, in short, there are more considerations than that which PHO's and academics such as epidemiologists will factor in to actual policy. Left to their own devices, i fear that they would never allow reopening or significant relaxation of controls as cases will never be zero and there will always be the boogeyman of 2nd, 3rd, 4th waves lurking. Their models seem to be continually adjusted to fit whatever assumptions seem to fit the desired response...or after the fact to reflect actual data but by then it's too late. Decision makers (e.g. elected pols) have other considerations, such as trying to avoid a long lasting economic Depression and the unpredictable and manifold negative consequences of that. Which is not to say that the "denier bloc" has it right, as they are likely quite wrong in their approach, to put it mildly.