Sey-Mour Snow

Psych 101 class in session until the pattern shows signs of a flip in the 5-10 day range. Until then

Those 25 mph gusts are definitely going to loosen up some tree limbs.

Theres about 3-4 miracle solutions in the EPS that change it to heavy snow in western New England and New York.

Storms with origins that far south are usually warm especially with no antecedent cold air mass. I mean it’s already sub 980 by Myrtle beaches latitude. Looks tropical. We got our wish and saw what happens when the northern stream phases still not cold enough, so ya looks like the only chance would be a triple phaser with that polar jet. Onto the next one Christmas week…

Chestnuts roasting under the December Sun, Pacific Jet ripping out your soul.

I’ve been saying this for days. We don’t, and even if the pattern isn’t great it can still snow in New England. We’ve thread the needle many times before.

Thread the needle Christmas Miracle. It’s all we got.

Euro is much closer now with the 18/19 storm. Just need that northern stream to phase in.

CMC finally catching onto the storm for the 18/19th strong southern branch rain storm that hooks into cape cod .. However, if that northern stream were to catch up and phase man what a bomb that would be.

I'd assume he looked at any accumulating snowfall .1" or greater.

@The 4 Seasons was looking over some data and a rough look at it showed that no snow through January 1 is rare. Twice in the past 25 years at the CT shore.. Probably even more rare in the hills of southern CT and interior SNE in general .

Hi res stuff is getting wild with in CT. 4-8” now .. of rain..

18z gfs much colder for the day 9 storm.. still rain for most but 1-2' of heavy wet snow for the deep interior.. wouldn't it be funny if we pull off a heavy wet snowstorm in the middle of our torch and unfavorable period..

33mb drop in 24 hours

All we need to do is get past the 5-10 day unfavorable pattern and we can sneak a snow event in at anytime.

Some of the Debbie Downers in here are forgetting its December 8th.. How are we saying that the rest of the month is horrible and nothing until after Christmas the earliest? If your long range forecasting skills were that good, pretty sure you'd have an important job with NOAA. For now we know that things are unfavorable in the next 5-10 days and thats about it. Every piece of information that we have does in fact say that things slowly start to turn less hostile in the 10-15 and *edit* serviceable to possibly a good pattern in the 15-20. Thats all we know for now. Adding this part in, you don't need the perfect pattern to get snow post December 15th, all we need is to get rid of the hostile pattern.

Even some snow showers here we take what we can get for now.

I’m saying the unfavorable look at the end of the ensembles is there on the weeklies too. Then the weeklies shift everything east to a more favorable pattern towards the holidays.

Ya and it matches up with end of ensembles so it makes sense.

Arguably worse without that monster -NAO

GEFS look pretty awful through the 19th and at least a few days after that. Things definitely trending lights out til at least Christmas week. Hopefully we sneak in a snow event somewhere in there. No reason to freak out as most expected this. Hopefully the pattern progresses to what we want and think will happen by Christmas week.

Favorable changes in the Pacific on long range EPS especially days 9-13, however it’s on an island with that idea.

It’ was actually for the day 5 snow that’s probably not happening. And I think we all know it’s a clown map , I just said it would be funny if it verified. Lighten up grinch.

If that verified verbatim I might have to put a restraining order on Ray for SWCT.