Sey-Mour Snow

Down to 4-8" here .. with grass popping up under the tree branches and from salted areas ..

lol AIFS wayyy East

Ya I'm in the same boat .. I'd take a wind driven 4-8" snowfall to end the season though.. As is we need a miracle to get a big dog like GFS has over DC - IF EURO doesn't join us at 12z then it's virtually impossible IMO

Thank god we don't live in DC - talk about high stakes

Significantly better at 500 though..

Honestly I don’t think anyone trusts it I know I don’t, I think it’s more our dumb luck, it’ll finally catch a bone and be 100% right just to F us again. I'm thinking 25% chance big hit 50% light to mid snow 25% compete whiff

EURO AI didn't budge the SLP location from 00z, Low 970s very near BM just SE gust like GFS.. Euro is nowhere close to that.. Euro crosses 70W at 997mb at 36 degrees latitude lol while the others are a hair from the BM at 970mb

ticked SE nice mod event back to 91 would get some good banding, potentially major ENE

I need to see GFS and CMC to hold and expand precip shield and 12z AI come NW like 00z or even better, that would give me solid confidence and think that the EURO will eventually cave.. But if AI/GFS/CMC start ticking SE we can expect a blend towards EURO solution.

Nope I put them back on, keep on getting dressed and undressed to EURO / GFS

The AI version has moved 1000 miles in the past 24 hours

It’s been bad for a while, when it’s on its own it’s usually wrong. Again I’m just saying have an open mind not saying this is guaranteed coming back to be a big hit.

I’m not saying the storm is going to hit at all. But a big hit is still on the table. Are you guys delusional or lack the memory of the euro having how many fantasy blizzards in the 4 to 8 day range this season to not even come close to verifying when other models had no interest. The EPS is a joke as well come on guys. How many head fakes did we have with the EPS this season showing big hits to not even see a damn flake

Euro means absolutely nothing as others have said it’s been the outlier on massive hits this close in, not what it used to be. Do I think this hits? No idea. But day 5 is an eternity for all these definitive statements. I believe we have a 1 in 3 shot at either 1. Glancing blow 2. Big hit 3. complete whiff

I have a good feeling about this one.. Small favorable shifts at 500mb can take this from a glancing blow to a major blizzard .. We shall see, I've gotten played many times before..