Sey-Mour Snow

The AIGFS has 7 snow events in the next 12 days.

GFS and GEFS are 100% unusable .. the flip flopping is atrocious .. sticking with AIs EURO and then hires close in for now..

Probably not til Saturday. Hoping for a few inches from both..

Looks borderline SE of 84 and warm SE of 95. Will need rates and timing to be early morning. I couldn’t see a stripe of 2-4” in the meat of the band where it’s cold enough

Snow growth looks solid, nice lift in the snow growth zone.. Should be a solid swath of .15-.35" qpf

made a thread to separate the Saturday and Sunday convo..

Seems all we can muster up this season are these coating to 2" storms. Higher elevations favored, should be a a few hour period of moderate snow.. Timing differences with the steadiest snow, GFS is a bit earlier, EURO a bit later.. Looks like a snowy Saturday morning for most, earlier the better for accumulation potential down to the shore..

Look at euro snow output through day 12 for some comedic relief

rev is that you?

Today 50-55 , tomorrow a few squalls

Actually several models and ensembles like your area .. We will see if it holds at 12z

HRRR is like 55-60 for the Boston Metro, around 55 for Kevin and Hartford metro

Maybe we can get lucky like the old days and pull of a Feb 7 2021 weenie band Sunday/Monday https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-7-2021 That storm was forecast to be a massive hit in the mid range, then had the rug pulled in the 48-72 hour range came back last second to still be 6-12"

6z update on Sunday/Monday threat .. GFS NW moderate hit for ENE, EURO ticked SE, AIFS NW - light to moderate hit ENE

Well after the fake -NAO tease for early Jan .. We all said Jan 15th period was possible but unlikely, the first real threats would show up Jan-18 on beyond .. It's still the case even though Jan 18 is still very low probs and next week looks boring for now..