Sey-Mour Snow

Euro means absolutely nothing as others have said it’s been the outlier on massive hits this close in, not what it used to be. Do I think this hits? No idea. But day 5 is an eternity for all these definitive statements. I believe we have a 1 in 3 shot at either 1. Glancing blow 2. Big hit 3. complete whiff

I have a good feeling about this one.. Small favorable shifts at 500mb can take this from a glancing blow to a major blizzard .. We shall see, I've gotten played many times before..

Ya I was thinking just to see a bomb at the BM would be a massive win for us - after all this talk about it not being possible anymore

70" plus 90 mph winds that would be fun

Holy CMC if that comes up the coast…..

Talk about blue balls that run damn what a monster .. We still track

Lol it's all good, I'm in spring mode, but I would love another biggie - at day 5 there's still plenty hope - obviously odds favor a miss East currently, but I'll track the potential of a shift back NW and amped..

6z GFS and 6z EURO have a 973 mb low in the same spot at 129 hours out 200 miles south of benchmark.. we track that ..

It's not over, 6z GFS moved back NW for a clip/fringe, EURO AI a solid tic NW gets warning snow to most of ENE, EURO with a laughable amp up at 6z and way NW , fringes ENE now with a monster..

Dr. No Returns

I said HRRR verbatim , that’s what it shows lol .. Nams are much colder

Going to be tough on HRRR verbatim for Northern CT with heaviest precip up north and temps 45-50 for highs tomorrow. Need that 18z tic south ..

Amped doesn’t have to mean tucked in. It’s a more impactful storm at 18z just misses and is slightly east from 12z.. I’m more worried about euro still not biting .. However, every model has a powerful storm that bombs from the Delmarva to somewhere around the benchmark besides the euro so we do have that.

AI is more amped and 50 miles SE from its 12z run at day 5.5. I wouldn’t call that way east lol

Kevin might Jack with this one