Nam is not less amped just doesn’t get precip as far north as.. low is a tic north .. 25-50” around southern ct through nyc metro to central jersey wild run .. another jack NE too 20-30”
That was us in Juno 6-8" fell .. Forecast was 24-36" .. nws map had the 36-39" bullseye over my house still have the images on my phone for inspiration/rage when I need it.
What your recollection of 1978 compared to this? There are surface maps floating around comparing this to the surface map of 78 with a 1049 high in the same exact spot in Canada and a stronger storm this go around in the same spot.
Ya we have to just take this all in and enjoy - epic stuff being modeled.. We have to realize a low pressure around 970 mb will most likely go just inside the benchmark in the next 36-48 hours, wild things are going to happen..
For example Upton's Blizzard Warning is for 11-15" but there map has us at 15-16" lol makes no damn sense, then it makes people like us look bad when the public gets the alert for only 11-15"
Ya good call Scott, it's almost like it's a full 24-36 hours behind gfs trends, GFS is trending more NE while EURO just starting to see that Jersey max
Euro is a 11-15" plus ratios for southern CT gfs 20-30"+ so that can't be it.. Just a really conservative forecast .. especially considering how NBM and HREF are juiced and they usually hug the NBM