dendrite

This is going to be in and out of here relatively quickly. So I’m selling those modeled 1.5” QPF bombs in 6 hours in the form of snow. I could see a couple of hours of heavy here and maybe 4-5 hours around Gene, but I think there’s going to be a period where the models are indicating a ptype of snow, but the column below 850 is marginal or +1C near the surface and it’s just slobbering paste or catpaws mixed with rain. Eventually we all flip to liquid and the new pack becomes a slush puppy…especially down our way. That’s where I lean right now. There’s not much of a mechanism to hold the cold in. There’s a little in-situ CAD, but strong E flow can quickly erode that away. The large pressure falls are to our west so we’re not getting that northerly isallobaric component. It’s just a massive push of WAA in a short amount of time…except it’s backing in more from the east instead of the usual SW WAA we get in a SWFE.

No...lol

I’m leaning 6-8” up there as of now.

How are the birds handling the cold? I left mine in the coop this morning where there’s no drafts and it’s a little warmer. I just went in there and it’s 10° whereas the run is 0° and it’s still -3° outside. Maybe around noon I’ll let them into the run when the sun is beating on it more. The spruce trees on the south sude if my yard have gotten tall enough that they block the sun this time of year.

Yeah it’s now all under 3300’. I noticed the Hermit Lake snow plot at 3700’ was only -3°…way warmer than the rest of Coos.

I mean it doesn’t get a lot colder up there than this since you don’t really radiate. I’m sure your area has done -20s with wind, but like Will said, normally these temps with these winds yield mid -30s on MWN which is pushing their extremes.

I’ll be surprised if we get 3-5” total.

Subtropical storm

-7.7/-18 useless degrees

More like cold of yore…deep knicker freezing airmasses that come in under 850mb.

I mean that’s really nbd for them. It’s weird to see strong NW flow and they have the same temp as BML.

It is brutal out there. -7° and gusting to 30mph. My bamboo is going to all be top killed after this. Gene is -12° and Diamond Pond -21°.

Are the GEFS still outside of the Cape?

Looks like it’s coming in under 4000ft.

This airmass means business. Gusting over 40mph and down to 6°.

GFS was BGM to BTV. I mean is anyone really going to doubt it cutting through upstate NY at this point?

978mb over BGM. Congrats Ontario.

Nammy driving the mixing to BUF. lol

A lot of brightbanding with those oranges and reds, but that mix line is crashing SE on CC.

Ha…everyone ninjas me.

Are you actually NW of Halifax? Looks like the changeover line is cutting through Bedford. You can see the LTG to the NW as well.

ORH is no longer a snow town.

Waste of a life the last 2 years. I just want my dews back.

Who cares? It’s still a significant storm. If we didn’t have 100 pages for it in its own thread we’d have 100 pages for it in the pattern thread.

Thump, dryslot, drizz, net gain