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Thundersnow12

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Everything posted by Thundersnow12

  1. Yep Victor and I have been loving Tueday down there. Anytime you get 60 dews in NM with solid shear, look out. We each have seen tornadoes on 5/19 in three different years
  2. Yeah GFS ensembles are trying to latch onto the next weekend trough, maybe Thur-Sat or Fri-Sun before Memorial day and the 12z op Euro has it too.
  3. The 0z Euro itself for Saturday does look pretty ominous even though it has the morning round convection, destabilizes behind into across north TX into western/sw OK with 4000 j/kg and dew points in the low 70's as that jet comes across. Our trip is probably going to leave very early Friday morning if something like the NAM ends up verifying for that afternoon/evening.
  4. Yeah it really does look great beginning around 5/16 or a day after. The agreement continues to improve too. Loop the 0z GFS ensemble spaghetti plots on our CoD site. Good agreement right through day 9. The best thing is you get a good EML going during that period and the GOM just floods open as you keep reloading the west.
  5. Really impressive op GFS run tonight in la la land FWIW from about 5/17-5/21 and would continue after that. Finally a run which has been hinted at from ensembles.
  6. I'll be out again when you guys are out now as I'm also assisting Walker Ashley on CoD's trip 3 as well.
  7. Yeah I gotta say I'm getting pretty excited for how our trip (5/15-5/24) is looking right now.
  8. He will also be going above normal for the week to follow that as well.
  9. The CFS is changing run to run and even isn't in line with the GFS/Euro. Victor Gensini and myself are heading up trip 2 with CoD and we leave 5/15 and we both think it looks quite good at this stage and are very optimistic.
  10. awesome vis sat view of the big system off the coast of BC
  11. here is the image I saved of the 240kt g2g couplet....just amazing.
  12. happen to catch who? I'd be curious if it was one of the forecasters or someone higher up.
  13. unconfirmed report of a school gone along with houses leveled around it in the Manchester/Warm Springs, GA area.
  14. not good...180kt delta v with a velocity hole...looks like the tornado will go between all 3 towns.
  15. The horizontal vortices with some of the tornadoes today are absolutely amazing.. still amazed we saw a 240kt g2g couplet today.
  16. This needs to be a rude awakening for others, and more so people that live in big cities. This is going to happen in Chicago, ITS going to happen and people here are not ready for a violent tonado.
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