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Thundersnow12

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Everything posted by Thundersnow12

  1. Thundersnow12
    Yeah the 12z Euro looks pretty nasty on Tuesday from srn KS to the Red River, dryline stays west of I-35 with 55kt flow at H5, upper 60 dews and 3,000-4,000 J/kg.
  2. Thundersnow12
    Verbatim the 0z Euro looks quite good next Sun-Tues (day 7-9) more so Mon/Tues across the srn plains..
  3. Thundersnow12
    My second trip leaves Friday and after a little break of model watching, I finally looked this morning.. The 0z Euro and 6z GFS have me cautiously optimistic for some good chances across the nrn plains beginning as early as Monday possibly but hopefully getting even better just after that.
  4. Thundersnow12
    Yep Victor and I have been loving Tueday down there. Anytime you get 60 dews in NM with solid shear, look out. We each have seen tornadoes on 5/19 in three different years
  5. Thundersnow12
    Yeah GFS ensembles are trying to latch onto the next weekend trough, maybe Thur-Sat or Fri-Sun before Memorial day and the 12z op Euro has it too.
  6. Thundersnow12
    The 0z Euro itself for Saturday does look pretty ominous even though it has the morning round convection, destabilizes behind into across north TX into western/sw OK with 4000 j/kg and dew points in the low 70's as that jet comes across. Our trip is probably going to leave very early Friday morning if something like the NAM ends up verifying for that afternoon/evening.
  7. Thundersnow12
    Yeah it really does look great beginning around 5/16 or a day after. The agreement continues to improve too. Loop the 0z GFS ensemble spaghetti plots on our CoD site. Good agreement right through day 9. The best thing is you get a good EML going during that period and the GOM just floods open as you keep reloading the west.
  8. Thundersnow12
  9. Thundersnow12
    Really impressive op GFS run tonight in la la land FWIW from about 5/17-5/21 and would continue after that. Finally a run which has been hinted at from ensembles.
  10. Thundersnow12
    I'll be out again when you guys are out now as I'm also assisting Walker Ashley on CoD's trip 3 as well.
  11. Thundersnow12
  12. Thundersnow12
    Yeah I gotta say I'm getting pretty excited for how our trip (5/15-5/24) is looking right now.
  13. Thundersnow12
    He will also be going above normal for the week to follow that as well.
  14. Thundersnow12
    The CFS is changing run to run and even isn't in line with the GFS/Euro. Victor Gensini and myself are heading up trip 2 with CoD and we leave 5/15 and we both think it looks quite good at this stage and are very optimistic.
  15. Thundersnow12
    another beauty off the coast of BC
  16. Thundersnow12
    awesome picture to clearly see the snow level.
  17. Thundersnow12
    awesome vis sat view of the big system off the coast of BC
  18. Thundersnow12
    good lord that is an awesome picture.
  19. Thundersnow12
    here is the image I saved of the 240kt g2g couplet....just amazing.
  20. Thundersnow12
    happen to catch who? I'd be curious if it was one of the forecasters or someone higher up.
  21. Thundersnow12
    unconfirmed report of a school gone along with houses leveled around it in the Manchester/Warm Springs, GA area.
  22. Thundersnow12
  23. Thundersnow12
    not good...180kt delta v with a velocity hole...looks like the tornado will go between all 3 towns.
  24. Thundersnow12
    both with over 110kt g2g
  25. Thundersnow12
    432 tornado warnings today
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