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Thundersnow12

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Everything posted by Thundersnow12

  1. Thundersnow12
    12z GFS the new hotness for next week here
  2. Thundersnow12
    Sfc temps really marginal early on until the defo cranks NW IN into MI but yeah, sfc low really deepens fast
  3. Thundersnow12
    12z GFS is a decent thread the needle hit here with the low amplitude wave amplifying some but marginal low level thermals/poor time of day cuts down on accums.
  4. Thundersnow12
    First image is the 0z Euro members and the second image is the 6z members. The 0z op run didn't even have a system as the upper low north of Lake Superior didn't allow the potential wave to do much after crossing the Rockies. And I'm talking about the pre Thanksgiving system
  5. Thundersnow12
    This one legit made me lol he's had some rough med range calls as of late
  6. Thundersnow12
    Probably needs its own thread but too lazy to make one. 12z Euro came in with 3-5" along/north of 88 across northern Illinois late Sunday night through mid afternoon Monday.
  7. Thundersnow12
    Z Germans must’ve upgraded z German. Consistent as it gets with this system. Lock steady. Ride it.
  8. Thundersnow12
    Deepens 24mb in 12 hours lol 1002mb nw IN Thursday evening to 978mb Fri morning over far nrn MI
  9. Thundersnow12
    North of DBQ ends up the jackpot zone with 20" between both systems. Half inch for ORD. A nice nickel and dimer
  10. Thundersnow12
    GEFS mean and members look like they made a small jump to the Euro camp and as posted, the 12z GEM jumped more towards the Euro.
  11. Thundersnow12
    2-5" swath verbatim from STL to Chi metro
  12. Thundersnow12
    Hot look
  13. Thundersnow12
    Euro crushes parts of IA/MN with a blizzard before Halloween and probably severe with upper 60 dews getting into srn IL and north of the OH River.
  14. Thundersnow12
    12z GFS with first sticking snow day before Halloween
  15. Thundersnow12
    Weird looking at GEFS member snow accumulations this early in the season
  16. Thundersnow12
    Has been some very interesting GEFS members the last 36 hours or so
  17. Thundersnow12
    https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/winter-outlook-warmer-than-average-for-many-wetter-in-north
  18. Thundersnow12
    No talk of tomorrow? ND looks good tomorrow and eyeing srn MN myself on Wednesday
  19. Thundersnow12
    Victor Gensini and I have 5/14-5/25 blocked off for a trip to the plains, dependent on the pattern of course.
  20. Thundersnow12
    Victor Gensini and I are leading trip 3 with COD and we are out June 2nd-June 11th. Both optimistic as things look currently.
  21. Thundersnow12
    Departing Friday morning and probably chasing northeast/eastern NM on Saturday then some better days to follow across the plains. We'll see how the models shake out
  22. Thundersnow12
    Leaving on CoD's trip 2 next Friday.. 12z op GFS run looks like it came around to the GEFS members idea the last several runs of a good trof signal by next weekend and the week beginning 5/16 along with a good EML being able to come out with an open Gulf. We will see how things shake out but I'm fairly optimistic
  23. Thundersnow12
    Yeah the 12z Euro looks pretty nasty on Tuesday from srn KS to the Red River, dryline stays west of I-35 with 55kt flow at H5, upper 60 dews and 3,000-4,000 J/kg.
  24. Thundersnow12
    Verbatim the 0z Euro looks quite good next Sun-Tues (day 7-9) more so Mon/Tues across the srn plains..
  25. Thundersnow12
    My second trip leaves Friday and after a little break of model watching, I finally looked this morning.. The 0z Euro and 6z GFS have me cautiously optimistic for some good chances across the nrn plains beginning as early as Monday possibly but hopefully getting even better just after that.
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