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BrianW

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Posts posted by BrianW

  1. 12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

    Actually not a bad idea to check out Bostons last 48/49 months above average. Then. calculate the average departure then see add it to each month and see what city in the Mid-Atlantic is closest. 

    HVN's mean average January temperature was 41.4. Dulles in DC 42.3.

    Not that surprising though where a good portion of Southern CT is technically in climate zone 4 now based off the last 15 year temperature trends. DC is in zone 4. 

  2. It's going to be interesting to see how the power grid handles this cold shot.  That one in December caused all kinds of issues. I think I remember reading something like 40 million gallons of fuel oil had to be used during that cold snap in New England. With diesel over $5 the costs are astronomical.

    Screen-Shot-2022-12-30-at-8_46.25-AM.thumb.png.9ddaa8ee250209c3b9ba9858460ef972.png

    Screen-Shot-2022-12-29-at-2_09.01-PM.thumb.png.efd292dcf55b70f3ed749129d13ba29e.png

    • Like 1
  3. 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

    I just meant the warm season in general.  I might go through a couple more gallons of heating oil on Saturday than normal, but overall, my energy use has been less.

    Sports betting is now legal in Mass!  Might have to do a few parlays to cover Saturday

    When I looked last week every CT station had record low heating degrees days for January. 

    Here is BDL. 

     

    chart.jpeg

    • Like 3
  4.  

    And drier....I guess we could dry out a bit. Hopefully the plants/trees can handle it. I swear some of my fruit trees are budding like it's late March. My strawberry plants have nice green leaves. Probably have to blanket everything, just to be safe. This winter....

     

    45 years living on  the CT shoreline and have never seen such an early spring. Forysthiaa are already blooming here...

    20230122-135051.jpg

    • Like 3
  5. 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

    Wild January stats from my weather station. The coldest high temperature was 34 degrees this month. A whopping 17/24 days had a high of 40+ and only 7/24 days made it into the 20s at night. 5.78” of rain .4” of snow. 

    Only 3 days below 32 for HVN. +11.2 and the warmest January on record at 41.6. Previous record was 2020 at 36.8.

    month_01__year_2023__station_HVN__network_CT_ASOS__dpi_100 (1).png

    • Like 2
  6. Feels like full on spring here. Bulbs coming up, lawns nice and green with dandelions, there are hundreds of worms flooded out all over driveways and roads this morning. 

    Has to be some near record departures for January. 

    DXR  +12.5

    HVN +11.1

    GON +10.1

    BDR  +8.2

     
     

     

    month_1__year_2023__station_HVN__network_CT_ASOS__dpi_100.png

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  7. 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

    Looks like 4 rain events in the next 14 days or so up in NNE.

     

    Just waiting on confirmation from the other people coming with us; but we are most likely canceling our trip.

    Cant believe the weather is going to force us to cancel a ski trip in mid-late Jan. You hate to see it

    Shut em down?

    • Like 1
  8. 1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

    You want a make a cogent argument where a few degrees of warming has already made a huge difference in local climate—Buffalo NY. Lake Eerie open longer/later; slightly more instability with the warmer lake temps. These “anomalous” snowfalls will become much less so…

     

    RDT_20221218_1744082632755938805708011.jpg

  9. Congrats to MVY for a white Christmas. 

    Made some adjustments to PoPs for the band of ocean effect snow affecting the Islands, leaning heavily on 06z 3km NAM which has a great handle on its current position and expected trends. This is an unusual situation that we often only see with SW flow when there is a departing arctic airmass. It`s actually rather shallow, only up to around 3,000 ft in depth, which is why it looks unimpressive on radar, but IR satellite shows its origins are in Long Island Sound and it extends across Block Island to Martha`s Vineyard and Chatham.

  10.  

    2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

    This is what I was told by an Eversource friend. 70k is modeled mean worst case is 250k

    I just saw this on Reddit from a CT lineman. 

    Unfortunately, there’s a lot of power companies throughout the US right now, hitting the emergency button due to the weather in their respective areas. From Illinois all the way to Rhode Island and north, hundreds of power companies are snagging all the traveling lineman, nationwide, leaving Eversource short-staffed. The usual crews Eversource would get from Texas and alabama and Canada, are now going to Michigan and New York and other states and even staying back in Canada to work on their own system. 

    Mark my words, if this number reaches to 380,000, I promise you it will not be a 3 day restoration timeframe. It will be a week or more.

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