FPizz
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Posts posted by FPizz
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This upcoming weekend might add 2-3" more if the GFS has a clue today
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2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:
For whatever reason during El Niño winters there tends to be less variation in model solutions inside 7 days. I’ve never completely understood why
Very interesting. I'll have to remember this for future tracking this winter.
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2 hours ago, bluewave said:
https://www.apnews.com/9ddb3deeec9a49d6a1349b78f1ca0f03
WASHINGTON (AP) — Over the past few decades tornadoes have been shifting — decreasing in Oklahoma, Texas and Kansas but spinning up more in states along the Mississippi River and farther east, a new study shows. Scientists aren’t quite certain why.
Tornado activity is increasing most in Mississippi, Arkansas, Tennessee, Louisiana, Alabama, Kentucky, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin, Iowa and parts of Ohio and Michigan, according to a study in Wednesday’s journal Climate and Atmospheric Science. There has been a slight decrease in the Great Plains, with the biggest drop in central and eastern Texas. Even with the decline, Texas still gets the most tornadoes of any state.
Why is this happening?
“We don’t know,” Gensini said. “This is super consistent with climate change.”
As the Great Plains dry out, there’s less moisture to have the type of storms that spawn tornadoes, Gensini said. Tornadoes form along the “dry line” where there are more thunderstorms because there’s dry air to the west and moist air from the Gulf of Mexico to the east.
That dry line is moving east.
“This is what you would expect in a climate change scenario, we just have no way of confirming it at the moment,” Gensini said.
Gensini said unless there are specific detailed studies, he and others cannot say this is caused by global warming, just that it looks like what is expected.
Pennsylvania State University meteorology professor Paul Markowski, who wasn’t part of the research, praised the study as careful and well done.
Interesting. Hasn't the trend been somewhat flat to slightly downward over the past 100 years or so for overall tornado's per year? So maybe slightly less to flat in #, but more spread out? I didn't read the whole article, but does it include radar indicated tornado's or actual confirmed one's? As we see here in the NE, many times radar indicates a tor but there wasn't actually one that occurred.
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16 minutes ago, Poker2015 said:
Was wondering how much we got yesterday. Thanks for posting, neighbor...
Sure thing!
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Just now, Brian5671 said:
Visible shot shows alot of breaks in the clouds, guessing alot of this burns off in the next few hours (still socked in here)
Was sunny down this way in NJ, but now overcast again.
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2.28" yesterday.
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Feels cool today being in the upper 60s outside.
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Saw several last night in Branchburg, 9/16
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5 minutes ago, csnavywx said:
ASOS at ILM reported 56G91KT (62G105mph). Multiple reports of 100+ mph gusts along the coast to the east as well and sustained 80-90 just east/southeast of ILM.
Their highest wind gust in 58 years since Donna in 1960.
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9 hours ago, ncforecaster89 said:
I'm in North Topsail Beach. Too busy to post much. If interested in updates every 1-2 hours...with video snapshots and pressure readings, please consider following me on Twitter @tbrite89.
Pressure at 986.8 mb and continuing to drop.
Any updates? See on twitter you were in the eye wall. Be safe!
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On 7/21/2018 at 8:47 PM, dmillz25 said:
Is radarscope a 1 time 10 dollar payment or 10 dollars a month ?
I think $10 per year.
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On 7/11/2018 at 7:24 PM, forkyfork said:
remember when it used to rain more than once every few weeks
Yeah, like this spring when it rained constantly here.
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8 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said:
Jeez. It's really happening.
Yup, soon we will be able to cook spaghetti in boiling ponds.
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Merge. Being in cnj and almost equal distances to both big cities, I liked when it was together years back. It seems like merging would bring out more posts from people thay are just lurking or rarely post now because they are mostly talking to an empty audience. It is really sad how peoples egos get hurt over a weather board.
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And likewise those with left based organizations....so what are some fringe left biased journals in your mind??
There are none because they are all 100% true and spoken from God's mouth, duh!
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"The journal Energy and Environment is a peer-reviewed social science journal published by Multi-Science"
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Energy_and_Environment
Given the above, I'll assume that any reasoning for your statement is simply that you disagree with that study's conclusions. Whether you think the journal is good or not is unimportant. The fact remains that the above studies are peer reviewed, and that was the point I was arguing in the prior pages.
Great post, thanks for the links to these.
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The sea ice thread is out of control. It is amazing the passion people have about ice thousands of miles away from their backyards... ha.
They have the passion because we are all doomed to die from massive floods. Why else would they walk around with duck floatie tubes around their waists just in case it happens today?
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Hahahah!I would not be able to succeed in a traditional masters in science path. Regardless, my biggest strength is gathering/connecting information others have built and I believe I do this better than most.
I think I understand the climate system better than most, especially versus someone who only holds a mathematical degree, but it was accomplished on my own time and on my terms. I believe self-education is the new frontier, especially with the rising costs of college.
Everyone has their place in this field of study. I posted about educating/giving internet to impoverished African Americans in the PR forum and got slammed by everyone for being racist. It's not a one-way street, lol.
My goal here is to make it easier for people without credentials to have a voice, because they should be valued to some degree depending on what they can deliver.
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To take this further, how do we account for the great (SE+) cold of Feb.'s 1835 (0 F in SAV!), 1895, and 1899? The great deep SE snowstorm of 1/1800? The 1893 'canes? The great SE heatwave of Sep. 1925?
Easy, not everything is GW. It is weather.
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93.3 here
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It was also bad plenty of times in the past. Blaming global warming on everything is the biggest problem. When you blame it on warm, cold, wet , dry, etc, most people don't give a crap anymore and feel it is complete b.s.
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Do "green" companies pay agw scientists $ as well?
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Not sure if it was said, but thanks for adding new bruns. I'm in piscataway and some days I forget to reset the thermometers.
Precipitation stats NJ
in New York City Metro
Posted
I got 1.36" this weekend total.