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On 7/29/2025 at 9:46 AM, forkyfork said:

i have a big giant house that i keep at 68 degrees all summer and i have three cars in the garage. i had all the trees on my property cut down because i hate them. climate change is china's fault

You live in your moms basement and collect rocks and haven't got a forecast right in 15 years

.30" after a little rain overnight.

9 minutes ago, mgerb said:

It is. That's from the NJWxNet. 

Thanks.  I like the map layout

Saw this from a FB group for nj.  Not sure how accurate it is

1 hour ago, Poker2015 said:

.31" and light rain for another 20 mins probably...whole lot of nothing here again

Only .19" on my station

1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

I've been getting some 30 to 35mph gusts. Not too bad. 

How much rain? Im in obx with several piscataway people and they are wondering.

.11 on my station 

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

Yes, it's true.  But temperature is what we can measure directly.  You need to work with some math formulas to combine moistness with temperature to measure heat.

the official NWS definition of *hot summer* ranks them by number of 90 degree highs and does not factor in moisture.

 

No one ever references dewpoints when talking about hot temps.  They reference 90 degree temps like you said.  Plus we will probably switch to wbgt within a few years which measures real feel much much better than the outdated method now.  Kind of how they switched wind chill measurements in 2001.

93

2 hours ago, RedSky said:

 Big beautiful tariffs on the smoke 

People that want to dim the sun should like the smoke, but yet all they do is complain about it.  Frauds

15 hours ago, snowman19 said:

Interesting find. JB tries tying it into the NAO….high Atlantic ACE/-ENSO = -NAO winter. I have found zero convincing evidence in that regard. The PNA connection you found is interesting though

Obsessed with him. You would think he posted here or something by the amount of times you bring him up.  His x posts get like 3 likes and zero replies.  He's pretty much irrelevant,  except to you

96 yesterday 

2 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

Im unfamiliar with the details of the Ambient stations, there's no battery back up?

I've had it for 5 years and dont remember.  I know its connected to my internet,  but there is a battery backup on the display.  I just wasnt sure if it loses signal, once it gets back online, if it adjusts and updates on my app.  It looks like the 3 stations on my street all got around .45" so maybe it does update 

5 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

Car literally shaking in parking lot after insane wind gust

.hurricane like rain

 

Pray for those on the road

What did you get?  Im on vacation and lost power at my house, so my ambient station lost about 5 minutes of rain before the generator kicked on and the internet reconnected.  I think I had around .50" though

8 hours ago, Sundog said:

So they were just sitting on this data for all these years and decided to all of a sudden release it?

I didn't think anyone was even keeping daily weather records in Newark from the early 1840s. 

How does the weather record of Newark beat NYC's by almost 30 years?

25000 people lived in Newark back in 1845 compared to over 310k now.  Doesn't even compare.  

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

In this new, warmer climate, I don't see how we have a winter like 2002-2003 again unless all of our houses float away in a pool of molten lava.

JK Chris....I do agree that the ship has sailed on that magnitide of sustained cold at this point.

For me, in winter, I'm looking for snow and just cold enough (which 9x out of 10 that is what happens when it snows here.  Super cold snowstorms are always rare in the NJ/NYC area).  Whether it melts or not, it doesn't matter too much to me.  02/03 I had 53", 20/21 I had 51", so I'm pretty confident that we will still get big snow winters, which I think we all are yearning for anyway.  

Shows how sharp cutoffs can be in this area.  I live pretty much dead even between NYC and Philly, and that same 7 year average here is 22.375" or pretty much 8" more than NYC and JFK.  My worst stretch here was 96/97 through 01/02 (6 years), the average was only 17.3".  8 out of the 10 years in the 90s were complete trash as well.  Those 8 years averaged only 17", but 93/94 and 95/96 bumped the decade average up to 27" since those 2 were amazing winters.  08/09-14/15 averaged 41.6", which is my best stretch here.  Way too many sweeping generalizations get posted in here.  

12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I expounded upon this exact concern.  

I think the original poll/question creation evinces a very superficial understanding - not just in the author, who may or may not have that limited awareness... (likely it's just poorly written). But I do find that elsewhere in society. 

A very linear and limited understanding in the general civilization, so much so that it doesn't lend to much 'intuitive' feel for crisis.  

It's incumbent upon the scientific community to learn a means to communicate the secondary ...nth degree causal feed-back depths that occur in complex systems in nature.   This better sort of PR tact in bringing the perils of CC to the public eye was badly performed in the early days of this...   The scientific tact was an attack on ways of life, ways of life multi-generation established and wholly dependent upon fossil fuels, both indirect and directly ...   It just set the opposition table; not the understanding.  It's been easy for Big OIl's counter-campaign, really, because of it.   Now, denial itself is multi-generational. 

All of this could have been summed up by saying giving a timetable to the question would have been better for the poll.

12 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the record breaking December 2015 +13° around our area seemed to be the very beginning of this shift. We still continued the epic snowfall and benchmark tracks that started in 09-10 until 17-18. Then the rapid jump in the mid-latitude ridging and SSTs began around 18-19. It shifted the winter storm track through the Great Lakes and gave us the record low snowfall for a 7 year period.

 

If I get lucky and get a 50" winter this season, I would be at exactly normal snow for the decade.  Right now I'm averaging 4" below normal from Dec 2020-now

I took the question as gradual.  If it is gradual, we will adapt just fine.  History already showed that.  

60 even this morning.

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

Yes  24 - 30 NYC 7/31 : 102 (1933)

Was nyc the warmest today in today's rundown?

22 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

How welcome would that be! It was actually a pretty nice start to June. Hardly used any AC til June 20th or so but since then I haven't turned it off. Even with a few cool nights and pleasant days this week, im like, what's the point?

Yeah, I never turn mine off.  If the house cools off, the a/c unit won't click on.  

19 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Waterspouts were spotted

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Okay...lets poll this....how many in this thread think Chris would have been too cold if he had issued a foreast last season? 

None.  If there is a record high temp in bumble Montana, we will 100% see a post in the NY forum about it.  A few record lows last night across NE, silence.  Zero chance this guy would have been too cold.  

59 this morning.  I see there were a few record lows in New England. Nice.

San Francisco isn’t expected to hit 70°F again this July.

If that holds, it’ll tie the all-time record: just two days above 70°F in June and July, the fewest since records began in 1874

26 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

I just arrived in Newport on the first leg of my vacation. However, 1885-86 had 31.9” of snow. Its biggest snowstorm was 5.3”.

You always take great pics.  Enjoy!