tamarack

Woods were fairly quiet this morning, except in open areas where it sounded like I was walking thru 6" of potato chips. Jays and squirrels active but no recent sign of deer.

And the post from PF noting how late it was with no freeze and contrasting it with much colder temps 1500+ miles to the southwest started the angry/disgusted/whatever posts that seemed to brand we NNE folk as climate change deniers. We just like pointing out anomalous wx phenomena, with my favorite being during our 1st December in Maine (1973) and seeing 56° at BGR while my parents in NNJ had 15° (and western CT was in a major ice storm). Sill mid 30s RA here with occasional IP incursions. Today will be just the 2nd with BN temps since 10/15 and the month will be 2nd mildest of 26. My parsing of a number of Maine co-ops show warming since the 1960s-70s cooldown, with the steepest climb since 2000. Also with increased snowfall this century, as predicted by many climate models.

Double bust here, not in the good way. I don't remember the forecast for 11/27-28/2002 (we had 0.2" here) but the Christmas night storm was progged for 8-12 here. It verified with 1.0" while GYX, 55 miles south, recorded 18.0", at the time their biggest. SIL in east Augusta had 15" and Belgrade Village, 12 miles to our SE, had 8". Sharp cutoff, anyone. That entire winter was suppression city here, with only the 7" in mid-November and 13.8" in early January being notable. Total was nearly 2 feet BN and ranks 19th of 25 winters. (The DJFM period in 02-03 was our driest and 3rd coldest, with the dozen mornings in the minus 20s showing decisively than I can't grow peaches here.)

Another IP/SN burst about 11:45, put a tenth on the canoe bottom but didn't stick anywhere else.

Had 15 minutes of IP ending with some fat flakes about 9:30. Now it's back to RA with temp mid 30s. First October frozen since 2020, makes 16 of 26 here with at least a trace, though only 7 with measurable snow. 1989 there was a biggie around Thanks Giving, but that one may have been a more full latitude type of storm genesis That was a good event for SNE while we had only flurries in Gardiner. Our turn had come 2 days earlier with 8.5" and winds gusting 50+ along with thunder.

I think you know the answer. Trees cycle carbon, with some entering the atmosphere as dead wood decays, and some is added to the duff layer that helps to grow the next generation of trees that then remove atmospheric carbon. In very old forests - several hundred years - carbon sequestering is near zero but by then the total carbon storage is huge, both above and below the ground. Using wood to replace fossil fuel, for domestic heat or for replacing heavy carbon footprint building materials, are benefits from managed forests. No magic trees, just the many good things from forests.

How about the carbon footprint of golf in the US. (If you've done that calculation in the golf thread, which I never peruse, please let me know.)

Low 70s here, as clouds announcing the approaching CF cut off the sun about 1 PM, with W/NW breezes following.

A day late, but an LEO on one of the pressers said that police reached the bowling alley 90 seconds after the first 911, and 5 minutes after the first 911 from the bar. (Probably the time it took to drive the 4 miles on city streets between sites.)

The high of 70 here would be better for laying asphalt shingles, mild enough for comfort but not softening the black stuff such that head-down nailing might be required to avoid damaging the tabs. With the low of 47, today will be 17+ degrees AN, a top-5 departure in October #26. Depending on whether tomorrow's late cool down cancels the morning low, the day may challenge the +20.5° of 10/15/14. (71/51 would do it.)

Finally read (CNN) some of the info on the letter found in the Subaru. It said that Card did not think he would be found alive and included directions on who would get what of his possessions. Suicide note? Huge misdirection attempt? Also read that the weapon found in the car was a tactical rifle in .308; crime lab will test it against the bullets found at the crime scenes. That cartridge is far more powerful than the more common .223 found in such rifles, and it's a very common hunting cartridge, nearly as powerful as my .30-06 and its shorter length means faster chambering in a bolt-action rifle. Searching for Card is worse than looking for the proverbial needle in a haystack, because that needle isn't moving, and Maine has loads of "haystacks". LEOs have received 500+ tips as of noon, and if it looks like authorities are chasing their tails, they have to run down all the ones that seem somewhat solid. The one they don't chase may be the one that was valid.

This, a thousand times. Since Cool Spruce had the stroke (can it be a dozen years?) I've had more conversations here with Jeff than anyone else, and it's not close. Now he's dealing with yet another personal tragedy while in shock for what happened a few miles to his north. Stay strong, Jeff; others in your family need you.

He would have to bluff his way past the North Maine Woods or Baxter Park gates. I hope those folks were alerted to that possibility. Once in those places he'd be impossible to find as long as he could feed and shelter himself. However, winters there would be challenging and there's not dozens of nearby camps/houses to raid, as did the North Pond hermit for 27 years. Edit: Posted this before seeing Jeff's link to the Downeast article.

Don't think it reached 65 here, as except for some brief sun before 8 AM it's been all gray skies. (Of course, the average max here for today is 51, so even a mere 65 is noteworthy.)

The nonsense is a society where a machine gun is at the beck and call of every warped, troubled soul. This is false. Since the mid 1980s it has been extremely difficult to acquire a legal full-auto weapon. I'm not familiar with all the red tape but it includes a deep-dive character check and a stiff fee to ATF, among other things. That said: 1. I've no idea whether this shooter's weapon was full-auto or semi-auto. It looks like a tactical rifle (a.k.a. "assault weapon"), one on which various attachments - telescopic scope, night-vision scope, laser aim point, rangefinder, etc - can be quickly installed/removed. 2. A semi-auto with a 30-shot clip might be more deadly than a full-auto, though this trained former military man may have sufficient work with full-auto to hold the barrel down. A friend used to own, legally, a full-auto mini-14 and a 40-shot clip. I got to fire a full clip once, and on 3-shot burst I was unable to hold the muzzle down, such that shots 2,3 were off-target high. 3. My Remington Model 76 pump in .30-06 is probably far more powerful than what the killer was shooting, but my rifle's max is 5 cartridges not 30, and the small but fast .223 that's most common on his kind of weapon is plenty deadly and likely able to penetrate the Kevlar safety vest.

Many Maine deer would be transplanted to freezers if that were to verify.

Top "5" for me: 26.5", 3/14-15/1984 in Fort kent 24.5", 2/22-23/2009 in New Sharon 24.0" (5x) 3/18-19/1956 in NNJ 3/20-21/1958 in NNJ 2/3-4/1961 in NNJ (May be an underestimate, thanks to howling winds) 12/26-27/1976 in Fort Kent 12/6-7/2003 in New Sharon (Between 3/56 and 2/61 there were 3 storms of 18" and one of 20". That was by far the greatest big snow period I've seen.)

Your "top 5 snowstorm" would be my #1, by 3". I was happy with the 22" dump in mid-December, enough to survive the Grinch deluge the following week.

Do you know if you'll be able to have the table this season?

In Maine law, one of the penalty options is $3 per stump diameter inch. If the average stump was 10", that would add up to over $25k. (Triple stumpage is levied far more frequently.)

Best retention here was 07-08, also our snowiest with 142.3". Its 3,837 SDDs is easily #1. 2nd place was 18-19, though it was only 5th highest snowfall. Its 3,441 SDDs came from long duration, 11/10 thru 4/20, built on dense snow plus significantly BN temps in March and April. That winter's "retention factor" (SDDs/snowfall) was highest by far. The second snowiest winter, 2000-01, ranks only 5th for SDDs, because it had only 79 going into the new year. Tops for April, though. You must have been in NJ for this T-day event: If I had still lived in the Jersey Highlands where I grew up, probably would've seen 3-5". However, we began married life in June of that year and though we lived less than 10 miles from my parents, it was also 500' lower. Maybe we saw flakes but as my NNJ records are long lost, I can't remember.

Biggest Thanksgiving Day snowfall was 5.5" on 11/27/14, concluding the 13" event that's my only November storm with 10"+. 2nd place was 3.7" on 11/24/05, the weird event that spawned EF-0 and EF-1 tors on the midcoast. Even less common is Easter snow, with one exception. In 53 Maine Easters, none have delivered more than 0.4". However, 3/29/1970 in NNJ brought 11" of low-mid 20s pow. Even NYC got 4" from that one.

All NE winds here during that event as well, but modest velocity. After 10.7" with 2.67" LE interspersed with 1.14" of 33-35 RA, the 7" (2.7" LE) on the down-to-gravel driveway was far harder on the scoop than the 24" dump a year before, even though the earlier pow had to be pushed up and over the 4-foot-high snowbanks. (Snowblower was out of commission for both winters, but it likely wouldn't have been able to handle the 2010 mush.) First freeze this morning, 27° with a skim of ice on the washtub.

Average for 25 years here is 88.6" and for the first 20 we never had consecutive winters without a 12"+ event. Then we had 3, 18-19 thru 20-21 and only the 12.4" storm in early Feb 2022 prevented a 4th. The real end was last Dec's 22" bomb. Looks like we'll have our 9th straight cloudy/mostly cloudy day today, and probably the 1st sub-50 max of the season.

Depended on location, of course. 1981-82 and 83-84 (Fort Kent) were very snowy and 86-87 (Gardiner) had ~50" in January and a long deep pack. Then the pre-Thanksgiving blizzard that began the 6-week cold snap in 1989 included the 2nd of my 3 lifetime thundersnows. (Other 2 are 12/24/1966 in NNJ [thought the first crack was sonic boom because snow/thunder "couldn't happen"] and 2/11/2005 here.)