Jebman

1 hour ago, pazzo83 said:

yeah I was just in Austin - humid as hell.

Yeah it is challenging outside right now. Light wind out of the southeast, sun blazing, and 79 dews alongside 90 degree ambient temps. I'm outside happily weeding, weeding weeds that keep growing right back, often within 48 hours. These conditions really are seriously detrimental to those working outside. Pazzo, find air conditioning. You don't have to be out in this. I do and I am in it often, but you should just find a cool place like a theater. Backrooms is pretty good. Watch every movie. That's a lot better than roasting in this miasma of a spring day down here.

Partly cloudy down here in Buda with rain showers around, pleasant 87 degrees BUT with a dewpoint of 79 degrees. UGH! Dewpoints here are beginning to average in the upper 70s most days.

90/77 down here, nice comfortable heat index of 104.

On 6/9/2026 at 6:08 PM, IronTy said:

JB is reading last rites for the winter with the 97-98 analogue.  How do we trade this and make bank?

TIMING.

Time the cold with the anomalous moisture associated with a super nino episode you have a brobdingnagian blizzard for DCA and the entire sub.

9 hours ago, mdhokie said:

Just two? That sounds like a normal DMV commute to me. Lately even central MD traffic has been terrible. Not sure whats going on, but everyone seems really on edge. Last Friday I-95 was shutdown in Howard County, then Saturday on my way to Hagerstown for a softball tournament I-70 gets shut down. Many days rt100 where it merges with 29 is a complete cluster and overflow clogs 108/103/104. 

I was making a left turn on a green arrow the other day and someone coming from the opposite direction making a right on red never stopped and almost hit me (had I not slowed down). Then they proceeded to flip me the bird? Of course the car had limo tint on every piece of glass (inc. windshield) so who knows what was inside. 

I feel ya - on every point.

The entire Austin Metropolitan Region is absolutely exploding with construction right now! Millions of tech people are flooding in and traffic is a catastrophe - every day. Even Sunday. You gotta keep on looking. Never presume drivers have common sense. Many of them are texting or sexting and gawd only knows what else these days! You gotta keep looking! People down here just love pulling right in front of other drivers, often with no signaling at all. It's getting ridiculous.  And outright DANGEROUS. When you're not dodging rogue floods, you're dodging rogue drivers. 

Make no mistake about it. El Nino is ramping up. Right now, Midwest is getting soaked. Next week, at a time when the subtropical ridge should be established over south central Texas, yet ANOTHER storm cycle will be dumping even more torrential rains down on our communities.

It will get worse. This is going to evolve into a super strength El Nino. They will not be calling the summer of '26 the Summer of 2026.

They will be calling it the HARD RAIN of 2026. Autumn will be worse. Chillier than normal, with rain upon rain upon rain upon rain.

Get used to lots of flood watches and warnings. Put your homes up on stilts. Better yet - Build an ARK.

You're gonna need it! DO NOT HEAD FOR THE MOUNTAINS. That will be the worst place to be in this. Orographic precipitation enhancement will destroy many communities.. Man, this summer is beginning to read like a George BM intro to this thread every month. Oh wait, summer is still about eleven days away......

77 degree dews again today with scattered showers in the vicinity. Temps in the mid 80s.

Partly sunny few passing cumulus with a nice SE breeze, only 88 degrees out but that damned dewpoint is 78 degrees.

The last time we started averaging upper 70s dews this early was one hell of a WET year: 2021.

That Nino is gonnabe downright Brobdingnagian.

You can take that to the Bank.

Lots rain about 2500 feet to our east, as much as eight inches of rain, but we are just too damn far west to get rain. lolz

This is one of those nights when some locations get 5 inches of fresh life-giving rain and most of it just keeps sliding either east or west of Buda.

Damn. Of course!

On 5/31/2026 at 9:04 PM, George BM said:

Sunday June 7, 2026 3:28PM EDT

High impact tornadic and flooding weather event is currently underway.

Thunderstorms and embedded supercells will continue to train over the same areas stretching from the Charlottesville, VA vicinity up through northern VA and into north/central MD just west of the two major beltways exasperating the flash flooding situation in these areas. Strong low-level SSE winds continue to bring in low/mid 70sF dewpoints beneath moderately steep mid-level lapse rates (7+ C/km). This is resulting in over 3000J/kg MLCAPE and with the strong LL shear in place (effective SRH of 250-450 m2/s2) and strong deep-layer shear in general (~60 kt EBWD) organized supercells with be maintain for the remainder of the afternoon and well into the evening hours before the best dynamics lift to the northeast.

Tornadic supercells will train over the same or similar spots over the next several hours as this broken line ever so slowly crawls eastwards into the metros (Individual storm motions: 230/40kt. Broken line motion: 310/5kt.) With the dynamics and instability some tornadoes may become strong to significant and possibly long-tracked. Other severe hazards with these storms include severe winds (50-65+kts) and very large hail(2-2.5”+).

The other highly impactful threat from these storms will be the major flash flooding. Much of the area will end up with 3 to 6 inches of rain with up to 8”+ in some locations.

Nice, George BM! I love your summer storm presentations!

It's only 80 degrees today, nice high cloud overcast.

But the dewpoint is a muggy 77. It's a real sweatshop out there today!

You time all the moisture a strong Nino brings with cold air = serious Brobdingnagian blizzard that could set new 200 year records for DCA and the entire sub!

Moisture laden storm in our sub, cold air in our sub, Super Nino in the sub, OUR Super Nino.

Look out Mid Atlantic! You're gonna need a MUCH BIGGER SHOVEL!

On 6/1/2026 at 7:31 AM, katabatic said:

Low of 40 this morning. Absolutely spectacular day yesterday. Pic is of Broadford Lake in Garrett County where we watched a nesting pair of bald eagles for at least an hour.

Top shelf pics! I am also quite Jealous of your cool dry temperatures. It's gonnabe MONTHS before I ever get to partake of good weather like that! ENJOY!

On 6/2/2026 at 1:44 PM, JenkinsJinkies said:

I absolutely adore this stuff. Its interesting.

We got smacked again tonight by a complex of storms that dumped another inch of rain on Buda !

Now we are up to 22 inches on the year. Normal is 30 inches for the entire year. We are just stackin 'em, rackin' em and packin' em in every time we turn around! The line starts at the Mississippi and everyone better take a number! With another disturbance forming in the Gulf of Mexico, and a Brobdingnagian El Nino intensifying, I think this summer could end up being like 2021, 2014 and 2015 and 2007.

This is becoming surrealistic. Usually places like Dallas, TX and WinStar Casino in Oklahoma are at 6 inches above us here in Buda. This year it is inverted. Buda is 6-7 inches ahead of Dale City. It's absolutely unheard of! I want that Super Nino SO BAD! I want feet and feet of rain all year!

Okay folks we got slammed by .9 inches this afternoon then another 1.4 inches tonight. This brings us to 21 inches for the year. We are still in contention for a while more yet. Binghamton is nearly 2 inches behind us but the East gets a lot of rain, it will not be long before one or more of the eastern terminals overtakes us.

This may be 2007 all over again in terms of persistent rains all across TX, the South and Gulf Coast and up and down the Eastern Seaboard.

We just got smashed by an incredibly heavy tropical shower that dumped ~ .8 inches in 7 minutes. Visibility dropped to 400 feet lol. We're back in contention again with 19.5 on the year but Binghamton NY is just right behind us at 19.15. It's kind of inevitable Buda gets left in the drought dust by every terminal back East.

9 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Since Summer 2002, just about every super dry period has been equaled out thereafter by super wet. This year we have a SUPER, possibly record-breaking El Nino seemingly kicking in. 

Fixed.

We are gonna get all the reservoirs and aquifers topped off real good this summer, fall and winter! Some will be over topped but good! Some places the water table will be visible at the surface!

This, is gonna be GOOD !

Wow that tropical Gulf of Mexico conveyor belt is just overloading ATL with so much water! Some places in south VA this afternoon got trained up real good with torrential rains that just kept right on piling up tallies!

I am REALLY gonna get my fill of flooding with the incoming Super Nino!

There's nothing like training rainfall over the same already supersaturated soils over and over and over and over and over and over and over again! These incredible flood-provoking rains caused by highly efficient warm rainfall processes are SOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO exciting and fulfilling! I want this for Buda, and for the DMV Region! I hate to see you guys in exceptional drought.

This is what I live for!

I STILL am holding out for 25 feet of floodwaters over the Rt 1626/Rt 967 Intersection in uptown Buda! I have a hard time limping around these days, in addition to being confused minded at times, just because I am so old and both knees hurt BAD from way too much jebwalking back in Virginia, particularly back in the 2009-10 Winter! Sometimes I have trouble being able to figure out how to get around people in the aisles at HEB (HEB is a food chain analogous to Giant Food in Dale City). Yeah I am going down extremely fast. Its picking up alarming speed, too. In spite of these stark realities in my life, I am still gonna want to limp around flood zones in Buda trying to get water level readings like back in the Day!

WOW Dale City and Northern Virginia you guys have 70 degree dewpoints?

Welcome to the humid spring party!

3 hours ago, stormy said:

3.90" total at 2:30.  Hope for 5.00" by Wednesday 8 pm.

You may get it!

16 minutes ago, wxmeddler said:

"There's never so sure a bet, than from Wet to Dry, and Dry to Wet."

Perhaps the Super Nino is already exerting on the synoptic weather. I hope so! I'd love an entire summer of heavy rain and three foot tall lawns!

Need to get that ARK built yesterday! Everything waterboarding the Coastal Mid South has got the DMV's Name on it!

WHOA Charles Town is up to 17.5 inches of rain! Those folks may soon be leading the entire nation in rain tallies!

They have gone up 4 inches in the last three days.

It looks like Charles Town, W Va and Binghamton, NY are gonnabe battlin' it on out for who has the most rain this year.

It's official! Binghamton has edged Buda out of contention! The Score is Binghamton 18.83 to Buda at 18.7. Guess who's gonna win.

Everyone East gets rain, Rain is like air east of Ole Miss. But Texas is a DRY DRY DRY place.

We in Texas are easy as shoosh to beat when it comes to rainfall.

I keep on thinking of what its gonnabe like when Austin is a 300 mile wide hypermegalopolis from reshoring and ultra cheap energy and ultra tech - but runs out of fresh water from millions and millions and millions and millions of people sucking up the little that's left in the aquifers and the Colorado River is a strip of desert sand. We best find a way to synthesize fresh water last millennium or there's gonnabe  millions of people mass departing the DRY BOWL that is Texas!

We are about to witness a complete civilizational upgrade all across the Nation then the Planet! So many new industries! So much robotics and AI! AI is going to be everywhere! If you happen to be a NERD you are gonnabe so damn stinking RICH you won't believe it! A hell of a lot of money that used to just disappear into certain places I will not mention - WILL BE FLOWING STRAIGHT TO AMERICANS and then everyone on the planet!

The next three years are going to leave a lot of amazed people in total shock, with their jaws resting on the ground. This will not result from me digging Dale City out of a record 48 inch snowstorm. Although later on with sparkling new medical protocols, that just might happen lol.