Jebman

Mammoth got about an inch.

But Palisades Tahoe is getting some good snows!

https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams

DT WxRisk thinks that this winter could be somewhat like 2013-2014.

That would be EPIC for the Mid Atlantic.

SNE/NE will get BURIED ALIVE by snow this winter. Stock up. Get shovels. Get snowblowers. The entire Eastern collection of megalopolises all up and down the East Coast will get clobbered by snow this winter.

GB16 was the BEST. We got 27 inches of snow and I got to dig snow til I was utterly exhausted. I had to dig Dad a path for the car to the road, then the next door neighbor demanded I dig her car out, then the neighbor next to her said hey Jebman, get off that weather board and dig my car out of this 7 foot drift so I did. Then Bill across the street wanted some help. I said I was too damn tired. He replied I'll tell YOU what WE are tired of: You wishin for big snows like this! Now get out here Jebman and dig out my car! I got a five foot drift over it. I shoveled it. Finally, I figured I'd done my share of the digging out of Dale City from the Great Blizzard of 2016. But no. The Hispanic lady across from us then wanted me to dig her car out. So I wearily dug her out too. Fortunately the snow there had been blown away and it was only a foot deep.

I was actually tired of snow. I stumbled inside the house and Dad teased me saying aren't you gonna dig out the sidewalk too? And the ROAD?

I collapsed on the couch. Boy did Dad kid me the next couple of days, especially when that damn PLOW left a 5 foot BERM right across our driveway entrance!

On 11/4/2025 at 4:24 PM, SnowenOutThere said:

I have my third atmosphere and weather test tomorrow and its all on thermodynamics, saturation vapor pressure, lapse rates, and scew-Ts (I am cooked). So would any met or anyone else who knows what theyre doing check my work on this? @CAPE @psuhoffman @WxUSAF @MN Transplant @high risk 

Man I need help with understanding GitHub. Wish there was someone out there who could explain upstream and origin to me.

On 10/31/2025 at 12:12 PM, AlexD1990 said:

but now we don't get @George BMs alternate future NWS disco for the Thanksgiving blizzard! sad face!

I am no meteorologist like George BM but I may need to set up a totally morbid Thanksgiving snow prognostication.

C'MON George BM! We desperately need your writeups! Washington DC Metropolitan Region weather is not the same without you!

Now, we have TWO standouts in this here sub:

1)George BM needs to make his forecasts; and

2)We need the Reaper back! Reapers do NOT retire. They live forever and REAP forever and do NOT get tired! And, they do NOT need to go lift weights in order to kill off depressionologists like myself. I may need reaped soon due to low 90s weather AGAIN in south central Texas in November and lack of George BM forecasts!

Dale City's average high and low just hit Buda, TX's January averages today, 59/41.

On 11/1/2025 at 12:21 PM, Steve25 said:

I’d say our odds of being on the good luck side as opposed to the bad luck side are in our favor just because we’re due. 9 consecutive below average winters and nearly 10 years since the last 6+ inch snowfall in Baltimore(at least IMBY). Even being in an area where we need a lot of things to go right, this has been an absolutely brutal stretch of years. Things have to swing in our favor at some point. 

I need to move back to the DC Metropolitan Region. Ever since I left in 2018 things have gone to hell worse than the post-Snyder Redskins franchise.

I been begging for cold. Well, it is already 45/35 right now in Buda, clear, very light northerly winds. If anything, it will be colder than last night.

Brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr!!!!!!

And, I have to do delivery late tonight, at oh dark thirty, and it will be super cold. It was only days ago it was warm and I blasted Playboi Carti and Ken Carson at near full blast in the car. Now I have to keep the windows shut tight and blast the heater.

5 hours ago, IronTy said:

2009????  

2009-2010 and 2013-2014 maybe with a decent side of 1995-96. Stock up on shovels and snowblowers and salt. Get some Mt Everest-grade crampons too. No more slippin on the ice. I think Central Texas may go Feb 2021 or worse.

This may be a massive snow winter all up and down the Eastern Seaboard.

On 10/27/2025 at 8:06 PM, 87storms said:

The scent of wall to wall winter vibes is increasing with each passing week.  I guess the ultimate question is whether this pattern is becoming the base state for the next few months or just part of a turbulent ebb and flow.  All I know is that the Desert Southwest is experiencing incredible weather right now.

This is going to be outright historic in the Mid Atlantic this winter, and maybe even down here in south central TX.

Brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr!!!!!!!!!

It is 38/30 37/29 right now in Buda! This is our first official low in the 30s this season so far, and we have not even had a low in the 40s yet!

This is very cold for us at this time of year! NORMAL LOW IS 55 degrees!

It was COLD out delivering tonight! DAAAAMN it was cold!!!!

Low was 36. This may well be close to record lows for the date down here.

7 hours ago, wxmeddler said:

*Taps the signature.*

That's really interesting! I tapped it......

Hope you guys get good soaking rains.

SUUUUUUUUURRRRRREEEEEE this is a so-called strong cold front in Texas.

Strong winds earlier have stopped. We had far stronger south winds last night associated with August-magnitude humidity.

This "front" is pedestrian. I could go outside right now in speedos and soaked with water and conditions are NO DIFFERENT from last night.

Some cold front. I am sick with disappointment and howling with agonizing despair!

We will be fortunate to get much below 60 degrees tonight.

Every NWS forecaster in central Texas needs to get their sorry southern ass back into kindergarten and learn about how the weather is changing from now on, particularly in the Southern US.

Summer of HELL continues in south Texas, well into 2026.

- 556am Oct 29 2025 edit.........

Okay folks. Need to do a walk back here. I admit it. I was near DEAD WRONG about the weather forecast. This IS a strong cold front, and I got caught flat footed out in it, with summer attire. In the middle of the night.

I was upset about the cold front appearing to be so pedestrian it wasn't funny. So what did I do? I went off on a 2009-10-style enthusiastic jebwalk like back in Charles Town in the legendary winter of '09/'10. I undertook a jebwalk in Kyle in the construction fields in the dark of night at 345am with shorts and a frickin tshirt. Well, it got super cold all of a sudden, the winds REALLY picked up, advected a metric ton of chilly air right into our region, and I got lost real bad down there in the East Yarrington Region, and it fell down into the middle 50s with wind gusts probably near 40-45mph, and I damn near caught my death of chilblains tonight! I managed to jebwalk right into a water filled hole, got soaked with freezing water right up to my damn azz! It was dark, everything out there looked the same at 345am, I was pizzed off because I got lost out there and it turned out to be a bit cooler than I had thought, and I AM a bit too old for this stuff after all. My knee took a hell of a beating, too. I was so angry about the mild milquetoast weather, about the front I'd been promised that hit with real mild winds that were so weak and pedestrian, that I went off on a genuine 2009-10 type recreation of a West Virginia-class jebwalk. Well, I got my cool weather alright. Damn I need to NOT try this kind of jebwalk anymore! I am too damn OLD for this! I'll be damnfool lucky not to end up with terminal pneumonia. I got so cold, I started getting confused. It turned out to be a long, long walk back to I 35 thru the pitch black freezing cold fields lmao! My shoes were waterlogged COLD and squelching smelly mud! That wind was so damn STRONG and COLD, it blew right thru me! I have never been so COLD in my entire life! Especially after I blundered into that hole or whatever it was full of cold freezing water! It was real real dark. It looked like a normal puddle, hey I'll just power thru it, get my shoes a little wet. Damn. Man that water was so damn COLD, right up to my fooking azz!

Meteorologists don't need retraining, I need some damn common sense.

Try not to laugh too hard, its been a long hot summer and Sept-Oct were well above normal and I had to work out in that hot humid miasma every day!

Even more Targhee Snows!

Here's another Grand Targhee live webcam!

You can ALWAYS count on the Jebman to keep you in the snow!

Hey guys - Grand Targhee Resort Webcam! Rain changed to snow and it will pile up!

When you want to see snow - You know where to go!

The Jebman ALWAYS KNOWS where the blizzards are!

11 hours ago, Terpeast said:

Yes. Too soon. But we saw the other day where cold novembers tend to be a better omen for overall winter seasons in cool enso years. OTOH, we’ve had 3 BN months in a row. Have we ever had 6-7 straight BN months in a warming climate, especially through the cold season?

It could go either way. Cold nov/dec = decent winter… or torch-uary. I’ll make my call in a week or so, but still not sure which way I’m gonna go. 

Cold nov/dec = JanuBuried in DCA.

Fixed.

FebuBuried, too. No mercy. Morched, too.

Mid Atlantic will be digging a LOT of snow this winter. Bank on it.

I'll keep it 100 by admitting that yes we did get one last bit of the overall weather system tonight. Pretty good real heavy shower with thunder that was loud as hell. May have picked up a quick quarter inch.

In a few days, massive cold front will smash into south central Texas bringing our very first official HIGHS in the 60s and lows near 40. Brrrrrrrr! It's gonnabe fun and refreshing! I might take a very slow painful jebwalk in it too. Left knee and foot's a birtch these days. Word to the wise: Too damn much jebwalking when you're young can end up like the Jebman at 61 lmao.

In other news though, they have seen 14 inches of snow on Mt Bachelor; AR is underway with more coming down! That's 21 inches on their season so far! Its blowing too!! That atmospheric river in Washington State, it is invading Oregon, too! Look out Mt Bachelor!

Time for a rant about getting missed.

OK last night we eked out 1.5 inches. But tonight we were supposed to get another 2 inches. Those storm are 5 miles away. I can see them! We are gonna miss by only a few miles. I just covered my car with a tarp. Automatic JINX. Every time I do that ----- We get missed. Lucy loves this place, and my damn back is so sore from Lucy yanking that accursed football out from under me every time I try for a 10 yard field goal.

Damn. I hate living in Death Hell Valley, Texas.

There is nothing worse than living in an arid place.

I'd take 1000 years of 32.9 degrees with 7,000 inches of rain a year and my house is on titanium stilts 300 feet high.

This is a kind of living death watching all my precious plants slowly dying of drought. Drought is a way of life in south central Texas.

We're getting a lot of steady light to moderate rain over hours. This is the best because it soaks in does not run off.

We are about to have a little fun with this puppy

https://radar.weather.gov/station/kewx/standard Those pinks and whites are likely going to hit Buda head on.

While you guys get to chill out with some cool weathers.

Wow you guys are COLD! And where I am we may be actually getting some badly needed rain tomorrow night!