Jebman

1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:

BASIN WIDE SUPER EL NINO HERE WE COME.

i hope that's true. We need about 900 inches of rain in Texas.

I know for a FACT that Texas is NEVER gonnabe rid of these pesky Arctic Fronts until about late June 2026.

Everytime we turn around its another strong windshift to the north and more lows in the 20s.

Farmers will be permanently devastated down here. The upper air pattern is STUCK and those godforsaken Siberian cold fronts are all lined up like hypersonic jets in the glide path, all inbound for Buda for at least the next  four months.

This blocking pattern is more or less permanently stuck and my worst nightmare is a stark reality: The amoc is dead.

All my moms beloved plants are stone cold steve austin DEAD.

It's too damn cold. Washington DC is too far north for snow and I am too far south for mild weather at night and frost is killing everything down here!

On 2/1/2026 at 3:01 PM, T. August said:

Walked 2 miles on the inlet/Bay today. Never seen anything like it in my lifetime. Ice was about 6” thick in most places. Aberdeen Proving Ground on the right, Battery Island barely visible on the left.

Damn I am itching for an Ice Jebwalk out there lol. Reprise of the Infamous Potomac Mills Ice Jebwalk of 2004.

This month is gonnabe VERY interesting in the Mid Atlantic.

On 2/1/2026 at 7:09 PM, MillvilleWx said:

Just some context for how insane this cold outbreak is in Florida, here are some nuggets for your viewing pleasure....

• Great Falls, MT was officially warmer than Key West, FL today by 4 whole degrees (62F vs 58F)
• Boca Raton, FL never got out of the 40s for a high (48F)
• Havana, Cuba just BARELY beat out Great Falls for a high today (63F vs 62F)
• 12z sounding from KEY eclipsed their low 850mb temp record for the day by reporting below 0C after never recording below 5C on this date at any point in their history of record dating back to 1954
• The 850mb temperature at KEY was -1.8C at 12z. If this is confirmed, it will be the all time coldest 850mb temperature ever recorded via RAOB at Key West, again dating back to obs from 1954. Over 40000 soundings have been launched in its period of record

This is going on my new DokuWiki and the ScienceWeather 4 MyBB forum.

2 hours ago, GreyHat said:

Latest on the bay bridge ice. The channel is ice free

Been a while, I think that happened last in the late 1970s when I was 14 lol

Uh-oh storms are coming back to the Pac Northwest and north California

Austin is heating up too - Weekend will be in the mid 80s.

You guys jonesing for snow? Check this out!

I can't believe how nice it is in Buda. 60/59 overnight, with 70s expected Tuesday.

This weekend, low 80s!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I am gonna get my beloved warm weather!

Monday, low clouds moved fast right off the Gulf of Mexico, bringing warmer moister air just the way I like it! And - Its ONLY early February!

The GoM is ALREADY in Bisnass!

Man are we EVER gonna have a massive Spring season!

I.    LOVE.   LA.   NINA. !!!!!!!!!!

La Ninas are hot as heck! Spring = 2011 Summer in Texas, and Summer gets totally REDEFINED, in hot ways NO ONE can even imagine!!!!!!!!!!

Lets reel in PD 3!

This ain't no weak ass frontal thing. It's gonna overperform.

This is a question to the Mets on here and/or expert hobbyists like PSU.

Why is it so cold in the East for so long? Why is it so cold in Texas for so long? It's going down to 15 again tonight! We can't take this any more!

What kind of Blocking are we experiencing right now?

Please don't tell me the amoc has stopped. I can't take that kind of cold. I don't want to see one drop of frzra or one pellet of that damn sleet NO MORE!

On 1/30/2026 at 9:52 PM, Steve25 said:

It is. I tried walking on some of the untouched, grass covered areas today and it actually caught me off guard how slick it was. 

Gotta be VERY careful on that ice. Glaciated sleet is extremely hard and very, very slippery.

George BM.

You need to brief the NWS.

That is how professional your forecast scenarios are.

1 hour ago, clskinsfan said:

Which probably explains why I am so hateful right now. I got 28. Under climo. In fact my climo has dropped over an inch and a half in the past decade. That is ridiculous. 2016 is the last year I beat climo. And it was because of one storm. Yes it was an amazing 40 inch storm. But generally, it doesnt matter here anymore. Cold winter too far south, warm winter too far north. We just cant score here anymore. Add in the fact that i CHOSE this place to live 25 years ago for climate and it makes it that much more frustrating. Regardless I am really close to moving north soon. I am done with Virginia anyways. 

Tug Hill. You'll never lose.

Every big arctic blast goes thru there, you'll be knee deep in snow. Again and again and again. Get a good snowblower.

35 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Huh? 6z gfs has shittyfrontalpassage snow. Little swath of 1-3”. Then about a foot 6 days later and ends the run with a HECS for Houston TX lol.

Please, no more wintry weather in south central TX.

I was super fortunate to never fall on that damn ice.

2 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

yeah kids around here are just sliding on it.  Sledding on this is basically suicidal.

Get on one of those plastic circular 'sleds' like I did once. Go down a sleet covered hill. You will go fast as heck!!!!!

Good luck trying to stop. I was wearing gloves. They got shredded. Glaciated sleet pack is superfast stuff. Ride it at your own risk.

1 hour ago, Fozz said:

In long range GFS world, North Carolina is the new Jay Peak.

Or the new Palisades Tahoe. Hey, they got mountains.

On 1/28/2026 at 12:17 PM, RevWarReenactor said:

The MA really is the snow anus of the east coast though. It does actually seem like areas to our east, west, north, and south do better.

It's true. The DMV is too far north. NC will always get all the snow when we have strong cold air over DC. I might need to write up a morbid story about NC in the Blizzard and thousands of people trying to walk along I95 in waist high, rapidly deepening snow while NE gales scream overhead.

Now watch what happens in late April when the Pattern finally changes. DC will get demolished by torrential rain.

I am so upset, my heart will always be in the DMV. I spent 54 years up there!!

WE should be getting that bomb cyclone snow, NOT fooking north carolina!

I am so upset I damn near almost spilled an extra large cup of hot coffee right on my keyboard.

Damn that was close

7 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Live vicariously. Time sensitive

 

No kidding! They get demolished so much! I need to learn Japanese!

3 hours ago, stormtracker said:

Exactly.  We need A+B+C divided by 20 x .16 sigman minus e squared worked by a dozen cows and an eclipse.  It is what it is.  I'll track but not getting my hopes up.   Euro already doing the same thing as before.  Color me spooked.

EPIC sig material

10 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

The NAM looks amazing for NC. Maybe one day we'll get a NC quality storm up here lol

Yeah DC is too far north for NC quality snow.

9 hours ago, ErinInTheSky said:

On reddit people were paying $450 for a full driveway. 

Damn I coulda made a killing if I was still young enough to dig lots of ice and snow.

12 hours ago, Snowciopathic Snow Bro said:

I've got early intel on Punxsutawney Phil's upcoming decision next week:

This is one of your very BEST! I wanna be fully Snowciopathic, too! Damn I love this! I love ICE like some people love g-d. Ice is the best!