Jebman

NWS. This is a very polite respectful request. I know all I am, is an overexcited snow weenie. No chops. Just way too much emotion. It's wrecked my life. But all I ask, is for a Winter Storm Warning for southeastern Prince William County, and maybe all the other counties around it. Please. This is an extraordinary storm. You know it. I know it. Let's just do it. They ARE going to get 5 inches of snow with this.

Trust me folks, it has been brought to my attention.

This storm has unbelievable potential.

Expect earlier than expected progression of rain to snow across the area, AT THE VERY LEAST. Expect strong development of a snow shield with time. It's not just the coastal. It's another system over the Great Lakes. That system is going to combine with the developing coastal low, with very fun effects for parts of the DMV. I noticed this from radar, both the last 12 hours as well as extrap over the next 6 to 10 hours.

You guys are in for a treat. I am in south Texas but I am now so damned overexcited that I want to scream this from the housetops, until I am fooking HOARSE!!!

https://cyclonicwx.com/radar/us/ This shows that as the coastal develops and moves northward, it will pull the rain/snow line south very soon. Accumulations may ensue a bit earlier than expected for many.

You can see the Great Lakes system interacting with the developing low near the OBX https://cyclonicwx.com/radar/us/

Once those two get together and party = obscene snow weather in the DMV then points north and east.

Precip over NC/VA and the overall DMV is just fascinating to watch as the coastal develops and the system over the Great Lakes interact. This is the kind of meteorological mayhem that finds its way into papers later on. I don't have the chops for this, but someone like Millville or Terpeast is probably gonna do an exemplar writeup about the way this entire system is developing. We are living history right now.

2 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

Looks like the short term are seeing the norlun here. It seems to have shifted east since last night but was about there on the Euro as well. 

Are you kidding me? Dale City is gonna get a Norlun? We're talkin HISTORIC times.

Lots places in DE/NJ once you get inland are forecast to get 18-25 inches, along with some strong winds.

Man DailyLurker, I envy you with all my heart.

1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

Headed to the Catoctins for the first leg of this chase. I'll be at Salamander Rock checking conditions above 1500'. After that? Delaware. 

DE/NJ gonnabe incredible conditions, very heavy snow driven by very high winds. You are about to have the times of your life, except for your adventures on The Tug. You are the Indiana Jones of winter storm chasing, lol.

2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Question is does it just sort of flip from N/W to S/E and then stay all snow (even if non-accumulating for awhile), or does it pulse back and forth and be rate dependent during the middle of the day before a flip to snow for good mid-late afternoon?

You guys are going to have a very good storm with this. This is going to be very fun. Good times.

Changeover will come earlier than progged for many of you. That swirl in the Great Lakes is going to combine with the developing coastal low and bring some heavy snow to many of you. Many will be pleasantly surprised.

Man I wish I was in New Jersey where 24 inches of wind driven snow is imminent. It would look very Mammoth-ish, driven by 65 mph winds.

If I were there right now I'd be makin a road trip to DE or New Jersey. Man that place is gonna get demolished! Those high winds blasting snow is gonna make that place look like it is getting Mammothed.

18 minutes ago, DaleCityDave said:

My only question now is what time should I start my jebwalk tomorrow?

When the rain is changing to snow. Get headphones and blast every track that reminds you of past snowstorms. Watch the dendrites blow right past the streetlights!

9 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Over/under on what time the first pressure change map depicting the storm “forming further S than expected” gets posted tomorrow….

Any takers?

#tuckbabytuck

Gonna be about 6am Eastern Standard Time. It's gonna form more souther!

27 minutes ago, bncho said:

You know why this happened? The Alberta vort phased! It's a mother fucking TRIPLE PHASER

EPIC sig material

1 hour ago, TSSN+ said:

Getting word they sending me home this evening. Thank goodness. But the communication in this hospital is awful. They told me a GI doc was going to come see me yesterday and they never did, then said today and they never did. Only one doctor stopped by this afternoon and didn’t give me much of a game plan. But nurse came in and said sounds like your going home. I’m like ok??? What’s the game plan here people. lol 

The hospital needs to get it together, but happy you are getting better and you are going home!

Mammoth is 100 percent OPEN!

Skiers are partaking of 6 foot deep fresh powder, and because of the frigid cold there, it is true pow, and they are gonna need SNORKELS!

There's gonnabe tons of places hidden away in the glades of deep DEEP POW, snowboarders' delight! Who needs apres when you can ski super deep powder off piste?!!

(For all you non skiers: Who needs the entertainment off the slope like live bands or soak in a hot tub, when you can spend the entire day and half the night chest deep in fresh deep snorkel-worthy powder off the groomed trails, skiing and snowboarding your heart out?!)

Check out the Summit! That SIGN - People are standing around tall as THE SIGN. Look folks, that snow is probably at least 12 feet deep! YOU ARE WITNESSING HISTORY!

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-summit

Check out the Palisades, lots to see there as well! https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams#tab=palisades

I am dying deep inside, because stormtracker is not in the DMV and the Mid Atlantic is gonna get hit by snow.

Wow RDM. Not sure what to say to this. Makes Atlantic Canada look like the DMV in May.

Man I am not gonna be diggin nothing. That, is a LOT of snow.

Daily Lurker needs to see this. This outdoes the Tug.

Mammoth ended up with about 55 to 75 inches. Palisades Tahoe ended up with about 8 feet of new snow but their upper mountain stacked up 10 feet just from this storm cycle.

Skiers are probably so happy its beyond belief. The extreme cold made this a very dry snow, they are all experiencing the White Room like never before! Might need snorkels.

This says it all about Mammoth's summit https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-summit

That snow is SO piled up! 

Unbound Main Park - Snow Gun, skiers heads are almost level with it! NO WAY! Way. Usually that gun towers waaaaaay above the skiers' heads!

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/unbound-main-park

What a BANNER on the Palisades website! https://www.palisadestahoe.com/ You have gotta be kiddin me! TEN FEET!

6 hours ago, RDM said:

  If you, Jebman or anyone ever get the chance to visit Japan, suggest going to Zao or Naeba.  Zao NW of Tokyo several hours.  It is famous for its "snow monsters", which are the wind-swept snow-encrusted tops of pine trees sticking out of the snow.  When I was there telemark skiing, there were only 10-20' of the tree tops sticking out of the 60-70 feet of snow.  It was amazing how much snow they had, even by Tahoe standards.  

It was very interesting how they deal with the snow.  The Japanese have snow removal down to an art.  Downtown Zao and Naeba (not very big villages) have perforated rubber hoses laying all over the streets and sidewalks.  They pump hot water from the natural springs out to melt the snow.  The whole area smells like sulfur, but you get used to it.  Where they don't have hot water running, they use a variety of snow blowers to discard it.  There's simply no place to push it - too much of it.  They have some really nifty walk behind snowblowers that are really cool and it seems everybody has one.  

When it snows on the western flanks of Honshu (the main island of Japan), the fetch off the Sea of Japan is accented by the upslope from the Japanese Alps.  The result is akin to what Mammoth is experiencing, and then some.  Never seen snow so intense for so long.  If you ever do go, hit me up offline.  Happy to give some ideas.  Heading to Japan in a week for several weeks.  Unfortunately, I don't think we'll be heading to the mountains this time.   

Might have to look into this. 70 FEET of snow? Makes Palisades Tahoe and Mammoth look like Washington DC in late Morch.

Those Japanese need to learn how to pile it up. Get a Jebman Shovel and start digging! Use scaffolding if you have to.

On 2/17/2026 at 7:04 AM, Supernovice said:

If it’s going to happen, it’ll be soon. Pretty clear indications here:

Anyone here REALLY aware of why this is being done? It may have to do with Iran and Iraq. The outcome truly affects the USA economically and in many other ways.

Plow Guy and the big snowblower are out in force clearing the Woolly Lot. It's STILL snowing there lol!!

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

Guys, Want to see a huge snowgasm Drift at Palisades? Check this out, 2nd pic down - This scene is VERY reminiscent of Feb 2023!!!!

https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams

I have certainly enjoyed the last four days of heavy snow in the Sierras. I have gotten quite the FIX.

However, no mercy. We get 4 days off, then Tuesday another three feet of very heavy WET snow descend on Mammoth.

Skiers will get their fill of the white room tomorrow. Main Lodge lifts will be up and spinning by 10am local Pac time. SIX FEET of fresh POW await those who get there first. Palisades Tahoe got EIGHT FEET of fresh POW! Skiers are gonnabe besides themselves with pure JOY!

Every time I close my eyes all I see are huge aggregates being driven by 85 mph gusts at Mammoth! All I see is Plow Guy plowing DEEP snow!

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge

Check out this 6 FOOT DRIFT on the 8200 foot Scope at Palisades!!!!

https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams

See also Alpine Lodge https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams#tab=alpine

https://blog.palisadestahoe.com/weather/8-feet-with-a-final-foot-thursday/

https://blog.palisadestahoe.com/operations/feb-18-operations-update/

https://blog.palisadestahoe.com/operations/feb-19-operations-update/

Inside Edge Blog https://blog.palisadestahoe.com/

Why is Palisades Tahoe CLOSED?

Check this out. They got EIGHT FEET https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/2024621478965367028

Everyone that plans to go skiing in deep fresh powder, needs to watch this vid.