Toronto4

I have a good feeling this one will give us a nice surprise by Sunday morning. Tonight’s 00z model runs with more sampling will tell the tale.

We are very close to the heavier amounts to our south. One more bump to the north will help a great deal. Some of the 12z Euro ensembles give more than 0.6” QPF (15 mm) to the GTA.

Great to be back here. It’s been a while since the last snowstorm in November. Based on model trends and gut feeling, I think this one will be a big one for the GTA. Maybe 8-12”.

Today's snowfall in Toronto is most likely the last one of the season. With this in mind, it's time to grade this winter. And it's a tough one. The winter started with a bang from mid-December to early January with snow and cold. Lots of frequent light snowfalls and the result was a picturesque white Christmas. Very cold conditions around New Year's. A break in mid January before coming back in late in the month and lasting until Feb. 10th. After that, a very long drought without any significant winter weather until mid-April when the GTA was affected by a major sleet storm. In the end, total snowfall was around normal and my final grade for this winter is B-. This month's sleet storm bumped up the grade from a C+. I can't go any lower than C+/B- (despite the lack of big snowstorms) is because the period before Christmas was amazing.