Golf757075
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Everything posted by Golf757075
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But still need enough qpf for winter weather lol further north
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I hope the low get kicks out lol
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Im in west tennessee so wasn't sure lol
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Tropicaltidbits hasn't updated yet 0z
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Good hit?
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I agree to an extent but I would like to see the trough somewhat west. I personally would feel better about it
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The mjo progression would support some type of winter event based on just that imo. Fun to look at regardless. I still think trough has been a little too far east for most
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I take 18z ai gfs for $2,000 Carver. It would be nice
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If the mjo charts are accurate, the models will trend colder east of the rockies unless there is more to the story lol.
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I agree there is more than just that. Just ready for some winter weather action in my area
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I think the mjo is moving but will it change the pattern to colder? I hope it does or whatever else we need.
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I know there is more than just the mjo, but if it really progresses, then we should be in better shape moving forward. I don't like the kicking can scenario too much lol
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Carver, the key imo, for winter to get rocking is the mjo progression. Very important imo.
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I think most people believe when you have a niña, February is the blowtorch month. They are hoping early on produces snow or winter weather because typically February is a warm month in most niñas. Dominant se ridge
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We only average 3-5 inches a winter, which sometimes we don't get that. I would take that every winter. Its fun tracking possibilities
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I just want a two week cold spell and take our chances from there lol. More would be nice. I just want winter to show up this winter please lol
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Carver, this is the run from yesterday lol. You got today's run?
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That will be a big score for LC because he went with mid-end jan- March for winter to start.
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Eric webb believes that so far
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We can't control the weather, which i understand, but it would be nice to see some rain and a colder pattern eventually this winter. Models are very chaotic currently
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Carver, now we hope it sticks and not a headfake lol. Im ready for some real winter weather action
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I think it's the mjo in the null phase with no true coherent signal imo. Its an interesting pattern with an east based niña and pdo weakening. Getting close to waiving the white flag on winter already unfortunately. Not sure what's going on other than speculation
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Carver, ultimately we will see if the aifs ensembles are really that good compared to everything else. I still believe too many models to content with lol
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Also, this Niña is now east based with the colder anomalies off of south america/Peru region. Typically when that occurs, we will see colder later than earlier in winter. 21-22 is a small example. Doesn't guarantee that, but have seen it before
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This is the true current pdo if anyone is interested.
