KakashiHatake2000

Yes was looking on x and saw there was a model of a trough taking a nose dive from somebody it is summer time after all .

I also heard between Sunday Monday timeframe could potentially be dealing with a mcs possibly https://x.com/0meterchasers/status/2081018000312881519?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg .

D4 yellow highlighted slight risk issued https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/archive/2026/day4-8_20260725.html .

Oh I bet definitely a perfect view .

D5 slight yellow highlighted risk issued for mid Atlantic Carolina’s and parts of east tn area https://vxtwitter.com/iembot_mrx/status/2080573716241473618?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg .

Has a hook and tornado warned in Dickson TN had a bunch of severe thunderstorm warnings with constant lightning and thunder great light show .

Nice supercell sort of near south ky might clip northern counties in middle TN .

SPC has slight and marginal out for TN today all hazards 2% tornado with 5% tornado in ky 5% hail and 5-15-30% wind non hatched also not all of TN is in each hazard either except for wind https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html .

Tuesday has tn separated between slight risk (top) and marginal risk (bottom) for day three with 5-15% probability here and 30-45% in the Appalachian mountains and mid Atlantic New England area https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html .

Yikes glad your safe windspeed .

SPC has moved marginal risk westward into middle TN for 5% wind also did you check out SPC discussion a upgrade to 60% for wind in the already 45% wind in mid Atlantic New England area .

SPC has three marginal risks out for Friday Saturday and Sunday Friday and Saturday are just for wind .

SPC now has tn almost entirely in slight risk with northeast corner in marginal no longer in the 5% hail risk but 5-15% wind has been moved to cover all of tn 2% tor risk is moved northwest corner of west and middle tn https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html .

SPC just upgraded day 2 outlook for tomorrow slight risk pushed further in tn now in west and middle tn has 2% in northern and northwest part of west and middle tn 5-15% risk expanded into west and middle tn and a 5% hail risk no cig level hatching https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day2otlk_20260710_1730.html .

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260710_1300.html marginal risk issued for the majority of the state of tn just a 5% damaging wind risk for today day 1 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day2otlk_20260710_0600.html for day 2 slight and marginal risk issued for tn with a cig 1 hatching 5-15% damaging wind risk https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day3otlk_20260710_0730.html day 3 has big marginal risk out for Tennessee with 5% probabilities

SPC just upgraded for here to slight risk for damaging wind 5-15% wind no hail or tornado threat expanded marginal southwestward and east ward a little bit past i65 and slight risk west of i65 Cumberland plateau is in general thunder .

Gotcha Jeff .

https://x.com/bam_weather/status/2074967466472853560?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg Context bam weathers forecast for fall a active sub tropical jet stream hugging the Deep South and southwest states and polar jet stream in Canada dipping down into northern Midwest and Ohio valley also get this could be cooler according to their forecast for the south deep south .

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.png day 2 marginal risk out for tomorrow just for 5% wind 2% tor is for west Ky south Indiana and east Missouri also hail same place .

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_0730.png day 3 marginal risk issued includes us .

Big marginal risk out for tomorrow for day 2 shaped like a hockey stick that is diagonally also a hockey puck marginal risk up in the northern plains just a 5 percent for wind and hail but in mid Atlantic is slight risk for 15-30 percent wind and 5 percent hail nm Tx ls ms north al middle and east tn east ky wv Virgina parts of carolinas ga ok parts of southern New England parts of New England and mid Atlantic in slight risk .

Glad that you are safe John .

Caught this on camera yes it’s a screenshot I think it was near by my area was going to go see it at the top of the hill but was already on top of my location this is in middle TN area .

Marginal risk issued for 5% wind and hail areas being tn river and middle tn parts of east tn also in north al and ga north east Ms as well points northward in a pretty big spaced out marginal slight also enhanced risk in the north or central plains .

Cool I’ll take a MCS .