WeatherGeek2025

how much for nyc

8 inches for you

nam rolling

are they not seeing the sleet or they're counting the south trend

Long Island is getting way more than 4 inches

that looks south of 6z

GFS shows a blizzard for next Sunday, Cmc shows snow and than a blizzard coming up the east coast by next sunday! This is a real winter!

how's uncle what's it showing, driving to the city right now can't check. extrapolate the run if you don't mind ?

euro was also consistent with last weekends system going out to sea

great point it's southeast and primary weaker kinda what the Goofus is implying! if we can get that primary transfer another 30-40 miles southeast we are golden this could stay all snow for nyc and north

warmest panel

the sleet gets stalled out around queens and manhattan it could be a trend overall a good run 8-10 inches followed by some sleet city and south

cmc is south by about 20 miles

cmc looks weaker stronger confluence from the high by Montreal

you always win!!!!!!

I would love for the GFS to verify but it's the outlier. I am going all in with Euro AI. if Euro AI verified it'd be 8-12 in the city followed by sleet which would keep my snow for weeks on the ground. I'm happy with that and there's more chances of snow down the road!

are we about to get NAM'd?

toms river i meant

let's be realistic here for once the that i am wants to believe that but when models show that warm nose aloft, forget we will change to sleet from yorktown and south! Look for a trend that could push that warm nose down to let's say staten island or whatever. and boom we will all be happy. It could happen you want an earlier south transfer and you want that coastal to crank, that thing is a pos right now 1004 millibar low very weak at this time as it is being depicted. You want some type of 996 or lower for a chance to actually cool down those columns really quick and not have that warm nose creep north any further!

Stole this from NE @WeatherWillynot sure how accurate this model is NBM

GFS is all snow, and if we could push the other guidance 30-40 miles south we're good to go!

thank you

Guys driving, how does the EPS 0z run look? colder or warmer? same?

that's a great thing Euro AI is a good model probably the best i stand by it but maybe we're just going to get some sleet. But a 30 mile shift south could change the outcome to all snow. still another 72 hours until the first flakes come in. Plenty of time for that southern 30-40 mile shift!

right now as it stands every model shows 6-12 inches of snow followed probably by a bunch of sleet. The GFS is the only model that shows pure snow for the city and west if you use kuchera probably getting around 12-18 inches according to GFS. Hopefully the GFS is right. Even if the other models that are showing that warm nose aloft it's fine we're still getting a good amount of snow followed by heavy sleet which will have staying power for our snow cover for weeks!