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wthrmn654

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Everything posted by wthrmn654

  1. wthrmn654
    Going need a weekto rest after this models nightmare, my god!
  2. wthrmn654
    Gefs look similar to o I do believe.
  3. wthrmn654
    Might be a good day to call out sick!
  4. wthrmn654
    Totals up to 18z Saturday
  5. wthrmn654
    Gfs looks horrible I kid you not I think gfs did in fact just do the 18z nam scenario
  6. wthrmn654
    Watch the gfs pull an 18z nam lmfao... with the way everything been going be our luck
  7. wthrmn654
  8. wthrmn654
    I mean look at this. Big improvement!
  9. wthrmn654
    Icon shows snow still at 03z Sunday wow
  10. wthrmn654
    For comparison, 00z looks similar to where 12z has the L down south in early stages.
  11. wthrmn654
    Well I guess 37 dropsondes did the trick!
  12. wthrmn654
    About that Nam though
  13. wthrmn654
    Not necessarily every storms different, and every model will behave differently. So if 1 model does really good this storm and maybe several others in a row, you tend to trust that more, that and consistency.
  14. wthrmn654
    Lol so who's going win the battle euro or the gfs? Or will the cmc come from behind and beat them both? Stay tuned
  15. wthrmn654
    It's the euros ensembles like the gfs has the gefs
  16. wthrmn654
    15:1 might be achievable
  17. wthrmn654
    Talk about spin the wheel and that's the model to follow though... jeez
  18. wthrmn654
    I've seen what he's talking about
  19. wthrmn654
    Wow they have dropped 28 dropsondes so far .
  20. wthrmn654
    Oh and recons currently being done by hurricane hunter planes .
  21. wthrmn654
    Sadly, the western most tracks placements, hasn't budged from 00z, just a smudge east of bench mark, I believe that the eastern side of guidance spread has increased unfortunately, and that is a little concerning...
  22. wthrmn654
    00z versus 18z gefs the spread actually increased, total opposite of what you would expect to see getting closer to event. Just nuts
  23. wthrmn654
    There discussion talked about the 18z nam and they were essentially discounting that outcome. Not saying they used that for there graphics.
  24. wthrmn654
    That and there using a model blend between the euro/gfs and some nam. 12z nam was showing big snows for everyone just about. To no one seeing anything at 18z and for that reason they do not see that happening and are essentially tossing that run. But that could change. For example.
  25. wthrmn654
    And it still can shift west. I'm saying it didn't follow the NAMs big hop shift east at least.
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