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Deep Creek

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Everything posted by Deep Creek

  1. Deep Creek
    While the GFS has been consistent, I recall a storm we got last Jan or Feb (pretty sure it was Feb but can’t get locate the screen shots) where for like 12 or 14 straight runs it showed the heaviest band over us and then come game time…poof it went well north and we got 1-3” in Richmond metro. Anything is possible and other models being close is good and all, but in these types of setups it’s best to rely on our weather history and err on the side of mixing issues.
  2. Deep Creek
    Does it? Asking seriously because the snow and qpf map just posted wouldn’t indicate that. RIC at about 17” of snow at 1.35” qpf…where in the world is any qpf left for ice? edited to say that does the snow map include sleet? Just seems like it would be way overstating snow if there was significant ice as well.
  3. Deep Creek
    This. While I’m trying not to hyperventilate over the insane snow totals being shown, I think it’s worth remembering that in Central VA, with a storm track moving to the OBX, sleet is a real possibility here. As you said, its happened repeatedly. While I’d love to stay all snow, I’m curious if the short range models start to pick that up better as we get closer to Saturday.
  4. Deep Creek
    Absolutely! Staying cautiously optimistic, but that would be fantastic if any of those threats came to fruition.
  5. Deep Creek
    Right?! Yeesh
  6. Deep Creek
    It was a joke on DT’s frequently contradictory maps that have lines going every which direction. His precip onset time maps are also difficult to read.
  7. Deep Creek
    One of the nicest snows in a long long time. Just a beautiful snow, and an all-snow event to boot! 12 hours straight and still going! None of that snow to sleet to rain crap lol. Measured 5” here in Bon Air.
  8. Deep Creek
    Flurrying here in Midlothian/Bon Air
  9. Deep Creek
    Crazy right?! 10 hours of constant snow, albeit some light throughout, but 2 inches to show for it. We’ll take it I guess!
  10. Deep Creek
    qpf-wise, yes a step back. But, gotta appreciate the nice clustering btw .50-1.00. Take away the bottom two and top two outliers, and still get a mean of .69”. That’s still a sizeable storm and hopefully not a trend for more downward changes.
  11. Deep Creek
    Henrico Co schools just closed for tomorrow. Must be getting a storm or something.
  12. Deep Creek
    Sign me up for that! I mean it’s literally WSW criteria for every single county in VA.
  13. Deep Creek
    Very similar to the 12z run on Thursday. Lots of waffling for sure between them.
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