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BristowWx

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Everything posted by BristowWx

  1. BristowWx
    the op run modeled Torchmas seems to be cooling off...don't need snow but don't want 70 either...in case Santa is listening
  2. BristowWx
    This is good stuff. Maybe Jan produces. But what’s in front of us now through the end of Dec is largely AN as it looks now. On the GEFS our entire region barely gets below freezing even at night for the next 2.5 weeks. We need to get through that then who knows. psu is right why beat ourselves up. We have no control.
  3. BristowWx
    So you are saying we just can’t know?
  4. BristowWx
    Isn’t that the Op GFS above? Doesn’t seem prudent to use that if it is
  5. BristowWx
    WUSA in DC just put the kbosh on a white Xmas...they seem smart
  6. BristowWx
    I knew this would be posted. Op runs are wrong this far out....unless of course
  7. BristowWx
    That was an inspiring GEFS run. That -NAO doesn’t look transient to this untrained eye. It looks as stable and sprawling as my mother in law on the couch on Xmas
  8. BristowWx
    You’re right. Impressive -NAO for sure this run.
  9. BristowWx
    You’d think 2m temps would at least be BN by 366…nope.
  10. BristowWx
    You’d think the PV would just pop like a grape at this point.
  11. BristowWx
    You can see the impressive -NAO flexing post 354 at least on this run
  12. BristowWx
    it’s notably stable pattern on the GEFS…but through 324…it’s just stable above normal for us. Yet when compared to past 4 runs you can see lower heights in the east post Xmas. No idea but it’s something. It is what it is and who knows if that deep arctic air in w. Canada will move SE.
  13. BristowWx
    It’s only about 6 weeks away…6 weeks after that it’s spring.
  14. BristowWx
    The 12Z Euro should lower some eyelids.
  15. BristowWx
    First GEFS plot (12z) I have seen for Xmas that has BN 850 temps...just a data point. low heights in NE helping with that.
  16. BristowWx
    This makes sense...post of the year goes to Yeoman. Hats off to you sir
  17. BristowWx
    Things "kind of" go the way we think when we use the ensembles (GEPS,GEFS, EPS) and look at h5 especially looking at NA view....the op runs are often comedy and tragedy all rolled into one show past day 7
  18. BristowWx
    No idea…to my eyes All it’s doing is keeping it less above normal really…keeping the ridge less amped in the SE…its hard to get too excited as we move toward the end of the month with no solid prospects for anything interesting…my 2 cents …
  19. BristowWx
  20. BristowWx
    If it’s not a torch on Xmas it’s a win. I want to roast chestnuts
  21. BristowWx
    Very nice indeed. That should be rather chilly for us if it verifies. Things are looking positive so far to not have Torchmas
  22. BristowWx
    Two GFS runs with ice. Data point. With follow up snow this time. GFS hitting the eggnog.
  23. BristowWx
    If it wasn’t for the Atl I bet we’d have a pig SER. Small victories I guess
  24. BristowWx
    Maybe it’s selective memory but the pac screws us quite often. Looks like last year except for the cold Canada.
  25. BristowWx
    Roger. -PNA bad.
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