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BristowWx

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Everything posted by BristowWx

  1. Thank you. I meant to include you in the people that could tell me I am a fucknut in my interpretation of the ensemble...there are plenty of others
  2. I think the GEFS h5 looks ok. I mean it doesn't look like the h5 from the EPS but 2m temps are below normal and I didn't see a buried blue ball over AZ/CA. I hope I am reading that right. CAPE and Brooklyn will tell me if I am not.
  3. Hopefully we start to see some hits show up on the GEFS. Has to look a little better than 12 and 18z.
  4. That would end me. No snow until like 2026. What if it’s a Nina 3-peat? After the super nino.
  5. Looks similar to 96 12z Euro. I guess after that is when things go awry
  6. We are debating a day 10 storm..our new base state is delirium.
  7. I wonder what he’d say with a couple 120 IPAs in him…what about DT? He likes the Euro
  8. Jumping around yes at 378…but 192 is this event. We will know soon enough..let’s hope we get out early if that’s our fate.
  9. Well it won’t take long to see where this is headed…few days we will see which model blinks some..move toward the other
  10. That looks like it wants to close off and go negative and cut to Elko, NV …that would be bad for us I assume
  11. Quite interesting to see those differences in the handling of the western energy. The GFS was on its own for this upcoming weekend event as it shifted north to where we are now before the other models...the others moved toward it slowly but surely hence all those "King GFS" posts....why do you think this period of time is different?
  12. How much does it take to suppress the SER? You’d think that look would yield a deep Eastern trough…yet the flow looks zonal…is that the Pac? There is t even a WAR. It’s baffling.
  13. I don’t think I have ever been a more miserable bastard than I have this winter…every day is kick in the twig and berries. Just toss the last shovel of dirt on the pine box and end it for fucks sake. So you think 15-17th?
  14. Yep sure not seeing much of anything. Maybe it’s not happening
  15. You won’t get too much concern from us on suppression…doesn’t seem to come up that much.
  16. I am not sure where things would end up Euro after 240..but I was liking the road for sure. It was interesting if nothing else.
  17. does seem to get squished in later frame...234...compared to 6z
  18. Why do you say now? I mean the next event is a likely cutter/redeveloper in the NE…that takes us around March 6th. Nothing even brewing until 11th or so. If roughly March 20th is the end we really have about 7 days to score. Hard to get too excited.
  19. Maybe it’s killing the block too early like psu said…or maybe we are just running around with scissors…another month of this will put me in the grave…that said I’m in
  20. That was a pretty bad run. It was hard to find a panel that was even below freezing. Counted maybe 6.
  21. I only had to click previous run handful of times to see where we were just few days ago…it’s a depressing progression
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