brutal look. this falls into the careful what you wish for with epic blocking. I mean it will be cold if you like that...which I normally do...but there is nothing getting through as depicted. the way SW part of the forum should be watching close to that 540 boundary...they could cash in.
considering how things have progressed I am not sure what level of certainty we can say either way. when/how/if the overall pattern transitions or breaks down is not yet in stone...maybe Jello or something else squishy.
It will happen when we have all but given up and we have a +NAO, +AO and it’s March. And everyone says it cannot snow in that pattern. Then it will melt the next day...seen it hundreds of times...thousands
One thing that has been fun..somewhat...is waiting to see what the model runs spit out...it’s not usually blue but it’s still interesting. And again it was always post 15 Jan where we needed to pay attention. That’s tomorrow. Strap it on and break it off is the best way to describe the upcoming pattern.