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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. bncho
    19/-1
  2. bncho
    I'll be sure to add a contour for 1-2" of rain around Georgetown.
  3. bncho
    I actually planned on doing a revised forecast tonight, but the models are not handling the HP out west well at all. I'll release a final call tomorrow at 18z.
  4. bncho
    (unless you're in the south)
  5. bncho
    Do you want me to do PBP for 0z? I'm more than happy to do so.
  6. bncho
    3k NAM also with a better thump (in general). Snow maps coming shortly.
  7. bncho
    NAM with a better thump (for the metros), though. Like @Buddy1987 stated, it's probably due to the QPF increase. (3/10)
  8. bncho
    I think HRRR is a little bit faster and a little bit wetter. (2/10)
  9. bncho
    What do you mean by that?
  10. bncho
    0z suite is starting with the HRRR. Let's reel this in! (1/10)
  11. bncho
    I watched this at 1.3x speed and I will say it was one of the best, most productive 25 minutes I've ever spent. Thank you SO MUCH for making this video, I really appreciate it! I might post this on my Twitter account if that's okay with you. People need to learn about this!
  12. bncho
    I completely understand. But your post kinda made me realize that a lot of my posts are off impulse… I want to do better in that respect.
  13. bncho
    Since you mention that, I’m going to try and start 10-posting myself in the L/R and storm threads. If I have something to mention I’m gonna make sure it’s important. That should help with the issue.
  14. bncho
    I gotcha. I’ve been trying to improve on that.
  15. bncho
    I have a feeling that once you wake up Sunday morning you’ll probably know the general outcome of this storm.
  16. bncho
    What do you think of the pattern? For Sunday you said that it was a good pattern for a MECS but implied there was a cap. Is there no limit to this pattern?
  17. bncho
    (there's more for baltimore north)
  18. bncho
    Slight shift south and it's slightly juicier
  19. bncho
    AI GFS shift south
  20. bncho
    HRRR likes the idea the possibility of some thundersnow (and then thundersleet) right before the changeover.
  21. bncho
    The GFS is 14" of snow + sleet for DC.
  22. bncho
    GFS = stubborn bastard
  23. bncho
    btw the 3k NAM is ALSO noticeably colder in the upper levels than its 12z run
  24. bncho
    NAM noticeably colder in the upper levels
  25. bncho
    Well then, in that case, it would be great if you could explain to me vorticities and how they interact and what we would want for a Winter Storm vs nothing and each little piece affects things downstream
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