IrishRob17

12 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Bottomed out at 30.0 even here. 

First freeze will officially be October 17 as midnight temp was 32.2. 

It was 34 here just before midnight so it goes down on the 18th for me. 

2 hours ago, FPizz said:

I have no idea.  For some reason when we have an actual #, I feel like we shouldn't round.  If I have 1.6" of snow, it stays at 1.6".  Its probably just a me thing    I think it bothers me most with 90° days.  If I dont see my temp starting with a 9, I didnt hit 90 haha.  

Good point on snowfall measurements. I wonder if it may change for temps as I see now at least at KMGJ that when you look at the three days history they do now show temp readings to the tenth. 

14 minutes ago, FPizz said:

If it was 29.4, would you round to 29?  Just wondering.  I feel like with temps we have a real # and no need to ever round.  

Yes, when rounding numbers one goes down in that case. I track my readings consistently with traditional NWS reporting methods. Perhaps that is changing?

30° (29.6°) for the low here. 

7 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

33.8 at 11:00 pm

Only two questions remaining, do we record the first freeze on the 17th or the 18th?Will we record a hard freeze on the 18th?
 

If the midnight temperature is 32.4 does that qualify as the first freeze?

I don't think we make 28 by sunrise  my guess is 29 for the morning low  

 

The NWS defines a Freeze as 32 or below. In your example the 32.4 gets rounded to 32 and would be considered a Freeze. 30 (29.7) here now so a Hard Freeze isn't likely at this point. 

30 minutes ago, Rjay said:

But you don't find it interesting that a top 15 warmest fall (so far) is not even notable to most anymore?

I find it interesting he doesn't acknowledge his hypocrisy. 

6 hours ago, the_other_guy said:

dont disrupt narratives. Bluewave made a BN sept sound like it was a top 10 for warmth. now they are making what looks to be a +1 Oct sound like a sea of record warmth.

there are lots of narratives on this website: manufacturing a snowstorm, thunderstorms that would make Dorothy blush, endless warmth, bomb cyclone, polar vortex like we have never seen, manufactured droughts, brush fires made to sound like Yosemite is on fire…

 

the truth is the weather is going to be what it’s going to be. And if you live in NY Metro, its never going to be as extreme as posters would like due to that large ocean next to us and lack of a large mountain chain in a 100 mile radius combined with sea level elevation and a naturally temperate mid atlantic climate.

you want a tornado ripping downtown, move to St Louis. you want major hurricanes that destroy normal life for months Tampa. you want a large city with a real winter Chicago. you want endless record Warmth followed by a blizzard in October…Denver or Salt Lake. 

 

youre not getting any of that in Queens despite attempts to manufacture it

I see what you did, the nothing to see here narrative.

9 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

First freeze tomorrow night might also be a hard freeze. I'd have to look back in my records but I believe we have had a couple of those the last several years. 

It’s fairly common for me. Average first freeze here is 10/22 with the hard freeze date of 10/28. The dates I’ve recorded both on the same date are: 11/12/05, 10/14/06, 10/20/08, 10/19/09, 10/13/12, 10/31/14, 10/17/24. The dates I have that there were back to back dates (likely the same night but I’d have to dig further into my records to see the times of the recorded lows) are: 11/1-11/2/10, 10/17-10/18/15, 11/3-11/4/21, 11/1-11/2/23, 10/9-10/10/25.

Had a severe warning over here in Orange, not much wind thankfully but in the words of Forrest Gump some big fat raindrops, .67 on the day. 

1 hour ago, backedgeapproaching said:

While I enjoy the early foliage with reds/oranges mixed with greens the most, something also enjoyable about the yellows fading at the end of foliage season. 

 

 

My parents would call that peak back in the day when we lived in New Hampshire. I always thought their idea of peak was behind mine, like you, greens mixed in is good. Their take was if there was pretty much any any green its not peak. That's one of the things I like about the foliage season though it can be a little different for everyone and yet beautiful regardless. Great photos, as is tradition, and thanks to all who post in here, much appreciated.

34 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I'm down here in Maryland. My home page is the Mid Atlantic. I'm moving up to the Tug Hill for the winter on Dec 1. I'll be just south of Barnes Corner. I'm going to be chasing blizzards and observing intense lake effect snow bands. Is their a specific group/subforum dedicated to lake effect? I'm looking forward to joining you fokes this winter. I'm ready to chase some supercharged Nino monsters this winter. 

There is typically lake effect talk in this region: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/forum/10-upstate-new-yorkpennsylvania/

53 minutes ago, dendrite said:

sis boom bah

Describe the sound made when a sheep explodes.

5 hours ago, MANDA said:

Not sure who would pay any attention to this type of thing no matter who issued it.  At best it is clickbait and at worst it is a steaming pile of ....

How can one not have faith and trust in a snowy forecast from someone named SnowbirdBob?!!

Despite my yard, there are some nice colors popping around the area.  

1.56" total.

1.06" with lighter rainfall rates now and 55°. Terrible day for outdoor activities but perfect for watching football. 

23 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Should I keep my speedos out just in case ?

You should burn those regardless.

On 10/7/2026 at 8:43 PM, Rjay said:

I hope they play through any weather lol

Announced yesterday that Gameday will be inside. The game itself will probably be dry, oh well. 

7 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

34.7 for the low here. 

Some frost on the rooftops and grass, first of the season. 

Agreed, it does meet the NWS definition of first frost (low of 36-32) so that's how it goes down in my books. I also track the much more subjective first visible frost, still waiting to log that for me. My average First Frost date is 10/12 so a little early this year. 

10 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

36 was the low here. No frost IMBY.

I saw a couple yards on the way into work with some light frost on the lawns but that was it.

I know there are a few other college football fans here, what do they do with the Georgia Bama game Saturday night? And Gameday for that matter. I would think today (maybe tomorrow?) they have to decide if they do anything.

Got to 34.5° here, up to 35° now. Good news for the leaves. 

6 hours ago, BxEngine said:

I know memories get tainted by time and misremembering…but i swear i remember most years as a kid trick or treating, there being leaf piles for us to jump in while walking around the neighborhood. This year the color is definitely earlier than the last few and looks like it could be a really good year with the exception of the same blight rob mentioned in some of ours too.

Agreed, lots of leaves. I remember one year as a teenager I stuffed an old pair of jeans with leaves and had the jeans protruding from a bigger pile of leaves next to our walkway. On Halloween night I swapped out those jeans with myself, upper body buried under the leaves. As I was laying there little kids were trick or treating so I just remained still as to not scare them. Then two teenage girls I knew from the neighborhood came up the walkway. I laid still as they walked past to the front door, trying not to laugh as one said to the other "It looks so real!" Then as they walked past me after getting their loot I kicked my leg over onto the walkway and I rose up through the pile of leaves that I was under. They were screaming as they ran away down the street...  Low of 38 this morning, 56/34 currently, we'll see about some frost, perhaps a quick freeze, tomorrow morning. 

1 hour ago, Juliancolton said:

I was surprised to see plenty of past-peak foliage in the Catskills already this weekend, especially around Shandaken and West Kill. There's a lot of great color around though.

Hoping that all that rain in September isn't going to muck up the leaves, the sugars in my yard have blight. The weather this week should help in general.

2 hours ago, MANDA said:

Beautiful morning with nice breeze, blue skies and cool temperatures.  Overnight low of 51.

Leaf color change becoming rapidly noticeable up this way.

Pumpkin spice everything is everywhere.

The pick your own apple orchards are hurting with many closed due to the Spring freeze.

Yeah, that’s a big problem around here. From what I understand many of the crops themselves are insured but the lost revenue from all the agritainment is not.