IrishRob17

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol my Lilacs are void of leaves

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

That Michigan lilac thing must be a “Michigan” thing…..zero here too.  

Mine are void of leaves as well but I did have a coworker mention earlier this week that hers bloomed again recently. She lives a bit NW of me in northern Orange County NY. 

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

10 to 40"...well that narrows it down

I can see 50"-80" from my house but will have to deal with only 20"-50"...

This dry spell came at a great time for the foliage. Sure the wind blows plenty down but I find the rain is just as bad if not worse. 

21 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Will Atlanta see a frost before you?

He does fake heat well so I'd say yes.

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

From 29 - 69 today 40 degree jump

Only 38 here today, 28-66. 

28° (27.7°) for the low again, been below freezing since around 1am. 

>75% of leaves down in my yard. 

20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I had to this past summer when there was a software issue  . It’s always been dead nuts accurate . In icing events for example  with zr involved. It’s simply an extreme example of a microclimate. Almost same elevation as ORH and typically very similar temperatures especially on fake radiating nights. I mean there has not been any frost this fall. Not on cars or rooftops 

Very good. There you go calling it fake cold after complaining yesterday that people poke fun at you. Don’t hate on areas that produce their own cold while others need Canada to come to the rescue for their cold. It’s all weather.  

11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That Tolland municipal site is literally 2 minutes away down the hill on Tolland Green. My first house was there in town . It’s 650’ and sis between my hill and Bald Hill which is closer too 1100’ . They were 27 this morning while I was sitting at 38

Serious question, when was the last time you tuned up your station and verified it was calibrated correctly. It wouldn’t change the overall issue but I’m curious. 

Mark me up on the big board for the first hard freeze, low of 28 here.

12 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Bottomed out at 30.0 even here. 

First freeze will officially be October 17 as midnight temp was 32.2. 

It was 34 here just before midnight so it goes down on the 18th for me. 

2 hours ago, FPizz said:

I have no idea.  For some reason when we have an actual #, I feel like we shouldn't round.  If I have 1.6" of snow, it stays at 1.6".  Its probably just a me thing    I think it bothers me most with 90° days.  If I dont see my temp starting with a 9, I didnt hit 90 haha.  

Good point on snowfall measurements. I wonder if it may change for temps as I see now at least at KMGJ that when you look at the three days history they do now show temp readings to the tenth. 

14 minutes ago, FPizz said:

If it was 29.4, would you round to 29?  Just wondering.  I feel like with temps we have a real # and no need to ever round.  

Yes, when rounding numbers one goes down in that case. I track my readings consistently with traditional NWS reporting methods. Perhaps that is changing?

30° (29.6°) for the low here. 

7 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

33.8 at 11:00 pm

Only two questions remaining, do we record the first freeze on the 17th or the 18th?Will we record a hard freeze on the 18th?
 

If the midnight temperature is 32.4 does that qualify as the first freeze?

I don't think we make 28 by sunrise  my guess is 29 for the morning low  

 

The NWS defines a Freeze as 32 or below. In your example the 32.4 gets rounded to 32 and would be considered a Freeze. 30 (29.7) here now so a Hard Freeze isn't likely at this point. 

30 minutes ago, Rjay said:

But you don't find it interesting that a top 15 warmest fall (so far) is not even notable to most anymore?

I find it interesting he doesn't acknowledge his hypocrisy. 

6 hours ago, the_other_guy said:

dont disrupt narratives. Bluewave made a BN sept sound like it was a top 10 for warmth. now they are making what looks to be a +1 Oct sound like a sea of record warmth.

there are lots of narratives on this website: manufacturing a snowstorm, thunderstorms that would make Dorothy blush, endless warmth, bomb cyclone, polar vortex like we have never seen, manufactured droughts, brush fires made to sound like Yosemite is on fire…

 

the truth is the weather is going to be what it’s going to be. And if you live in NY Metro, its never going to be as extreme as posters would like due to that large ocean next to us and lack of a large mountain chain in a 100 mile radius combined with sea level elevation and a naturally temperate mid atlantic climate.

you want a tornado ripping downtown, move to St Louis. you want major hurricanes that destroy normal life for months Tampa. you want a large city with a real winter Chicago. you want endless record Warmth followed by a blizzard in October…Denver or Salt Lake. 

 

youre not getting any of that in Queens despite attempts to manufacture it

I see what you did, the nothing to see here narrative.

9 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

First freeze tomorrow night might also be a hard freeze. I'd have to look back in my records but I believe we have had a couple of those the last several years. 

It’s fairly common for me. Average first freeze here is 10/22 with the hard freeze date of 10/28. The dates I’ve recorded both on the same date are: 11/12/05, 10/14/06, 10/20/08, 10/19/09, 10/13/12, 10/31/14, 10/17/24. The dates I have that there were back to back dates (likely the same night but I’d have to dig further into my records to see the times of the recorded lows) are: 11/1-11/2/10, 10/17-10/18/15, 11/3-11/4/21, 11/1-11/2/23, 10/9-10/10/25.

Had a severe warning over here in Orange, not much wind thankfully but in the words of Forrest Gump some big fat raindrops, .67 on the day. 

1 hour ago, backedgeapproaching said:

While I enjoy the early foliage with reds/oranges mixed with greens the most, something also enjoyable about the yellows fading at the end of foliage season. 

 

 

My parents would call that peak back in the day when we lived in New Hampshire. I always thought their idea of peak was behind mine, like you, greens mixed in is good. Their take was if there was pretty much any any green its not peak. That's one of the things I like about the foliage season though it can be a little different for everyone and yet beautiful regardless. Great photos, as is tradition, and thanks to all who post in here, much appreciated.

34 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I'm down here in Maryland. My home page is the Mid Atlantic. I'm moving up to the Tug Hill for the winter on Dec 1. I'll be just south of Barnes Corner. I'm going to be chasing blizzards and observing intense lake effect snow bands. Is their a specific group/subforum dedicated to lake effect? I'm looking forward to joining you fokes this winter. I'm ready to chase some supercharged Nino monsters this winter. 

There is typically lake effect talk in this region: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/forum/10-upstate-new-yorkpennsylvania/

53 minutes ago, dendrite said:

sis boom bah

Describe the sound made when a sheep explodes.

5 hours ago, MANDA said:

Not sure who would pay any attention to this type of thing no matter who issued it.  At best it is clickbait and at worst it is a steaming pile of ....

How can one not have faith and trust in a snowy forecast from someone named SnowbirdBob?!!

Despite my yard, there are some nice colors popping around the area.  

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