IrishRob17

6 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

What about some of us up here like HPN, DXR and SWF? 

MGJ : -7.1

HPN: -7.6

DXR: -7.0

You can look them up here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx

35 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Lots of fine ways to jackpot in a storm

Classic.

13 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

And @IrishRob17 thought i was joking when i said i keep the lawn higher for the last mow for that reason. Snow sticks to the top of the grass, i bury the ruler all the way to the frozen ground underneath, can easily inflate my totals another 2” sometimes lol. 
 

of course on the flip side is the guys who poopoo 1-3” snowfalls saying “it wont stick on the roads we wont get that much the models are wrong”…because we measure on 42nd street apparently.

Tis true, there's nearly always more in the yard than on on board, especially early in the season. Its even better if the ground isn't frozen yet, you can get the snow ruler to dig into the mud a bit. Winning. 

NOUS41 KOKX 161406
PNSOKX

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
0906 AM EST Tue Dec 16 2025

...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY TRANSITIONING TO A NEW 
FORMAT FOR THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION BEGINNING JAN 7 2026...

Beginning with the afternoon issuance on January 7th 2026, the 
National Weather Service New York, NY Forecast Office will 
transition to a Key Message format for the Area Forecast Discussion 
(AFDOKX).  

This strategic change aligns the Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) with 
an impacts-first message philosophy, enabling our office to 
streamline communication and reduce redundancy. This transition 
moves away from a strictly chronological layout to focus immediately 
on potential weather impacts and hazards. By prioritizing Key 
Messages, we aim to enhance clarity and eliminate duplication within 
the Area Forecast Discussion. 

A side-by-side comparison of the old format and the new format 
templates can be found at: https://www.weather.gov/erh/newAFD

The latest local AFD can be found at the following link: 
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=okx&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD

For any questions, please contact:

Nelson Vaz 
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service New York NY
[email protected]

On 12/14/2025 at 4:02 PM, Rjay said:

Thanks for everything Walt. I meant to post this on December 12th for you.  I had watched this in October of this year.  You are mentioned multiple times.  You did a great job as usual.  Please feel free to join us whenever you feel up to it.  

 

 

That was a good watch, thanks for posting it. 

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Tri-State snowfall map is going up tomorrow if anyone has any totals from NJ/NY that they want included let me know @IrishRob17 @psv88. Probably do a season to date map this week as well so lmk your seasonal snowfall total to date. 

4.1" for this event bringing my season total to 8.6"

4.1” total up here near KMGJ, melted down to .27 making for a 15:1 snow ratio, nice fluffy easy cleanup stuff. 8.6” for the season. 

12 minutes ago, Nibor said:

He said to tear him to bits on Monday morning, not Sunday morning so you’re just being mean now. 

@The 4 Seasons4.1" total of lovely powder here, 8.6" for the season. 6.5" at the stake. 

Watch out for flying powder snow bombs as the wind is picking up causing whiteout conditions. Love to see it. 

3” or so out there, measured 2.8” earlier. This powder is sure to blow and drift a decent amount over the next couple days. 

2 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Entering day 11 of continuous snow cover, although we're about at 80% coverage now. Pretty amazing from 2.8 inches of sow through the period. Hopefully the bare spots get covered up with another 2-3 inches tonight. Two would be great from this setup, 3 would be a pleasant surprise.

To those out there that keep track. When do you call the snow cover done? I use at least a one inch cover over 75% of visible land area, sun and shade. Right now I'm 2-2.5 inch in shady spots, one inch in most sunny areas with about 20% bare ground.

Yeah, that’s always up to debate.  For me I found a spot in the yard for my snow stake that is out from under the trees and is a good indicator of when I get down to 50% coverage or less. So when there’s nothing at my stake I just call it patchy snow cover. Case in point, 2.5” at the stake this morning but I have bare spots under trees. 

23 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Dad was in the Navy so I can't be with you on this one brother , that said hoping for a good game 

No snow for you!

I kid, I kid. Here's to a great game!

32 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Rob,your pretty North of me as I am in New City and I am one of those peeps with bare ground lol,,,,,,,also it looks like South or Central Jersey could get theirs

Oh I figured you didn't have anything on the ground, rooting for you today. Also rooting GO ARMY BEAT NAVY!

36 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Looks like we might be getting a little snow later on this evening the decorations should look nice outside in the morning 

I hope we all do but I really hope those who have bare ground get some. Tis the season. 

55 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Hey @IrishRob17 your boys at hudson valley weather ok? They have this “storm” hitting us tnite and out by tomorrow morning lol.

My boys?! LOL. I did have a shot to get in on that back in the day, true story, but stepped away. I guess I missed my shot at the big time, oh well. 

@The 4 Seasons picked up 1.1" here today as this winds down giving me 4.5" for the season. 33/31 currently with just some light flurries lingering. 

2 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

I'm heading up to Kingston for an event this evening.  I assume the thruway will be no worse than wet.  Any intelligence to the contrary?

It's sounds like traffic is moving fine on 84 ( I can hear it from my house) and on Google Maps most major roads are still green around here. That said, a winter wonderland in my yard, snow sticking to everything with .8 on the board so far in light snow 34/30. 

29/23, hoping that light precip just to my west makes it in here as frozen. 50s on Christmas Eve and a cold rain on Christmas Day, a true holiday of yore being projected at this point.   

3 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

I don't see a high temp above 36 for the next 14 days on my weather apps. Haven't looked at any new model runs today.
 

Is this something some of the model runs are showing not showing up in the apps yet or are you mocking the warm mongers among us?

I'm looking at the models and they've been showing above normal temps around the weekend before Christmas going into Christmas week. Its way out there, can and will change so lets hope for the best.

Looks like 4 will do it for the low here. 

4 will do it for the low here. Sucks to see that warm up heading out way next week. 

12 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

are you talking about your area in Northwest NJ or the entire NYC metro from Ocean County up to Ulster County in NY  ?

It’s impossible to predict anything with confidence past 5 days in this fast flowed pattern………………….

7 hours ago, psv88 said:

We have 1.30” of rain already in December and it was a pretty wet November with 2.50” of rain. The ground is muddy and we aren’t in a very dry pattern.

What's your average November precipitation there? 2.50" seems like it would be below average to me, it would be up here.