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PhiEaglesfan712

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Posts posted by PhiEaglesfan712

  1. 9 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    I thought 2020 had flurries in May... in fact, I know it did. I recall standing out on my friend's deck as a blown out virga CU came over and stray dendies floated by for a couple minutes.  I'm like really -

    I don't know. Maybe it has to actually be 32 to damage orchard crops... and that was say 33 to 44 with very low freezing heights.  

    2020 and 2023 were just outlier warm and snowless winters. A regression to the mean had to happen at some point, and the cold finally came those years in the late spring, even early summer months (April and May in 2020; May and June in 2023). 

  2. 43 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

    Nice winter chill in the air the past 7 days for you folks out east.

    IMG_8978.png

    Yeah, that  I was in Vermont from Saturday-Monday, and it was 55-60 each day. (I returned home on Monday to 70s and a melted lake.)

    6 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

    anyone, and i mean anyone who thinks this is good weather for mid march needs to be psychologically examined. the wind  sucks and having it go back into the 30's after a few days of nice weather just makes me sad lmao

     

    by next november, i will once again be ready to see some flakes. but as for now, lets just chill at 72 and sunny everyday. 

    Definitely agree with you on this. I wouldn't want a temperature swing like that. I mean, I don't want it to be 100 degrees one day in the summer, then in the 50s at the same time the very next day.

  3. 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

    DCA picked up 0.1" today after an early morning high of 78°. Yesterday's high there was 86°.

    This is probably the most unprecedented weather event ever. It would be like if this July, DCA recorded a high of 106 one day, and an early morning high of 98 the next day, then the temps dropping to near 50 by the end of that very day.

    • Confused 1
  4. 12 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

    It does have an effect drastically. Mid Jan with these rates/temps, roads covered without question, not even close. Now, white rain, it's rough at this point on the calendar... 

    Yeah, the high temperature for the month of January was 57 (on January 14). The ground is easily cold enough following that to get a snow accumulation with a mid-January sun angle. That's simply not happening today after the 83-degree high temps the last few days and a mid-March sun angle.

  5. 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

    It’s snowing down to VA

    That really blows my mind. That normally doesn't happen at this time of the year, especially following the warmth of the last few days, unless there was something special brewing (like the Storm of the Century in 1993).

    It would be like in the summer if it was 105 one day, and barely above 50 at the same time the next day. I can't wrap my head around that.

  6. 54 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

    every spring i read posts about a bad season for backdoor fronts yet our last cold april was 6 years ago

    April 2022 was cool, especially the back half of the month:

    2022-04-17 51 41 46.0 -8.3 19 0 0.00 0.0 0
    2022-04-18 54 39 46.5 -8.2 18 0 0.85 0.0 0
    2022-04-19 50 39 44.5 -10.6 20 0 1.24 0.0 0
    2022-04-20 60 42 51.0 -4.5 14 0 0.00 0.0 0
    2022-04-21 59 44 51.5 -4.3 13 0 0.00 0.0 0
    2022-04-22 70 53 61.5 5.3 3 0 0.00 0.0 0
    2022-04-23 65 51 58.0 1.5 7 0 0.00 0.0 0
    2022-04-24 63 48 55.5 -1.4 9 0 0.00 0.0 0
    2022-04-25 58 46 52.0 -5.2 13 0 0.00 0.0 0
    2022-04-26 60 52 56.0 -1.6 9 0 0.02 0.0 0
    2022-04-27 58 41 49.5 -8.4 15 0 0.00 0.0 0
    2022-04-28 58 40 49.0 -9.2 16 0 0.00 0.0 0
    2022-04-29 63 41 52.0 -6.5 13 0 0.00 0.0 0
    2022-04-30 68 44 56.0 -2.9 9 0 0.00 0.0 0
  7. On 3/9/2026 at 1:01 PM, Freezing Drizzle said:

    Have to save A+ for 1995-1996. This season will get an A.

    It occurred to me that for one to have experienced 1995-1996 with some degree of understanding, you would have to be at least 40-45 years old now.
    For anyone younger, check out that season's frozen events on Ray's Winter Archive; November to April.

    I was born in 1988 (close enough), and can say 2013-14 and 2014-15 were just as great as 1995-96. Those seasons got started with a cold November, but really hit their strides in January, and didn't really let up until the end of March.

    • Like 2
  8. 5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

    What was your grade for 14-15?

    That one was an easy A in my book. I loved seeing the transformation from a near record cold and snowy February to a near record warm May. 

  9. I like April/May 2015 better than February/March 2018 as an analog for this March/April, especially if we're heading towards a stronger el nino/+PDO. The late spring months of 2015 turned warmer (with May being a near record warm month) after a very cold winter/early spring. 

  10. Just now, wasnow215 said:

    So all the weather models are wrong? 12 hours out? You're the type of guy that will come back on here tomorrow and say you were wrong if it does snow tho right?

    Sometimes, you have to use common sense and not rely on the models. How many times have you seen snow immediately following 80 degree days? I can't think of any.

    If I happen to be wrong, I will personally come back here and apologize to you all. However, I know it's not going to happen, so I'm done posting on this thread because it's really unnecessary. Good night to everyone. 

    • Haha 1
    • Weenie 2
  11. 1 minute ago, Cobalt said:

    It took me 2 minutes to backread and find a post that you should've been five-posted for.

    Don't come around here talking about dwindling snow prospects when you're batting .150 at a time when it is BY FAR THE EASIEST to predict warm snowless winters and be right. Nobody's gonna call you an oracle when you're saying snow won't stick the day after it hits 85 degrees. 

    It's more reasonable than those posting snow maps where DC and Virginia get 7+ inches. We all know it isn't going to happen, so why post it? That's the definition of trolling. I even looked back, and DC didn't even get 7 inches of snow during some of the historical March snowstorms, like 1958, 1993, and 2018.

    • Weenie 2
  12. 1 minute ago, bncho said:

    Come on, you came all the way down here just to troll like this. This isn't Philly. There is no tolerance of trolls, and then forum members will troll you back.

    I'm not trolling. I'm being realistic. It doesn't normally snow in DC or Virginia in mid-March, much less following 80-degree days. The sun angle is just too strong.

    You need something really special, like the Storm of the Century in 1993, for it to snow at this time of year. We don't have that right now.

    • Weenie 2
    • Crap 1
  13. 3 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

    when is the last time we had two-- 80 + degree days and then the next day heavy snow ?

    It has never happened before. May 1977 probably the closest you're going to get:

    1977-05-06 84 57 70.5 9.9 0 6 0.47 0.0 0
    1977-05-07 74 53 63.5 2.6 1 0 0.00 0.0 0
    1977-05-08 64 39 51.5 -9.6 13 0 0.10 0.0 0
    1977-05-09 44 36 40.0 -21.4 25 0 0.31 T 0
  14. 5 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

    would be a rude awakening for those that thought winter weather was over for this season.....has happened many times in the past after a March warm up - as late as April...

    Snow can happen in March or April, but under the right conditions. We just don't have that right now. We have (1) a lack of cold air, (2) the ground is too warm, and (3) the sun angle is too high. We need temps in the 30s and 40s for a few weeks, and that probably isn't happening. Winter weather is just about over. Do not hold out hope for any snow.

    • Weenie 1
    • 100% 1
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