PhiEaglesfan712

11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

The cold march busted.    Most places are +2 to +4 so far with nothing cold outside of one day in the next week or so

I mean, I called for a warm March and April in early February. The cold was on borrowed time. We never get more than 3 straight months of well below average temperatures anymore. The last time was in January-March 2015. Then, things turned warmer in April and May had close to record warmth. 4 straight well below average temperature months is just about impossible, especially in this warming climate.

11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Yes. February 2018 is probably best comparison for this region. It's incredible that the Southwest/West is seeing such an extreme event so soon after the September-October 2024 heat during which Phoenix set or tied daily records on 21 consecutive days and easily set new September and October monthly records.

I think mid-April 2002 and March 2012 is the best comparison. They came on the heels of warm and snowless winters, which is what we have in the West. February 2018, on the other hand, was just an outlier warm month, in what was otherwise a cold winter and early spring.

If we go back to the 20th century, then the April 1976 is the most anomolous early heat wave ever in the Northeastern US. Providence recorded a 98-degree day in April, which not only smashed the April monthly record, but it was higher than any temperature recorded in May and (until last year's 100) June. [Providence breaking the June monthly high by 3 degrees last year is another amazing feat.] Temperatures never got that hot again in many places during the rest of the Bicentennial summer.

Another thing to watch out for is that we have not had a strong la nina since 2010-11. This is our longest stretch without one since 1955-56 and 1973-74.

We are probably due for a strong la nina soon. (If we don't get one by 2028-29, then it will be the longest stretch without one since 1916-17 and 1955-56.) Keep in mind, many of our strongest el ninos have been immediately followed by a strong la nina:

1957-58 (strong) - No

1965-66 (strong) - No

1972-73 (super) - Yes (1973-74)

1982-83 (super) - No

1986-88 (strong) - Yes (1988-89)

1991-92 (strong) - No

1997-98 (super) - Yes (1998-99 and 1999-2000)

2009-10 (strong) - Yes (2010-11)

2015-16 (super) - No

2023-24 (strong) - No

1 hour ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

Sixers had a great run going in January. Everyone was healthy. Everyone was playing together. Things were clicking. The George got suspended. Embiid got hurt again. Now Maxey.  Team is fried. Haven't had a solid bench since 2019.  They can't compete with the younger run and gun teams. 

Embiid is such a wasted talent. So dominant when he's healthy.  It's time for the Sixers to basically start over with Edgecombe. I would even consider trading Maxey if it's going to get a first round pick back. 

I started paying more attention to the Flyers this year than years past. The whole Carter thing set them back.  Every year they are too inconsistent. Win 4, lose 4. Win 6 lose 7, win 3 lose 4. Win 5, lose 4.  I think Mitchcov (sp?) has some serious upside. I like Zegaris as well.  

 

Trading Jared McCain was already a bad mistake. Trading Maxey would compound it. If anything, the Sixers should have kept McCain, and traded Embiid (the timing of George's suspension made him untradable at the deadline, but they could move him in the offseason).

The Sixers could have turned the page with Maxey, McCain, and Edgecombe as core of the future. Trading Maxey, while still keeping Embiid and George on the roster, would stunt the rebuild for this team.

On 3/14/2026 at 12:20 AM, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

SOI remains very positive for a developing Stronger El Nino

13 Mar 2026	1013.78	1004.20	26.18	15.03	10.39
12 Mar 2026	1012.94	1003.80	24.08	14.12	10.15
11 Mar 2026	1012.23	1003.95	19.96	13.50	9.83
10 Mar 2026	1012.41	1004.15	19.86	12.99	9.54
9 Mar 2026	1013.31	1004.00	24.89	12.33	9.38
8 Mar 2026	1013.00	1003.05	27.95	11.43	9.31
7 Mar 2026	1012.90	1002.50	30.11	10.84	9.13
6 Mar 2026	1012.74	1003.30	25.51	10.77	8.71
5 Mar 2026	1010.85	1003.90	13.59	10.96	8.17
4 Mar 2026	1011.34	1003.15	19.53	11.31	7.65
3 Mar 2026	1010.85	1002.70	19.34	11.46	6.95
2 Mar 2026	1010.44	1002.95	16.18	11.70	6.42
1 Mar 2026	1011.79	1003.40	20.49	11.80	6.11
28 Feb 2026	1011.80	1003.50	17.10	11.49	5.74

 

Lots of month to go, but March is currently on pace to be the Most +SOI month since before the 23-24 Strong Nino. 

Later-in-the-year Strong Nino March's:

2023: -1.78

2015: -10.7

1997: -7

1991: -10.1

1982: +0.7

1972: +1.2

1965: +2.1

^since 1950

What about 1986 and 2009?

(I'm not including 1987, because that el nino was already in progress, and it had dissipated already by the end of winter 1988... giving a jump start on the very strong 1988-89 la nina).

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Cmc way north but thats going to most likely come south over time. 

Even if it does, it will be an all-rain event. Temps are going to be in the 50s.

2 hours ago, LVblizzard said:

Ya know what, if it’s gonna be cold, give us more snow. Cold and dry this time of year is brutal. Snow at least makes it a little more interesting. Plus the cleanup doesn’t take as long with the sun angle helping melt the snow very quickly this time of year.

The problem is that it won't be cold enough to snow. Average highs are in the mid 50s and average lows are in the mid 30s. We are probably aren't going to stray too far from these averages the next few weeks.

1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said:

Two years in a row of below normal Dec, Jan and Feb. Followed by above normal March.

December (2024) and February (2025) were near normal. January being well below average made the winter BN.

This December, January, and February were all well below average. The first time since January, February, and March 2015. Of course, that was followed by a near record warm May.

19 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Is the Spring Equinox going to get delayed on Friday?

No, and there have been snowstorms on the spring equinox before (see 3/20/2015 and 3/21/2018). There won't be one this year.

Even if we do get snow late in the month/early next month, unless it's really obvious, PHL is going to mark it as a trace. I'm still annoyed 4/2/2018 and 3/28/2022 were marked as trace. Both definitely had some accumulation, and should have been marked at least 0.1, if not 0.2

3 hours ago, zwyts said:

I'm moving to Philly this year.  How's this forum?  I might be banned. Is there another place you guys like to post as well/

I post in The Weather Forums: https://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/forum/3-the-weather-forums/

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

why can't this be us in july

It already happened in Newark. On July 22, 2011, it reached 108.

Now, imagine a July day going to 116-118+ in Newark.

9 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I thought 2020 had flurries in May... in fact, I know it did. I recall standing out on my friend's deck as a blown out virga CU came over and stray dendies floated by for a couple minutes.  I'm like really -

I don't know. Maybe it has to actually be 32 to damage orchard crops... and that was say 33 to 44 with very low freezing heights.  

2020 and 2023 were just outlier warm and snowless winters. A regression to the mean had to happen at some point, and the cold finally came those years in the late spring, even early summer months (April and May in 2020; May and June in 2023). 

43 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

Nice winter chill in the air the past 7 days for you folks out east.

Yeah, that  I was in Vermont from Saturday-Monday, and it was 55-60 each day. (I returned home on Monday to 70s and a melted lake.)

6 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

anyone, and i mean anyone who thinks this is good weather for mid march needs to be psychologically examined. the wind  sucks and having it go back into the 30's after a few days of nice weather just makes me sad lmao

 

by next november, i will once again be ready to see some flakes. but as for now, lets just chill at 72 and sunny everyday. 

Definitely agree with you on this. I wouldn't want a temperature swing like that. I mean, I don't want it to be 100 degrees one day in the summer, then in the 50s at the same time the very next day.

33 years ago, the Storm of the Century: https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1993/us0313.php

3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

DCA picked up 0.1" today after an early morning high of 78°. Yesterday's high there was 86°.

This is probably the most unprecedented weather event ever. It would be like if this July, DCA recorded a high of 106 one day, and an early morning high of 98 the next day, then the temps dropping to near 50 by the end of that very day.

12 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

It does have an effect drastically. Mid Jan with these rates/temps, roads covered without question, not even close. Now, white rain, it's rough at this point on the calendar... 

Yeah, the high temperature for the month of January was 57 (on January 14). The ground is easily cold enough following that to get a snow accumulation with a mid-January sun angle. That's simply not happening today after the 83-degree high temps the last few days and a mid-March sun angle.

22 minutes ago, Lady Di said:

I don’t think I’ve ever remember going from 80 to such a cold front. Snowing at 39 degrees!!!?? Wow pretty cool. 

Yeah, that would be like if in the summer we went from 100 one day to 59 and rainy the next.

5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

This temperature drop has to be unprecedented. It would be like if in July, the high in Baltimore was 104 one day, then only 53 at solar noon the next day.

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s snowing down to VA

That really blows my mind. That normally doesn't happen at this time of the year, especially following the warmth of the last few days, unless there was something special brewing (like the Storm of the Century in 1993).

It would be like in the summer if it was 105 one day, and barely above 50 at the same time the next day. I can't wrap my head around that.

6 minutes ago, yoda said:

Well?

Okay, I'll admit I was wrong. It can snow in Baltimore, DC, and Virginia, even after it's 80 degrees. I've never seen that before, but I guess there's a first for everything.

(Although, the rain hasn't changed over where I am.)

54 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

every spring i read posts about a bad season for backdoor fronts yet our last cold april was 6 years ago

April 2022 was cool, especially the back half of the month:

Pingers??? I guess this means Free Agency has begun, and it's Eagles season again.

On 3/9/2026 at 1:01 PM, Freezing Drizzle said:

Have to save A+ for 1995-1996. This season will get an A.

It occurred to me that for one to have experienced 1995-1996 with some degree of understanding, you would have to be at least 40-45 years old now.
For anyone younger, check out that season's frozen events on Ray's Winter Archive; November to April.

I was born in 1988 (close enough), and can say 2013-14 and 2014-15 were just as great as 1995-96. Those seasons got started with a cold November, but really hit their strides in January, and didn't really let up until the end of March.

Can you do 1992-93 and 1993-94, as both were really good snow seasons? The archive would feel incomplete without the Blizzard of 1993.