PhiEaglesfan712

2 hours ago, wasnow215 said:

Adult son's birthday is 3/25. I can remember AT LEAST 2 years since 2012 it snowed on his Bday!

It was 2013 and 2014.

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Man 2012 is close to knocking on our door. Too bad. 

I'm thinking more like 2010. 2012 came off a wall-to-wall warm and snowless winter. 2010 came off a more cold and snowy winter, but flipped warm once the calendar flipped to March, and never really looked back.

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

So in this much warmer world it was a challenge for places to have an all-time winter for both snow and cold. There was definitely a colder global temperature sweet spot from 1993-1994 to 2014-2015. This allowed for the all-time snowiest winter in PA during 1993-1994, our area in 1995-1996, DC to Philly in 2009-2010, Detroit and the Great Lakes in 2013-2014, and Boston in 2014-2015. None of these benchmarks were able to be approached this winter with the smaller footprint of the cold.

The colder global temperature sweet spot ended with the 1997-98 el nino. Temperatures jumped with that super el nino, and have never went back to the pre-1997 baseline. Pinatubo was most likely the reason for the colder global temperature sweet spot.

16 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Hey @stormtracker could we fix the pinning in this sub? The last El Niño from like 3 winters ago is somehow still pinned, lol

Yeah, we should pin the 2026-27 el nino thread, and unpin the 2023-24 el nino.

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

It's a lock

This really won't happen. The sun angle is too high and temps are a bit too warm for snow. If anything happens, it will probably be rain.

17 years ago, the Nor'easter that kicked off the great 7-9 year stretch of storms: 

46 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

What’s the target date/dates for the arctic cold and east coast snowstorm pattern to start up again? 

For this year, it's finished. The sun angle is going to prevent us from getting arctic cold. As for the next east coast snowstorm pattern, your guess is as good as mine. I can guarantee you, though, that there probably won't be one until at least November.

12 hours ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

I bet you never get to say after a snowfall that your grass is covered.

If true, that lawn is a deciduous forest by now. 1998 was 28 years ago.

April 1983 takes the cake when it comes to hard freezes:

It snowed in places like Philly and NYC during the 19th and 20th.

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Highly unlikely SNE does a sub 32 high in April. 

I don't think it happens this year, but it does happen every once in a while. I believe they've gone as late as mid-May (in 2023, and that was after a very warm winter).

15 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Denver is on track for its second warmest winter on record.

2014-15 is still the record holder, correct?

35 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

 

Some things we do know…no way we warm up to 60’s and 70’s…and stay there…not in mid and late March and April. Wish we did..but we don’t. That we know.  (Exception being 2012…which is as rare as a 1995-1996 and a 2014-2015 winter). 

2014-2015 was followed by a record warm May (or at least close to it). One of the most remarkable pattern turnarounds in spring, right along with 2010.

A volcanic eruption is not necessary for a great winter. However, one certainly helps. Just look at 92-93, 93-94, and 95-96, following Pinatubo. In fact, they are still 3 of the Top 4 snowiest winters in State College, PA:

1    1993-1994    109.3    0
2    1995-1996    99.0    0
3    1977-1978    98.2    0
4    1992-1993    92.5    0

However, we have had great stretches of winters (2002-03 to 2004-05, 2008-09 to 2010-11, and 2013-14 and 2014-15) even without a volcanic eruption. If we can have another great winter in 2026-27, we could add another great stretch of winters.

My gut tells me a cold shot on Monday, but no snow. If there is a precip event, it will be Tuesday night into Wednesday, and will be primarily rain. After that will be a huge warm up.

I knew I should have stuck to my gut and kept 2013-14 as a top analog. We were in a solar max/-PDO heading towards neutral/2nd year near neutral ENSO.

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

March 2-3 window still looks interesting:

I think the system ends up further south. We'll end up dry and cold. Even in the areas that get hit by the snow part of the system won't see too much accumulation due to the March sun angle.

12 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

I would actually trade one of the upcoming nickel and dime events for another good cold shot. When it snows then hits the mid upper 30s w/sun it's a sloppy mess. Give me some low overcast skies w/highs in the low 20s after a nickel/dime event And throw in some winds and a lost random tumbleweed for good measure...

30f

The March 2-3 event now looks more like a cold shot, than a precipitation event.

La ninas can be warm in February, too. Just look at February 2012, 2017, 2018, and 2023.

I'd much rather have a +PDO than an el nino, like 2014-15. 

3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

In general any El Nino, especially in today's climate of over 1.5 is going to be a fairly mild winter nationwide.   Even 09-10 was not all that cold, it was just narrowly cold enough to snow.

We got a lot of snow in 2009-10, but that winter was short. The spring of 2010 might be one of the most amazing pattern flips ever. It turned warm in March and got to 90 during the first week of April. 

10 minutes ago, A_Status said:

So happy that this storm put NYC over 40" for the season for the first time since 2017-18.  Long overdue.

Didn't 2020-21 go over 40"?

5 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Family member had to break out the snow shoes on the farm in Farmingdale, NJ

 

What a difference a week makes. Last Monday, my sister wore her sneakers for the first time this season, and we went on a walk around the neighborhood.

Now, we have a lot of snow to shovel. (We've been out at least twice now. Me three times.)

Seeing the snow reports from Providence, those Baltimore/DC numbers are not surprising at all. I think most of us knew from the beginning the storm was going to hit the Baltimore/DC area or Providence/Boston, but not both.

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

Can't wait for the regional totals breakdown from the NWS
 

Here you go: https://x.com/NWS_MountHolly/status/2026004588776829119

PHL - 14.0 (30.0 for the season)

ACY - 16.9

Trenton - 16.4

Mt. Holly office - 20.3

7 minutes ago, weathermedic said:

lol at the snow hole in the northwest corner with only 4 inches.