BuffaloWeather
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Cips analogs http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=EC&fhr=F120&rundt=2022011200&map=thbCOOP72 -
I was using reverse psychology to jackpot WNY. Either way that path shown by the GFS has only happened a handful of times in the last decade, I'll believe it when I see it. It's very rare as the system either wants to go east or west of apps. We either get a cutter or coastal 90% of the time with Miller As. Miller Bs are easier to get in Upstate.
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UK is a coastal.
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GEM followed the NW trend
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Until the Euro hops on board I think this is sliding SE of WNY, I think Central/Eastern NY do well.
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hour 138
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GEFS coming way west compared to last run.
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Yeah pretty rare. March 2008 was one, been a few others since.
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That band is crazy! That might be 3"+ per
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I'm looking at that snowfall map and looks like a 100 mile wide band of silliness instead of 25.
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The GFS did it again, storms never cross the apps like that. Tossed.
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I know how it happens I've just always wondered what the sounding thresholds are. Here is a good study on it https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/onsite/features/cat.php?day=2017-03-22
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evaporational cooling leading to snow vs rain in intense precipitation events.
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What does the disparity between temperature and dew point have to be for wet bulb effect? Is there a min/max? Does it matter where it occurs in atmosphere, obviously has to be within the cloud or underneath.
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and @rochesterdave
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Tombo just used the icon
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Nam through 84 is super amped but it always is
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Yep, cold and dry the worst winter pattern. Lots would have to change in order to get anything good here. Very rarely do you see cold and dry without the lakes firing up. This weekends arctic outbreak we see below zero temps with zero precipitation, talk about boring.
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No chance
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The vort responsible for this storm is still just east of Russia.
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Definitely a trend the last 6 runs of GFS. However the mean is still way SE, there a few really NW ones that are throwing off the mean.
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Tonight’s sunset was crazy. Lots of icebergs already in the lake
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
BuffaloWeather replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm just salty I had him in my 2 QB league this year.
