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Shad

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Everything posted by Shad

  1. Shad
    DT has been bad for a long time but that may be the worst snow map I have ever seen
  2. Shad
    hows the GFS looking
  3. Shad
    improvements on the ICON?
  4. Shad
    that bad?
  5. Shad
    CMC quite a bit improved from 00Z is this start of North trend?
  6. Shad
    Long ways still to go with this one but Id be shocked if this doesnt move North 100 miles in the next 48 hours....
  7. Shad
    stalls then goes southwest before pushing east and out.....good luck with this verifying but cool to look at
  8. Shad
    GFS is on drugs
  9. Shad
    GFS had over 40" in my backyard on the 12z. If it shows 0" with the 0z run I think I will step away for a bit.
  10. Shad
    Based on the ICON ensemble it seems like the Icon doesnt have a handle on this, lows all over the place with a cluster along the southern new england coast
  11. Shad
    We will learn alot about the models as to how this plays out
  12. Shad
    yea result is even worse that 12z
  13. Shad
    ICON looking better to anyone at 78?
  14. Shad
    Cant say the NAM at 84 was awful....on to the Icon to take us out to sea
  15. Shad
    The NAM at 84 was actually great for the recent storm
  16. Shad
    Has Weathernext been tested with a setup like this before? How much should we put into the model?
  17. Shad
    Just checked the mean on the EPS 12z ....its actually a big improvement from the 0z (dont have access to the 6z) as some have said there are a handful 4-6 members that are likely skewing the mean a bit from being further west and even a touch north.....also notice 2 clusters that are considerable west and another that are northwest of the mean....i think this trends somewhat west the next few runs.....how much remains to be seen.....if I were on the coast I would still be quite optimistic
  18. Shad
    Looking at the AIGFS the past 3 runs we are seeing a west trend.....it isnt major shifts run to run but 50 or so miles which if this continues a couple more runs will have major impacts for anyone not directly on the coast
  19. Shad
    If the King is back west at 12z this board will get silly
  20. Shad
    CMC a step back
  21. Shad
    OK that was fun but on to the real models.....what are we seeing on the CMC
  22. Shad
    40 inches for MBY and 60mph winds hmmmmm ok
  23. Shad
    FOOK man i hope other models follow the GFS.... if you look at the ensembles the GFS is clearing in the camp of the lows closer to the coast......Euro and others not so much.....be interesting to see if CMC holds
  24. Shad
    Still in on this one.....Looking at the surface on these runs sucks right now but its the smallest changes that can make this go from Bust to Boom.....would like to see things hold or trend back in next 24 hrs
  25. Shad
    thats through Saturday at 1pm
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