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Witness Protection Program

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    Idalia Banter

    in Tropical Headquarters

    Posted

    2 thoughts:

    1.  Looking at the swamps and topography of Florida's armpit, I'd say the odds are up to almost 50% that 1 or more dumb disaster wankers "Imma documentary stormchaserz!" ends up getting themselves killed by poor decisions.

    2.  Could be some really terrible results depending on where the surge for this thing hits.  So many very low lying houses.  Take a look at all those canal streets in Suwannee:  https://www.google.com/maps/@29.3297975,-83.1433486,2760m/data=!3m1!1e3?entry=ttu

    You've got mobile homes on the water that will flood with as little as 5' of surge and some wave action:  https://www.google.com/maps/@29.3308642,-83.1400039,3a,15y,234.07h,86.97t/data=!3m6!1e1!3m4!1sDUHcWJw9R1rGrvVwgnjaTQ!2e0!7i13312!8i6656?entry=ttu

    And even the homes built on stilts may have to contend with a lot of battering tree and mobile home debris atop the surge, driven by the winds.  1-2 miles inland not so advantageous when it's that low lying.  We saw in Ike the way many stilt homes couldn't take the high surge + wave action, I'd guess it would have been even worse if there had been a mile of 3' elevation forested swamp in between.  Might initially blunt  the waves, but  debris pile would eventually slam forward.

    No way I'd try to ride it out in Cedar Key, Suwanneee, Yankeetown, Horseshoe Beach, or even parts of Steinhatchee.  And with all those snappable pines and thick forests, I would never mock anyone well inland evacuating from fears of wind damage. 

     

    • Like 2

    Hurricane Franklin

    in Tropical Headquarters

    Posted

    21 hours ago, Windspeed said:
    21 hours ago, Witness Protection Program said:
    Dang, how long has it been Franklin?  I assume a lot of lighting involved?  The key for me is keeping this turkey away from Houston.

    Just became Franklin, and you must be confusing this system (topic) with the Gulf of Mexico system. Franklin will not be a threat to the Gulf but could pose some interaction with the Mid-Atlantic to New England depending on how modeling evolves and trough vs western Atlantic ridging interaction.

    Thanks.  But...

    ...the Little Orphan Annie secret society decoder pin says:

    "Dang, how long has it been Franklin?  I assume a lot of lighting involved?  The key for me is keeping this turkey away from Houston."

    Should have added kite flying and Punnsylvania references.

    • Haha 1

    Severe Weather 4-4-23 and 4-5-23

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    First tor warn of the day?

    https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=DVN&wwa=tornado warning 

    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
1016 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2023

The National Weather Service in the Quad Cities has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  South central Whiteside County in northwestern Illinois...
  Northeastern Henry County in northwestern Illinois...
  Northwestern Bureau County in north central Illinois...

* Until 1030 AM CDT.

* At 1016 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
  tornado was located near Spring Hill, or 17 miles northeast of
  Cambridge, moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Hooppole, Yorktown and Leon Corners around 1030 AM CDT.
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