DarkSharkWX

14 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

I’ve read that the reduction of SO2 may have increased warming due to increased sunlight. But is there evidence it’s somehow contributing to the PDO?  If so isn’t that extremely bad since we’re establishing a -pdo has become pretty hostile to snow here and that seems like a more permanent thing!  

i mean its a good thing in the long term, its just in the mean time its keeping the -PDO from flipping despite the strong +ENSO

will prob flip eventually either way

might be wrong thread, but how does what happen in the atlantic during tropical season affect winter in the EC? why does more ace have a + correlation w ec snowfall

12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

It failed similarly but for different reasons. 98 the Nino pac trough was a beast and extended east because the Nino was very easy based and strong. This year the pac trough was weaker, more in line with a typical Nino,  more transient but it kept getter pushed east by Nina ish central pac ridging and displaced into the pna domain. 

imo this year is a mix of a weaker 1973 and 1998 to an extent

and we did have a aleutian/GOA low for dec 
the slowed IO forcing is from the large +IOD collapse - which(the +IOD) is a good sign of nino coupling. it coupled extremely quickly as well; so thats why we saw more of a nina esque pattern despite the super nino trying to fight back

the record -PDO not even coming close to flipping is nonetheless surprising, ive heard some met students/mets talk about the decline of shipping aerosol emissions playing a role in maintaining the -PDO despite the nino

djf conus temp map will end up looking like a super nino

31.8 SN+

winchester abt to get pummeled

winter storm warning extended 

quick hitter, but high rates and good ratios

named

36 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

NOAA has a new link for the NBM snowfall. It's really slick: https://sites.gsl.noaa.gov/desi/?chart=x4d&lat=40&lon=-105&theme=dark&timeZone=local&hourFormat=12&x4dviewState={"latitude"%3A40.5%2C"longitude"%3A-100%2C"bearing"%3A0%2C"pitch"%3A20%2C"zoom"%3A4}&dset=HREF-CONUS&clusHghlgt=true&x4dGrid={"HREF"%3A{"url"%3A[40.5%2C-100%2C388%2C270]}}&x4dMapStyle=2D&x4dMaps={"basemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Mapbox"}%2C"simpleBasemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Dark"}%2C"mapboxBasemap"%3A{"value"%3A"Satellite"}}

btw be careful using that website, only do it for personal use as its non operational rn and only for testing

if too many people use it and share it it might be taken down which would be a shame since its an amazing resource

35 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said:

btw

for kgai, SLR is 12-13:1 at peak precip

btw

impressive

just like that almost all snow here at 530'!
34.9 rn and probably gonna drop more

frederick/leesburg band moving east heading for moco

leesburg station dropped to 33.4 after the band not worried abt temps

central md was expected to switch over at 6-8 am and we probably will


.

Everyone's Temps have cooled now just need the pivot. No model had this slot 

https://twitter.com/dougkammerer/status/1757266932930130233

3km looking nicer too