78Blizzard

Ukie has it next Sunday with a big hit for many. But it's all alone in the globals.

03z RAP gone wild with a norlun look and warning snows for much of the area.

With 3 losses, Alabama shouldn't even be in this playoff. They got in because of their name and past history. They will soon have 4 losses.

With the warmup ensuing after the first week and little qpf in the offing, it's starting to look to me like January may be a lost cause. The upcoming pattern doesn't appear very favorable. These little quick shots aren't going to do it.

Nice trending near go time.

Euro further north than GFS and Ukie for Sunday, resulting in mix and rain for EMA. Based on the Euro's 5-6 day performance in the last system, I'll wait on them until 24-36 hrs.

18z NAM collapses the cold air south and enhances the qpf so that we could get 2-3 inches on and after midnight in this area.

Looks to me like the cave is coming from other than the Euro.

If this is any sign of how models are going to interpret future winter storms, it's going to be a long winter with much bridge jumping.

If the Euro is right, it looks like 50-75 miles south.

Again, this model shows 3º C vs -1º C on the Euro at 850 @ 0z Wed for this area. Would you go with an experimental model or the Euro at this point if you had to make a forecast?

This model war will be won or lost at the 925 level. At 0z Wed, the NAM has 4º C in this area vs -1º C for the Euro.

Looked more than a touch.

Euro AI not caving.

If the Euro caves at this time level, I would say it's not useful either.