RUNNAWAYICEBERG

hrdps is on crack, stop it.

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I thInk half of it is acting younger.   Weenieism helps.  But your words made my day! (Well the NAM did but you get my drift...)

The key to life is staying young and playful. It’s my 5 to 1 rule. Every 5 physical years, I gain 1 soul year. Currently, I’m 7. 

My fave hdrpdps is a huge hit, we on our knees pleading. 

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

TWC seems a bit bullish out here. 4 to 8 and only really the GGEM shows this amount.

Reasonable forecast imo. About what we should expect.

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Can we start clarifying E of the River?  When that term is used it seems to be more relative to CT not areas further N.  

I always lump MA with it.

Late season clowning makes me giggle like a catholic school boy learning under Father John. 

If we don’t see the se ticks tomorrow then the deform could get west enough for Hippy. We remain outside looking until Euro can clarify.

4 minutes ago, Hoth said:

lol you are tblizzing this like a champ! I fully expect you to jack now.

I could see a I91 deform based off rgem but its has been subpar outside of last storm jack on ct/ny line. Nothing else that is reliable supports it. 

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

yup right over my head? I don't get it

Yesterday I discussed whenever DT is empathic about no snows, no chance, for nyc to boston it materializes. Stealing a page from the playbook. 

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

not a promise by any means, but completely disagree with your assessment of possible outcomes.

whoosh.

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Lol agreed. But you are still in the game now whether you like it or not.

In the game for snow, yes. In the game for 18” hell no. 

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

You absolutely have a chance.

Not like Jan 15. We weren’t sitting in Euro’s bullseye for 3 days running before it choked the day of. That’s my point.

5 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

I would settle for invoking ptsd in the western crew

There is zero ptsd with this. Never had a chance to begin with.

1 minute ago, Weenie said:

Hey guys, new account here

 

Anyway I think the NAM 3km has some goodies in store. Also, what's a deform band?

Welcome  

Only reason se ma doesnt hit biblical levels (nam qpf ftl) is speed of the system. It’s chugging along. 

The pattern supports east zones, take advantage of it.

nammy has really struggled with this, not buying any of its solutions. 

1 hour ago, codfishsnowman said:

this is my worry

Don’t invest, this is not for us. No need to worry when we never had it. We get accum snow but nothing major. 

3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Well at least we got crushed last storm 

Sharing the goods in this blocking regime, it’s se ma turn now. 

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

What are your thoughts for western SNE?

meh.

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

It may outrun the southern streamer here...lol

Southern is further south too, they completely separated at 51 where 18z had some interaction already.

Don’t like it. northern stream in a worse spot to dive in. 

43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Queenies

Has zero to do with queenies. Check the link, I dare ya.

blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/8816df9b-c058-4b86-b5b1-5972bc7348f1

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not too different here. 

Pretty big difference outside of EMA. 

They went back se but gefs always follow the op. 

We should start stabilizing at h5 soon which indicates the nw halt has been capped. Sound the alarms out east, though.