RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Time for us to relocate to interior EMA and stay put.

Sick.

I used to prefer 20” in one but the idea of like 3 storms in a week totalling 20” makes it a festive week compared to a just a festive day or night...so yea, agree.

Missed Jan 16 just to my south. Only had 8”. I’ve missed in every direction since Jan 11 and I left the area for Feb 13 lol. I could be the jinx.

Don’t ever make me re-live that ever again. I even had to delete the radar loop from this quoted post.

Euro tends to choke for the nyc metro area lol for some reason. Jan 15 (too far nw), Jan 16 (too far se), Mar 17, and there has been some others as well. Even Boxing 2010 it had some wacky couple runs that shoved the system too far east. Snow forecasting can be razor thin though but you’d think the best scoring model would come through in big EC events like it used to. Jan 96 I recall it had it locked for days. That consistency seems to have either faded or we are all hyper focused on 5 mile radiuses amd thus not allowing much margin for error. Maybe a combo of both.

I’ve looped 03/01 so many times and I still scratch my head how that didn’t put down 2-3ft in SNE.

psu ewall is great for historical views: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/2001/us0305.php#picture

There was another smaller but memorable bust in Feb 87 (maybe) living in CNJ. Forecasted for 12-18” even the morning of...school was cancelled. All excited. Anyone who grew up in the coastal mid atlantic knows you rarely got to experience a 12+ event, those were rare. Well, the system never got far enough north. Cape May and ACY got like 18” and that was the extent of it. A day off from school with the snow gear hanging by the front door, waiting to be strapped on, watching TWC radar look like crap thinking it was over before it began. Then the forecast changed, local on the 8s went from 12-18” to 2-4” and then ‘cloudy with a chance of snow showers’. That’s it...I jammed in excitebike into the Nintendo in disgust.

Same thing. 2-3ft turns to 2-3 inches.

Essex.

NJ. We were forecasted for 2-3FT leading up and it just vanished the day of.

Models are always seem too aggressive with phasing. Back then and today. That hasn’t changed much imo.

I think I asked you before so refresh my memory. Wtf happened?

That was brutal. I’ve had some mind numbing busts in my weenie career. It’s so bad that the wife wants me to get a hotel if another big one comes, I can’t stay home. She can’t deal with my mood swings and the day during the bust... I’m practically uncontrollable.

Yea. That’s ideal for the WoR crowd.

Obviously, it happens, but even Feb 13 was razor thin for WCT. Danbury was like the western extent of the goods. This pattern is different though with some ridging up north so we could be better off if somethinf breaks right. Regardless, lets keep it active with cold nearby. Play with fire and roll the dice.

I despise miller B’s but any miller is better than no miller at all.

CMC is very bullish for pike north as well.

Yea. Finally have higher heights there after seasons of black holes. We’ll see if we can cash in.

Euro still has a little coastal grazer for the 15th.

That one right on the heels of the Sunday system is probably meh. I’m more interested in next weekend as winter becomes a little more entrenched.

Focused on the 15th-18th, that could be our first accum snows.

Ridge bridge please.

That’s pretty good. I should try that.