TSA more aggressive but still being cautious this far out (as advised).
Forecast still remains challenging for mid week as strong upper trough
moves out of the desert southwest and begins to impact the area.
GFS remains the most progressive with system although has trended
a little slower/further north, more towards the ECMWF which still
develops closed low that tracks directly over area. Initially
expect the potential for light freezing rain across southeast
Oklahoma Wednesday morning ahead of main system. Generally stayed
with a blend of the two solutions but with precipitation transitioning
to snow Wednesday night as cold core low moves over the region.
Given the uncertainty with exact track/evolution of upper low and
subsequent thermal profiles, stayed with relatively low snow
accumulations for now. Again, this will depend of track which
remains uncertain at this point. Any winter weather threat should
end during the day Thursday as upper system shift east.