arlwx

BWI: 17 DCA: 14 IAD: 20 RIC: 10 SBY: 7 ((This warminista is hoping for a repeat of last year, but going more with climo.))

WSWs up for SE Va. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 336 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020 NCZ012>016-030>032-VAZ096-097-201645- /O.UPG.KAKQ.WS.A.0001.200220T2000Z-200221T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.W.0001.200220T2000Z-200221T1200Z/ Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Bertie-Chowan- Perquimans-Suffolk-Chesapeake- Including the cities of Margarettsville, Ahoskie, Corapeake, Elizabeth City, Horseshoe, Lilly, Sharon, Quitsna, Edenhouse, Merry Hill, Midway, Windsor, Cape Colony, Edenton, Hancock, Macedonia, Mavaton, Saint Johns, Valhalla, Jacocks, Woodville, Chuckatuck, Cleopus, Crittenden, Deanes, Downtown Suffolk, Driver, Elwood, Mount Pleasant, Bowers Hill, Chesapeake Airport, Deep Creek, Fentress, Great Bridge, and Greenbrier 336 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Mixed rain and snow, changing to snow. Snow may be heavy at times tonight. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches. Locally higher amounts are possible. Wind gusst up to 30 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Virginia and northeast North Carolina. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Friday. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 336 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020 NCZ017-VAZ087>090-092-093-095-098-523>525-201645- /O.UPG.KAKQ.WS.A.0001.200220T2000Z-200221T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.W.0001.200220T2000Z-200221T1200Z/ Western Currituck-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton- Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Virginia Beach-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- Including the cities of Knotts Island, Emporia, Wakefield, Barham, Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle, Chippokes State Park, Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville, Booth Fork, Williamsburg, Franklin, Carrsville, Lees Mill, Benns Church, Bethel Church, Carrollton, Lawson, Longview, Downtown Norfolk, Ghent, Norfolk International Arpt, Norfolk NAS, Norview, Ocean View, Wards Corner, Back Bay, Bayside, Cape Henry, Dam Neck, Gallups Corner, Kempsville, London Bridge, Grafton, Tabb, Beaconsdale, Denbigh, Fort Eustis, Hilton Village, Lee Hall, Menchville, Newport News, Buckroe Beach, Fort Monroe, Fox Hill, Grand View, Hallwood, Hampton, and Langley AFB 336 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Mixed rain and snow, changing to all snow. Snow may be moderate to heavy at times this evening. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Virginia and northeast North Carolina. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Friday.

From AKQ: (snip) .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/... Attention turns to the srn stream system currently over SE TX for tonight through Sat. The operational models have trended toward a (slightly) more amplified system (the past 24 hours)...allowing more pcpn to be thrown back to the NW. RA likely will be the dominant ptype in ern/SE VA and NE NC...while SN is favor far NW. In between...the battle line will be drawn (basically centered along a line from SBY-RIC-AVC). The more amplified the system...the more potential for warming (in the mid levels)...though w/ marginal thermal profile/cold air in place...more QPF doesn`t necessarily mean more SN accum. There are differences in thickness/thermal profiles from model to model...and since there has been no cold air up until now...any SN accums difficult to determine...and P-rate/SN-rate likely to determine whether there is any impact on roads. The arrival of the upper level system on Sat may be enough to aid in cooling the column (w/ better UVM)...and bring a higher potential for SN across the FA (esp from central VA to interior lower SE MD). For now...will be holding off on any winter headlines (after coordination w/ nearby offices). Also...will have a rather wide zone of mix RA/SN centered along a line from AVC-PTB/RIC-XSA-SBY from tonight into Sat. Forecast SN accums 1-4 inches over the piedmont in VA to far interior lower SE MD...up to 1 inch to an EMV-PHF-OXB line. RA may mix w/ or end as little SN near the coast in ern/SE VA and over NE NC as pcpn diminishes (W-E) Sat afternoon through Sat evening. Cold but dry Sun w/ highs around 40F. (Lows Sat night m-u20s inland...l30s right at the coast in SE VA-NE NC). (snip)

Calvert just got added to the WSW. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 427 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017 MDZ018-071730- /O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170107T2000Z/ /O.EXA.KLWX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170108T0000Z/ CALVERT- 427 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...SNOW ON ROADS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL IMPACTS AND DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 427 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017 MDZ017-071730- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170108T0000Z/ ST. MARYS- 427 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...SNOW ON ROADS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL IMPACTS AND DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$

I have some unfond memories of how long it took to break into my car in 1994. A selling point for remote car starters.

Agreed. I was around in Fairfax VA for what I call GW 1979 and it was miserable with icicles as thick as my arm dangling from the roof. What a surprise. ((IIRC, the mets blew the forecast, but they didn't have all today's toys.)) Jan 96 in Woodbridge was less bad for me. ((If anyone looks, the mid-February Federal holiday is STILL officially Washington's birthday. The term President's Day did not start coming into common usage until after MLK Day became a federal holiday in 1986 and some states gave up Lincoln's Birthday as a holiday in exchange. I call the Feb 22-24 1987 KU storm (a surprise to me) GWII -a quick foot plus of snow that melted within a couple of days.))