All the short range models look impressive with the rain bands. Left side of this storm will outproduce rain expectations and the surge IMHO.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=wrf-arw2®ion=us&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2021082200&fh=14
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2021082200&fh=21
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2021082200&fh=12