MJO812

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

That's all we get nowadays, weeks of warmth to record warm with a couple days of cool mixed in. 

Today's Euro really pumps the ridge up but the strongest anomalies are to the N & W, we get undercut somewhat. 

However I have a feeling this will change and we'll get the brunt of the heat. Widespread 80s for 2-3 days look likely.

This current pattern would be really ugly in the winter. The -NAO blocking is gone and there's a relentless Pac Jet present. Better hope that changes by Dec/Jan. 

Every model has the ridge in the east

Euro has a 974 low off the Maine coast next week.

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Am I wrong ?

Someone is going to see snow with the pattern depicted at the end of the month on the gfs 

Check out the long range GFS. Gfs has been showing a change to colder weather by mid month. Its possibly rushing it but I would love go see how the typhoon affects the pattern  going forward. 

4 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

The next period to watch for strong warmth to record highs (in the extreme) would be starting net weekend 10/20 - 10/23 period.  Pending on  how things progress we could be looking 75 - 80 range, perhaps above.   We'll have to watch the center and positioning of the ridge and with clouds and any S / SE flow developing to limit the potential.  

Then the weather should turn colder after that for a brief time.

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

But why?  Usually with that look it’s hard to get nao but we got it and got it good....

i hope nao shows up this year and failing that EPO continues its trend of recent years and we get enough transient blocking to give us good snows.   As mentioned yesterday-gun to head I think normal climo both in temperatures and snow this winter.

I had 60 inches of snow by Feb 1st that winter. What a good 1st half of winter it was. The 2nd half was bad because the bloxming went away and la nina took over. 

6 hours ago, cptcatz said:

^The NHC mentioned it in their 8pm update:

 

2. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western
Caribbean Sea late this weekend.  This system is forecast to move
westward toward Central America early next week, and some
development is possible if the low remains over water while moving
near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

CMC and GFS develop a low in the gulf by the end of next week.

November 12

15 hours ago, weathafella said:

How did we epic out in 2010-11 with that look?

Major blocking

Heavy rain right now

53 here in Brooklyn

Down to 54 here

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Mid level fronto. No surprises like storm coming way NW etc. 

Rain bands are further northwest than earlier modeled but the storm  looks the same as previous  modeled  on the Nam.

Moderate rain here in Brooklyn

I didnt expect heavy rain this early.

56 degrees

Moderate rain here in Brooklyn, NY

I didnt expect heavy rain this early.

56 degrees

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro op pretty meh. 

Nam and GFS pretty steady with  a soakers for coastal SNE.

Gfs has over 5 inches of rain for Boston

Strong winds on the Nam for the coast

18z euro has over 5 inches of rain for the Cape

21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Gonna be a special one. NAM is one hell of a Regionwide tree blowdown in SNE

This still has time to trend more west.

Well the 12z run from yesterday seem distant 

28 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Euro keeps the bigger winds and rain central LI/Bridgeport, CT and on east.     About an inch of rain from that point increasing as one heads east.  Not much rain in NYC maybe a quarter to half inch.  Close to nothing far NW burbs...  Best rains/winds in SE NE.   Starts to wind down dawn Friday as the system weakens and kicks east.  Run is further east than the 0z Euro last night

Boring weather continues

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Was fun while it lasted. 

Euro bust

This is going to be interesting to see how this plays out. The low just sits and spins and eventually travels west.

This is going to be interesting to see how this plays out. The low just sits and spins and eventually travels west.