MJO812

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I had 11/8 for the first reported CON flakes contest at work. The date was picked in July.

The epo and AO seem really favorable. You are in a great position for this possible storm.

Gefs has a signal further south but you should cash in before everyone else does.

November 8-9 storm should be watched especially with the epo press.

Nice snowstorm for interior areas next weekend on the gfs 

Gfs is colder by next week. Caved towards the eps and gefs.

1 hour ago, Hoth said:

When was that first thump last November? Quick 6" dump and epic traffic snarl, as I recall.

I got 5 inches that day. I was supposed to get 1-3 inches.

It usually takes 25 mins to get home from work. That night it took me over an hour.

Merge

Euro has really impressive gusts

21 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

I know it is day 10, but that is some cold air pressing south at the end of the run...Not a snowy look, but quite cold for November standards.

Gefs is also on board

Big time cold shot next week on the euro 

12 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

chop those by 20-25%  Euro is often over-done on winds

It was right with the last storm

Cold pattern next week on the Euro

Euro still has gusts 50-60+ for the NYC area and LI.

4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

That looks like stale cold air to me.  Nothing like the departures they are getting out west.

Better question might be when will the city get its first freeze?

 

During the 1st week of November 

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

8 years ago today

 

I got 2 inches from this storm

7 years ago today 

https://youtu.be/zx0vJvB4HTQ

Euro has gusts up to and over 70 mph for coastal SNE on Halloween

35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Forward that look in about one month. 

I agree

It can wait

17 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

PWATS on the euro are just over 2 inches on Halloween...looks like a showery/humid day/eve unfortunately

70s and rain.

Yuck

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Plains

It doesnt have a bad pattern for our area.  A lot of areas are going to see snow in November.  Hopefully it's not a bad sign.

What's with the weenie emoji? The ensembles look nice as we head into November.  We saw snow last November so it's not rare. 

I wonder if the northeast has a shot of snow during the 1st week of November with the AO dropping and the epo staying negative. Looks cold on the gfs.

The halloween cutter ushers in colder  air.

I wonder if the northeast has a shot of snow during the 1st week of November with the AO dropping and the epo staying negative. Looks cold on the gfs.

The halloween cutter ushers in colder  air.

Nice cold shot comes in after the Halloween cutter on the gfs. The lakes are going to start cranking. 

7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Here's the 12z run just a few days later. Friends, we have officially entered fantasy/digital snow season:

 

The pattern looks nice for a storm during the 1st week of November but I dont want  any part of it.

1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said:

This is what you said two weeks ago, for Halloween/early Nov. Eventually you'll nail it.

When did I say that? Thatd what the models showed.

Keep being delusional