WolfStock1

IMO this poll is meaningless without a timeframe. Are we talking 2-4 over the course of 30 years? 300 years? 3,000 years? 30,000 years? It matters because the impacts for each would be vastly different, including the level of danger. When it comes to climate change I like to use the analogy of an airplane's altitude. What matters isn't so much how *far* the airplane changes altitude - but how *fast* it changes altitude. Dropping 1,000 ft in two minutes generally isn't a problem. Dropping 1,000 ft in two seconds is generally a big problem. Same thing for nominal altitude. Being at 0 ft Above Ground Level (AGL) is not a problem if that's where you were a few minutes ago, but it's a big problem if you were at 1,000ft AGL a couple seconds ago. Thus why the whole "the earth has been at temperature X before" is a foolish and meaningless position w/regards to CC. The poll is also meaningless without supplying additional conditions. Is this all-else-being-equal? Presumably so, but it would be nice to state as such.

Thanks. Yes definitely seems like having a "big picture" education is important. It is interesting the variety of companies that hire meteorologists.

Hi all - got a couple of questions if I may. I tried posting this one thing in the Meteorology 101 section but it seems like no one pays attention there, so figured I'd try here. My son's looking to go into meteorology, and I was wondering about a couple of things. First - since we live in VA, he was looking to most likely do the program at VT for meteorology. What are folks' thoughts on that program vs other ones around the east? It seems pretty good (we just visited), but it sounds like there are other ones around that may be as good or better - e.g. PSU, UMd, FSU. Rankings are all over the place, so not reliable at all. One disadvantage is that the VT program is only undergrad. We were wondering how much that might matter though - if desired he could do undergrad at VT and graduate school at one of the others. Also it seems like most meteorology careers don't require graduate degree - fair to say? Cost of course is a consideration, and a big driver towards VT - getting in-state tuition. Other question I had in the other thread is about AI and about the impact of NOAA cuts. Thoughts? (below is link to the thread) Thanks!

Been wanting rain for weeks - got a bit Thursday at least. Was out at Staunton area all weekend - rained all day Saturday. Great! Except weather station back home shows exactly zero. What the? Then I see this: Nice to be in that hole of zero rain west of DC. (facepalm)

Is anyone besides me having problems accessing a few weather sites all of the sudden? Specifically: - the NOAA river gauge site: https://water.weather.gov/ - Mike's weather page:https://www.spaghettimodels.com/ Mike's seems to be really spotty the last several days, for me at least (it's down right now). Wondering if it's just me. Thanks Edit: I guess they moved the NOAA site - it's now https://water.noaa.gov/

Sorry but that's a hilarious picture. Looks like some kind of stoned cookie monster or something.

Why does it matter? People don't build homes etc. "due to" a hurricane. Many of these places - including Crenshaw - survived Harvey just fine, and many of these places have been built since Harvey and are thus counted towards the stats in that article. The Houston area didn't get completely destroyed and have to be rebuilt from nothing after Harvey. The point is - most homes and businesses are being built much better to withstand flooding these days, thus it's not as foolish as it's made out to be. IMO the key is - people need to know that there are risks, be wiling to accept them (including insurance), and IMO the government should not subsidize the risk like it often does.

FWIW - lots of those houses are being built on quite-high stilts now, e.g. here's a neighborhood and a school in Port Bolivar: Everything has to be about 15' above ground level now - above BFE (Base Flood Elevation - 100-year flood plain). So these generally aren't your grandparents homes.

This is showing winds of 66 kph - so it's fast enough.

Interesting. Well, I know it's not tropical, but it is now showing winds up to 66 kph:

Surprised the system right off NC isn't showing up on anyone's radar. It seems to be quite close to tropical storm level, with winds about 55 kph.

Can't believe drought monitor only shows D0: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/ Seems a few days behind though.

No rain predicted through the end of the month, so guessing it'll set that record. This is killing me. I've got some bare spots on the lawn that I'm trying to seed by taking advantage of the cooler weather - but having to sprinkle like crazy to get it to germinate. No rain in sight - hope the well doesn't run dry. Third year in a row we've had drought conditions during the fall overseed season.

With regards to AI - I guess one question I would have for those who work in the field - do you find that you're using AI some, and if so in what capacity? E.g. in software field I know sometimes an experienced person will ask ChatGPT "write me a program to do xxxx"; wondering if this kind of thing is being seen in meteorology; e.g. is AI doing some model analysis tasks that used to be done by a person?

Hi all, Posted this on the 101 forum, but figured I'd ask about it here since I'm sure there's more traffic here. I'm wondering about career prospects for meteorology, and in particular what people's thoughts are on the impacts of AI, and on the political churn going on right now. Any input is appreciated. (Son is looking into the program at VT)

Hi all, I wanted to ask about this general subject, since my son is looking into going into meteorology. What are your general thoughts on the prospect of the future of meteorology, in terms of demand for meteorologists vs the supply of people coming out of school? One thing I'm wondering about is the impact of AI. It seems to be hitting some careers hard right now, in particular software and in general engineering - lots of articles about people having a hard time finding work coming out of college, as a lot of junior-level tasks are shifting to AI. Also I know there's a lot of churn right now due to the political climate - NOAA/NWS cuts; though I imagine that will all be in the past 5 years from now when he's starting out; if anything that might be a good time to start as there may be a lot of holes being filled; at least that's my conjecture. In general seems like a great field and a great way to serve the public, so I'm encouraging him in that regard. Would hate it though if he ended up struggling if the field is going to be having a hard time career-wise though. Thoughts appreciated.

Are brining in Leesburg

I still have, and use, a link to the Wright Weather "radar forecast". Not sure where is the actual source but that's the only place I know of it existing. http://hp5-dev.wright-weather.com/nam-conus-radar-loop_1hour.gif

Herndon changed from mix to heavy snow now

Heavy mix in Herndon now - mostly rain

(Sigh) Here we go again. Hasn't rained for a couple of weeks now, and nothing in the forecast. Side note - why does NOAA keep moving the rainfall history map on their website? I bookmark it, and it's soon gone. Can't find it now. The bookmark I had: https://water.weather.gov/precip/ now brings up river gauges instead, even though the URL specifically contains "precip". You can add in some kind of precip info via checkbox, but it's pretty useless.

Very interesting. Would be curious to see the methodology behind it; what "societal conditions" means. Ideally it would account not only for inflation, but specifically inflation in housing and businesses (generally higher than headline inflation, which is just consumer goods), as well as not only the increasing crowded-ness of coastal areas but also the "luxury" factor of more luxury real estate construction on the coast. Overall the chart seems about right actually.

Blown WAY out of proportion. There were no militia "actively hunting" FEMA - it was one guy who made some verbal threats, and he's been arrested.

HIllsborough river NE of Tampa at record level: